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25 W Stump St
D Composite 44.59
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.2/15.0
  • Appreciation +8.4/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.7/30.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.6/10.0

$143,500

25 W Stump St · Williamsport, IN 47993
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,024 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 74 Days on market
Built 1951 0.27 ac lot $140/sqft · 70% above area Est $169k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 2-Bedroom Home! Welcome to this inviting 2-bedroom, 1-bath home that blends comfort, updates, and opportunity. The main level features brand-new flooring and fresh paint throughout, creating a clean, modern feel that’s move-in ready. Downstairs, you’ll find a full unfinished basement, providing an open canvas with tons of potential. Whether you’re dreaming of a home gym, workshop, additional living space, or extra storage, this area offers the flexibility to make it your own. Outside, enjoy the convenience of a detached 2-car garage, providing ample space for parking, hobbies, or storage.

Key facts

  • Fresh paint
  • Brand new flooring
  • 0.27 acre lot

Tags

BRAND NEW FLOORINGFRESH PAINTFULL UNFINISHED BASEMENTDETACHED 2 CAR GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $144k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-230 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $103k (28.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $80k (44.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $80k (44.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#59 in IN, #4,014 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, amenities F.
  • Market conditions: 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 27 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($992 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (6.8% local appreciation)).
  • Warren County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $79k; list at $144k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,900 (44.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 44% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.56%
Cap rate
4.37%
Cash-on-cash
-6.88%
DSCR
0.69
GRM
15.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$168,750
List price
$143,500
Delta
-14.96%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
416 E Monroe St 0.43mi 2/1.0 976 (-5%) 19mo $130,000 $133 56
306 E 3rd St 0.66mi 1/1.0 (-1) 1,052 (+3%) 8mo $18,500 $18 54
131 E 4th St 0.65mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,013 (-1%) 6mo $165,000 $163 53
218 Cedar St 0.67mi 3/1.0 (+1) 925 (-10%) 7mo $153,000 $165 42
3 & 5 Jackson St 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 972 (-5%) 24mo $15,000 $15 40
811 North St 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,104 (+8%) 19mo $180,000 $163 36
306 Thomas St 0.59mi 2/1.0 1,145 (+12%) 21mo $137,500 $120 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.84% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.9%
Equity multiple
1.84×
Total profit
$33,913
Equity at exit
$97,896
10-year hold
IRR
12.6%
Equity multiple
3.73×
Total profit
$109,578
Equity at exit
$184,574

Cash invested: $40,180 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47993

Home prices YoY
2.9%
Price-to-rent
15.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$799 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$753
Tax from tax record
$49 /mo · $592/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$168
Net cashflow
$-230

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,091
Max offer price $102,797
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,875
Closing costs
$4,305
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
114 Brown St Williamsport, IN 2.0 1.0 721 $799 $1.11 13d 1 1.21mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $143,500 Active 74 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $143,500 Active 73 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $143,500 Active 72 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $143,500 Active 71 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $143,500 Active 70 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $143,500 Active 68 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $143,500 Active 67 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $143,500 Active 65 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $143,500 Active 64 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $143,500 Active 63 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $143,500 Active 62 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $143,500 Active 58 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $143,500 Active 57 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $143,500 Active 56 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $143,500 Active 55 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $143,500 Active 54 DOM
  17. 2026-04-06
    listed $148,000 Active 622-char remark
    Show marketing remark (604 chars)

    Charming 2-Bedroom Home! Welcome to this inviting 2-bedroom, 1-bath home that blends comfort, updates, and opportunity. The main level features brand-new flooring and fresh paint throughout, creating a clean, modern feel that's move-in ready. Downstairs, you'll find a full unfinished basement, providing an open canvas with tons of potential. Whether you're dreaming of a home gym, workshop, additional living space, or extra storage, this area offers the flexibility to make it your own. Outside, enjoy the convenience of a detached 2-car garage, providing ample space for parking, hobbies, or storage.

  18. 2026-04-06
    listed $148,000 Active 604-char remark
    Show marketing remark (604 chars)

    Charming 2-Bedroom Home! Welcome to this inviting 2-bedroom, 1-bath home that blends comfort, updates, and opportunity. The main level features brand-new flooring and fresh paint throughout, creating a clean, modern feel that's move-in ready. Downstairs, you'll find a full unfinished basement, providing an open canvas with tons of potential. Whether you're dreaming of a home gym, workshop, additional living space, or extra storage, this area offers the flexibility to make it your own. Outside, enjoy the convenience of a detached 2-car garage, providing ample space for parking, hobbies, or storage.

  19. 2026-02-20
    soldstatus $79,323
  20. 2019-06-13
    soldstatus $75,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$592 · $49/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$906 · $75/mo
Expected delta
+$314/yr (+$26/mo · 53.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,588
− Mortgage interest
−$8,038
− Property taxes
−$592
− Insurance
−$718
− Repairs & maintenance
−$767
− Management
−$767
− Depreciation
−$4,175
Taxable loss
−$5,468
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,312
After-tax cash flow
$-1,453/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Williamsport

Score
75/100
State rank
#59
US rank
#4014

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Williamsport, IN
Population (ZIP)
3,667

Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
7,692 people
By 2030
7,331 · -4.7%
By 2040
6,581 · -14.4%
By 2050
5,853 · -23.9%
By 2075
4,692 · -39.0%
By 2100
3,985 · -48.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Portuguese 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Warren

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.3) · D 20.6% · R 77.8% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-47.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.3pp · 2024: -57.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.3 2020: R+54.3 2016: R+52.5 2012: R+27.7 2008: R+10.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.84%
Current HPI
245.607
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+97.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $148,000 IRMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $148,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-20 Sold (Public Records) $79,323 Public Records
  • 2019-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $592 · -17.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…