3519 W A St · Belleville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CALLING ALL INVESTORS!! The major items have already been taken care of with the roof, siding, and windows being updated in 2011. The electrical, HVAC and water heater also appear to be newer, much of the plumbing has been updated, and drywall is nearly completed, so bring your imagination to finish the interior. The covered porch leads into the living room which is flanked by a formal dining room with closet. The eat-in kitchen sits right off the dining room to make entertaining a breeze. The main level is finished off with a large bedroom and full bathroom. Upstairs leads to two bedrooms while the unfinished basement offers loads of storage or future expansion. PROPERTY BEING SOLD AS-IS WITH THE SELLER PERFORMING NO INSPECTIONS.
Key facts
- Front porch
- Large yard
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Seller may consider concessions
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available; Electric service by Ameren
- Home design: Single family residence; One story
- Construction: Aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total (1 on the main level, 2 on the upper level)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; 6 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 5.6% in Belleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Belleville High School-West (math 19% / reading 26%, grade F, #317 of 693 statewide, top 46%, 2,234 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 190 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $105k implies a 110% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.12%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $151,552
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 141 S 35th St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,150 (-3%) | 3mo | $133,000 | $116 | 76 |
| 301 N 37th St | 0.17mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,090 (-8%) | 3mo | $139,900 | $128 | 70 |
| 600 S 29th St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,194 (+1%) | 1mo | $79,900 | $67 | 68 |
| 3705 Little Flower Ln | 0.44mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,228 (+4%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $98 | 62 |
| 145 S 34th St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,066 (-10%) | 2mo | $159,900 | $150 | 61 |
| 4 Mariknoll Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (+4%) | 1mo | $158,900 | $129 | 58 |
| 4 Marlo Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,128 (-5%) | 1mo | $139,000 | $123 | 56 |
| 2932 Godfrey St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,008 (-15%) | 2mo | $199,900 | $198 | 54 |
| 3700 Michelle Dr | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,034 (-13%) | 0mo | $139,900 | $135 | 54 |
| 2932 Otto St | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,008 (-15%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $149 | 50 |
| 2709 Sassy Ln | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-15%) | 3mo | $103,000 | $102 | 38 |
| 120 N 46th St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,028 (-13%) | 0mo | $40,000 | $39 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.56% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $2,486
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.14×
- Total profit
- $33,607
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62226
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 190
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,319 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$176 /mo · $2,106/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $272
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213 Columbus Dr Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,650 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 31 S 27th St Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $915 | $0.92 | 23d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 654 N 39th St Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,400 | $1.42 | 17d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 56 Friendly Dr Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1912 N 17th St Swansea, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1414 | $1,500 | $1.06 | 17d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 219 Freedom Dr Unit 232-B Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $895 | $0.96 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 219 Freedom Dr Unit 228-P Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $970 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 219 Freedom Dr Unit 228-G Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $895 | $0.96 | 4d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 219 Freedom Dr Unit 232-Q Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $895 | $0.96 | 17d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4824 Bier St Belleville, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1000 Royal Heights Rd Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,345 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 54 Ben Louis Dr Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,145 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1308 Caseyville Ave Swansea, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,200 | $1.35 | 4d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 310 N 10th St Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1270 | $1,300 | $1.02 | 2d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $105,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $105,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $105,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $105,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-21status Active
-
2026-05-10historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-05-04price $105,000
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2026-04-22$115,000 Active
-
2026-02-27price $115,000
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2026-02-14price $120,000
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2026-01-20price $125,000
-
2026-01-07price $129,000
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2025-12-10price $130,000
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2025-11-18$135,000 Active
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2025-11-18historical
-
2024-03-11soldstatus $50,000
-
2024-03-08soldstatus Closed 742-char remark
Show marketing remark (742 chars)
CALLING ALL INVESTORS!! The major items have already been taken care of with the roof, siding, and windows being updated in 2011. The electrical, HVAC and water heater also appear to be newer, much of the plumbing has been updated, and drywall is nearly completed, so bring your imagination to finish the interior. The covered porch leads into the living room which is flanked by a formal dining room with closet. The eat-in kitchen sits right off the dining room to make entertaining a breeze. The main level is finished off with a large bedroom and full bathroom. Upstairs leads to two bedrooms while the unfinished basement offers loads of storage or future expansion. PROPERTY BEING SOLD AS-IS WITH THE SELLER PERFORMING NO INSPECTIONS.
