506 W Huntley St · Aberdeen, WA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 78°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This cozy 3-bedroom, 1.5-story home, complete with an inviting enclosed porch, presents a canvas brimming with potential on a good-sized, level lot. Perfect for outdoor enthusiasts, it offers plenty of off-street parking, making it easy to accommodate your RV, boat, and all your recreational vehicles. This property is a fantastic opportunity! Plenty of room for additional bedrooms and baths!
Key facts
- Level lot
- Enclosed porch
- Off-street parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $175 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.1% in Aberdeen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#73 in WA, #1,320 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D-, employment F.
- Aberdeen School District (town): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #222 of 291 in WA (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 257 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 297 units permitted in Grays Harbor County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grays Harbor County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 184 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $59k; list at $140k implies a 138% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 184 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.40%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $243,103
- List price
- $140,000
- Delta
- -42.41%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 312 W Lovett St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 892 (-7%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $196 | 65 |
| 221 E Lovett St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 990 (+3%) | 15mo | $167,500 | $169 | 57 |
| 311 W Marion St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 923 (-4%) | 7mo | $110,000 | $119 | 51 |
| 907 W Stockwell St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (-10%) | 10mo | $170,000 | $197 | 48 |
| 1920 Taft Rd | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,057 (+10%) | 2mo | $315,000 | $298 | 47 |
| 1111 W Perry St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (+5%) | 14mo | $282,000 | $280 | 46 |
| 722 Waters St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (+5%) | 23mo | $220,000 | $218 | 46 |
| 716 Water St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (+5%) | 23mo | $250,000 | $248 | 45 |
| 708 Water St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (+5%) | 23mo | $250,000 | $248 | 45 |
| 1021 W Stockwell St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,004 (+5%) | 21mo | $237,000 | $236 | 45 |
| 1000 W Perry | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,028 (+7%) | 21mo | $175,000 | $170 | 34 |
| 218 W Cushing St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 875 (-9%) | 20mo | $290,000 | $331 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-9,512
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $14,588
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98520
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 257
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,449 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$110 /mo · $1,325/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $175
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1200 W Huntley St Unit 3 Aberdeen, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,400 | $1.65 | 43d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1731 S Boone St Unit 303 Aberdeen, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 100 W Curtis St Aberdeen, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $140,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $140,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $140,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $140,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $140,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $140,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $140,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-05-16price $140,000
-
2026-05-13status Active
-
2026-04-16status Pending
-
2026-02-24price $150,000
-
2025-12-28price $160,000
-
2025-11-20$170,000 Active
-
2001-12-11soldstatus $58,750
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,325 · $110/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,372 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- +$47/yr (+$4/mo · 3.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥78°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,386
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$1,325
- − Insurance
- −$1,498
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,391
- − Management
- −$1,391
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable loss
- −$134
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$32
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,134/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Aberdeen School District
- NCES district ID
- 5300030
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,896
- Composite
- 36.13/100
- National rank
- #9477
- State rank
- #222 of 291 in WA
Livability — Aberdeen
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #73
- US rank
- #1320
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Aberdeen, WA
- County
- Grays Harbor County · 44,693 people
- City population
- 24,888
- Metro
- Aberdeen, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,888
- Household income
- $58,153
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 635.0
Population outlook (Grays Harbor County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 66,443 people
- By 2030
- 63,255 · -4.8%
- By 2040
- 56,466 · -15.0%
- By 2050
- 50,516 · -24.0%
- By 2075
- 39,296 · -40.9%
- By 2100
- 31,142 · -53.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Native American 3% Asian 1% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Grays Harbor
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.0) · D 45.6% · R 51.6% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: -6.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.0 2020: R+6.6 2016: R+7.1 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.75%
- Current HPI
- 207.7393
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.35%
- Metro
- Aberdeen, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+138.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Price Changed $140,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-16 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $150,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-28 Price Changed $160,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-20 Listed $170,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $58,750 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2026): $1,325 · -3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…