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3119 Heights Rd
B Composite 71.06
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,100

3119 Heights Rd · South Heights, PA 15001
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,162 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 19 Days on market
Built 1953 0.47 ac lot $78/sqft · 55% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits in this three bedroom, one bath home. Take a drive by and see if this may be your next investment.

Key facts

  • 0.47 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1953

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 parking space total)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home; Resale property
  • Construction: Aluminum siding with frame construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Approximately 0.474-acre lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air gas heating
  • Interior features: Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $444 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#368 in PA, #3,206 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Hopewell Area SD (suburban): math 36% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #191 of 539 in PA (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 272 units permitted in Beaver County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $623 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Beaver County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,748 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.66%
Cap rate
12.21%
Cash-on-cash
21.14%
DSCR
1.94
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$200,836
List price
$90,100
Delta
-55.14%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2118 Brodhead Rd 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,056 (-9%) 3mo $217,500 $206 66
3112 Ridge Ave 0.12mi 3/1.0 1,001 (-14%) 11mo $120,000 $120 62
3302 Wilson Ave 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,176 (+1%) 5mo $225,000 $191 55
125 Strawberry Aly 0.47mi 3/1.5 1,077 (-7%) 12mo $180,000 $167 54
5202 Harvard Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,232 (+6%) 3mo $206,150 $167 51
112 Strawberry Aly 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,056 (-9%) 23mo $195,000 $185 45
203 Morrow Way 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,320 (+14%) 13mo $275,000 $208 41
5032 Clifton Dr 0.65mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,040 (-10%) 12mo $250,000 $240 35
5129 Wickham St 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,040 (-10%) 13mo $240,000 $231 33
5037 Clifton Dr 0.67mi 3/1.5 988 (-15%) 11mo $226,000 $229 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.05% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.5%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$12,386
Equity at exit
$13,434
10-year hold
IRR
20.6%
Equity multiple
2.66×
Total profit
$41,918
Equity at exit
$7,790

Cash invested: $25,228 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15001

Home prices YoY
-20.8%
Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
130
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,492 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$224 /mo · $2,686/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$313
Net cashflow
$444

Break-even live

Break-even rent $929
Max offer price $90,100
Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,525
Closing costs
$2,703
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1685 Brodhead Rd #7 Coraopolis, PA 2.0 1.0 988 $1,100 $1.11 2d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    listed $90,100 Active 117-char remark
  2. 2004-05-21
    soldstatus $87,000
  3. 1964-05-01
    soldstatus $12,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,686 · $224/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,686 · $224/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,899
− Mortgage interest
−$5,047
− Property taxes
−$2,686
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,432
− Management
−$1,432
− Depreciation
−$2,621
Taxable income
$4,230
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,015
After-tax cash flow
$4,318/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hopewell Area SD
NCES district ID
4212030
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$59,944
Composite
41.98/100
National rank
#3340
State rank
#191 of 539 in PA

Livability — South Heights

Score
77/100
State rank
#368
US rank
#3206

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Beaver County · 116,001 people
City population
31,976
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
31,976
Household income
$70,985
Rent vs Own
24.4% rent · 75.6% own
Severe rent burden
720.0

Population outlook (Beaver County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,976 people
By 2030
161,449 · -2.1%
By 2040
151,752 · -8.0%
By 2050
141,155 · -14.4%
By 2075
118,142 · -28.4%
By 2100
91,740 · -44.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 13% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Serbian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Beaver

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.9pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -20.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.7 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+6.6 2008: R+2.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.21%
Current HPI
247.7251
Rent YoY
▲ 2.05%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+488.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Delisted West Penn MLS
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $70,600 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $90,100 West Penn MLS
  • 2004-05-21 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
  • 1964-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,686 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…