-
2024-02-25status Pending 742-char remark
Show marketing remark (742 chars)
CALLING ALL INVESTORS!! The major items have already been taken care of with the roof, siding, and windows being updated in 2011. The electrical, HVAC and water heater also appear to be newer, much of the plumbing has been updated, and drywall is nearly completed, so bring your imagination to finish the interior. The covered porch leads into the living room which is flanked by a formal dining room with closet. The eat-in kitchen sits right off the dining room to make entertaining a breeze. The main level is finished off with a large bedroom and full bathroom. Upstairs leads to two bedrooms while the unfinished basement offers loads of storage or future expansion. PROPERTY BEING SOLD AS-IS WITH THE SELLER PERFORMING NO INSPECTIONS.
-
2024-02-07historical Active Under Contract 742-char remark
Show marketing remark (742 chars)
CALLING ALL INVESTORS!! The major items have already been taken care of with the roof, siding, and windows being updated in 2011. The electrical, HVAC and water heater also appear to be newer, much of the plumbing has been updated, and drywall is nearly completed, so bring your imagination to finish the interior. The covered porch leads into the living room which is flanked by a formal dining room with closet. The eat-in kitchen sits right off the dining room to make entertaining a breeze. The main level is finished off with a large bedroom and full bathroom. Upstairs leads to two bedrooms while the unfinished basement offers loads of storage or future expansion. PROPERTY BEING SOLD AS-IS WITH THE SELLER PERFORMING NO INSPECTIONS.
-
2024-01-29$50,000 Active 742-char remark
Show marketing remark (742 chars)
CALLING ALL INVESTORS!! The major items have already been taken care of with the roof, siding, and windows being updated in 2011. The electrical, HVAC and water heater also appear to be newer, much of the plumbing has been updated, and drywall is nearly completed, so bring your imagination to finish the interior. The covered porch leads into the living room which is flanked by a formal dining room with closet. The eat-in kitchen sits right off the dining room to make entertaining a breeze. The main level is finished off with a large bedroom and full bathroom. Upstairs leads to two bedrooms while the unfinished basement offers loads of storage or future expansion. PROPERTY BEING SOLD AS-IS WITH THE SELLER PERFORMING NO INSPECTIONS.
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2023-07-07soldstatus $36,000
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2023-06-30status Pending
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2023-06-30soldstatus Closed
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2023-06-19historical Active Under Contract
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2023-06-13price $39,900
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2023-05-26$45,000 Active
-
1998-07-31soldstatus $45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,106 · $176/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,245 · $187/mo
- Expected delta
- +$139/yr (+$12/mo · 6.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,833
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$2,106
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,267
- − Management
- −$1,267
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $1,732
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$416
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,853/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201
- NCES district ID
- 1705640
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,064
- Composite
- 22.39/100
- National rank
- #8115
- State rank
- #308 of 620 in IL
Livability — Belleville
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #2604
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Belleville, IL
- County
- Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
- City population
- 47,407
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,255
- Household income
- $70,797
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 824.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 250,366 people
- By 2030
- 240,511 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 217,391 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 192,699 · -23.0%
- By 2075
- 140,637 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 100,499 · -59.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 24% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Chinese 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.57%
- Current HPI
- 133.9028
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.56%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+133.3% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-10 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $105,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-22 Listed $115,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $115,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-14 Price Changed $120,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed $125,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-07 Price Changed $129,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-10 Price Changed $130,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-18 Listed $135,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-18 Coming Soon — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2024-03-08 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-25 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-07 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-29 Listed $50,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
- 2023-06-30 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-30 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-19 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-13 Price Changed $39,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-26 Listed $45,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2024): $2,106 · -4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…