4242 S 178th St · Omaha, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.2/15.0
- Cash flow +7.5/30.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$279,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fantastic 3-bedroom townhome in a highly desirable Millard school neighborhood. This meticulously cared-for home blends comfort and convenience. Step out to the deck overlooking a mature tree line, making the backyard private and relaxing. You will be greeted with an open floor plan filled with natural light and neutral colors throughout. Updated s/s appliances, quartz countertops, backsplash, and lighting. LVP flooring to baths, entry, and kitchen. The primary bedroom has a walk-in closet and ¾ bath with double vanity. There is a great lower level, walk out rec room perfect for additional entertainment or living space. All appliances stay including W/ D, new furnace 4/26. Very near
Key facts
- $105 HOA
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2001
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association: Wood Creek Townhomes; Monthly association fee of $105 covering grounds maintenance and snow removal
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Two covered parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential townhouse; Split-entry levels; Property is attached; Built in 2001; Below-grade finished living space
- Construction: Masonite and brick exterior; Concrete perimeter foundation; Shingle roof (not explicitly listed but typical for construction materials listed)
- Exterior features: Patio; Deck; Sprinkler system; Window coverings
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Microwave; Disposal; Kitchen with luxury vinyl plank and window covering
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main floor with ceiling fan and walk-in closet; Second bedroom on main floor with ceiling fan; Third bedroom in basement with ceiling fan
- Flooring: Carpet (primary living areas noted); Luxury vinyl plank in kitchen
- Bathrooms: Two bathrooms total — one full bath and one 3/4 bath; Primary bath with double sinks and 3/4 configuration
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Sliding doors; Living room fireplace (direct-vent gas); One fireplace total; Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $279k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-353 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $217k (22.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $210k (24.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $210k (24.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Millard Public Schools (urban): math 58% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #13 of 111 in NE (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Rohwer Elementary School (math 67% / reading 73%, grade A-, #38 of 502 statewide, top 7%, 463 students, 18% FRL); Russell Middle School (math 63% / reading 63%, grade B+, #15 of 128 statewide, top 11%, 779 students, 16% FRL); Millard West High School (math 70% / reading 69%, grade B, #13 of 261 statewide, top 7%, 2,309 students, 14% FRL) — zoned schools at 16% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 244 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($144k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $175k; list at $279k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.42%
- DSCR
- 0.76
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $319,261
- List price
- $279,000
- Delta
- -12.61%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.14×
- Total profit
- $-66,948
- Equity at exit
- $41,600
- IRR
- -20.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.08×
- Total profit
- $-84,197
- Equity at exit
- $24,123
Cash invested: $78,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68135
- Home prices YoY
- -18.1%
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 244
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,097 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,463
- Tax from tax record
- −$325 /mo · $3,899/yr
- Insurance
- −$116
- HOA
- −$105
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$440
- Net cashflow
- $-353
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,750
- Closing costs
- $8,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17971 Oak Plz Omaha, NE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1101 | $2,665 | $2.42 | 2d | 15 | 0.94mi |
| 17011 Wright Plz Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 964 | $1,885 | $1.95 | 2d | 15 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $105 · $1,260/yr
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending 926-char remark
-
2026-04-17$279,000 New 926-char remark
-
2019-06-03soldstatus $175,000
-
2001-05-02soldstatus $119,900
-
2001-03-10soldstatus $119,900
-
2001-03-02historical
-
2001-02-01$119,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,899 · $325/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,827 · $402/mo
- Expected delta
- +$928/yr (+$77/mo · 23.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,160
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,628
- − Property taxes
- −$3,899
- − Insurance
- −$1,395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,013
- − Management
- −$2,013
- − HOA
- −$1,260
- − Depreciation
- −$8,116
- Taxable loss
- −$9,164
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,199
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,035/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Millard Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3173740
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,146
- Composite
- 53.23/100
- National rank
- #1500
- State rank
- #13 of 111 in NE
Livability — Omaha
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #663
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Omaha, NE
- County
- Douglas County · 538,646 people
- City population
- 552,986
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,523
- Household income
- $143,676
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 104.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 625,245 people
- By 2030
- 661,613 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 732,395 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 801,988 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 968,637 · +54.9%
- By 2100
- 1,101,871 · +76.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 7% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 3% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.2) · D 54.4% · R 44.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.5pp toward D · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: 10.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.2 2020: D+11.3 2016: D+1.4 2012: R+4.3 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.72%
- Current HPI
- 228.9775
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.31%
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+132.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $279,000 GPRMLS
- 2019-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
- 2001-05-02 Sold (MLS) $119,900 GPRMLS
- 2001-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $119,900 Public Records
- 2001-03-02 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2001-02-01 Listed $119,900 GPRMLS
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,899 · +22.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…