3119 Heights Rd · South Heights, PA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,100
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity awaits in this three bedroom, one bath home. Take a drive by and see if this may be your next investment.
Key facts
- 0.47 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1953
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 parking space total)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Resale property
- Construction: Aluminum siding with frame construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Approximately 0.474-acre lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air gas heating
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $444 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#368 in PA, #3,206 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, health & safety F.
- Hopewell Area SD (suburban): math 36% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #191 of 539 in PA (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 272 units permitted in Beaver County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $623 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Beaver County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.14%
- DSCR
- 1.94
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $200,836
- List price
- $90,100
- Delta
- -55.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2118 Brodhead Rd | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (-9%) | 3mo | $217,500 | $206 | 66 |
| 3112 Ridge Ave | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,001 (-14%) | 11mo | $120,000 | $120 | 62 |
| 3302 Wilson Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (+1%) | 5mo | $225,000 | $191 | 55 |
| 125 Strawberry Aly | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,077 (-7%) | 12mo | $180,000 | $167 | 54 |
| 5202 Harvard Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (+6%) | 3mo | $206,150 | $167 | 51 |
| 112 Strawberry Aly | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (-9%) | 23mo | $195,000 | $185 | 45 |
| 203 Morrow Way | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (+14%) | 13mo | $275,000 | $208 | 41 |
| 5032 Clifton Dr | 0.65mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,040 (-10%) | 12mo | $250,000 | $240 | 35 |
| 5129 Wickham St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (-10%) | 13mo | $240,000 | $231 | 33 |
| 5037 Clifton Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 988 (-15%) | 11mo | $226,000 | $229 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $12,386
- Equity at exit
- $13,434
- IRR
- 20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.66×
- Total profit
- $41,918
- Equity at exit
- $7,790
Cash invested: $25,228 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15001
- Home prices YoY
- -20.8%
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 130
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,492 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$224 /mo · $2,686/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$313
- Net cashflow
- $444
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,525
- Closing costs
- $2,703
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1685 Brodhead Rd #7 Coraopolis, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,100 | $1.11 | 2d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-08$90,100 Active 117-char remark
-
2004-05-21soldstatus $87,000
-
1964-05-01soldstatus $12,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,686 · $224/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,686 · $224/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,899
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,047
- − Property taxes
- −$2,686
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,432
- − Management
- −$1,432
- − Depreciation
- −$2,621
- Taxable income
- $4,230
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,015
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,318/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hopewell Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4212030
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,944
- Composite
- 41.98/100
- National rank
- #3340
- State rank
- #191 of 539 in PA
Livability — South Heights
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #368
- US rank
- #3206
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Beaver County · 116,001 people
- City population
- 31,976
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,976
- Household income
- $70,985
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 720.0
Population outlook (Beaver County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,976 people
- By 2030
- 161,449 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 151,752 · -8.0%
- By 2050
- 141,155 · -14.4%
- By 2075
- 118,142 · -28.4%
- By 2100
- 91,740 · -44.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 13% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Serbian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Beaver
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.9pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+6.6 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.21%
- Current HPI
- 247.7251
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+488.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $70,600 West Penn MLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $90,100 West Penn MLS
- 2004-05-21 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
- 1964-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2026): $2,686 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…