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510 Wayne St
D Composite 42.81
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$23,900

510 Wayne St · Opelousas, LA 70570
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,062 sqft · SingleFamily · 83 Days on market
7,840 sqft lot $23/sqft · 59% below area ↓ 50% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in Opelousas, this property features 3 bedrooms, 1-bathroom, covered parking, and a spacious backyard including a shed and storage. Great opportunity to make this space your own. Schedule your showing!

Key facts

  • Exterior storage
  • Covered parking
  • 7,840 sq ft lot

Tags

COVERED PARKINGEXTERIOR STORAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $24k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $677 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $24k).
  • Recommended offer: $22k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 40.3% vs local median 4.0% in Opelousas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#187 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • St. Landry Parish (town): math 20% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #54 of 98 in LA (top 55%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Opelousas Junior High School (math 4% / reading 12%, grade F, #205 of 218 statewide, top 94%, 456 students, 84% FRL); Opelousas Senior High School (math 11% / reading 18%, grade F, #224 of 265 statewide, top 86%, 840 students, 77% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 11% at this address vs 26% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the St. Landry Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 313 active listings in the ZIP; 142 units permitted in St. Landry Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $165 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $717 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Landry County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $22,466 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.37%
Cap rate
40.28%
Cash-on-cash
121.39%
DSCR
6.40
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$58,824
List price
$23,900
Delta
-59.37%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
615 W Bertheaud Ave 0.10mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,000 (-6%) 17mo $60,000 $60 66
1438 Parkview Dr 0.08mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (+13%) 22mo $35,000 $29 51
115 E Bertheaud Ave 0.44mi 3/1.5 1,125 (+6%) 23mo $35,000 $31 49
114 E Jefferson St 0.56mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,185 (+12%) 14mo $65,000 $55 32
1427 Hale St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,150 (+8%) 20mo $135,000 $117 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.87×
Total profit
$39,249
Equity at exit
$3,564
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
14.41×
Total profit
$89,718
Equity at exit
$2,066

Cash invested: $6,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70570

Home prices YoY
-34.7%
Active inventory
313
Price-to-rent
1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,045 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$125
Tax from tax record
$13 /mo · $158/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$219
Net cashflow
$677

Break-even live

Break-even rent $188
Max offer price $23,900
Occupancy floor 30%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $690 -5% $684 +0% $677 +5% $670 +10% $663
Rent -10% $594 -5% $636 +0% $677 +5% $718 +10% $760
Rate -1.0pp $689 -0.5pp $683 base $677 +0.5pp $671 +1.0pp $664

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,975
Closing costs
$717
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-24
    status Active 209-char remark
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    Located in Opelousas, this property features 3 bedrooms, 1-bathroom, covered parking, and a spacious backyard including a shed and storage. Great opportunity to make this space your own. Schedule your showing!

  2. 2026-04-22
    status Pending 209-char remark
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    Located in Opelousas, this property features 3 bedrooms, 1-bathroom, covered parking, and a spacious backyard including a shed and storage. Great opportunity to make this space your own. Schedule your showing!

  3. 2026-04-13
    price $23,900 209-char remark
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    Located in Opelousas, this property features 3 bedrooms, 1-bathroom, covered parking, and a spacious backyard including a shed and storage. Great opportunity to make this space your own. Schedule your showing!

  4. 2026-02-26
    listed $24,900 Active 209-char remark
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    Located in Opelousas, this property features 3 bedrooms, 1-bathroom, covered parking, and a spacious backyard including a shed and storage. Great opportunity to make this space your own. Schedule your showing!

  5. 2004-10-11
    soldstatus $49,000
  6. 2004-06-29
    listed $48,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$158 · $13/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$158 · $13/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,538
− Mortgage interest
−$1,339
− Property taxes
−$158
− Insurance
−$120
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,003
− Management
−$1,003
− Depreciation
−$695
Taxable income
$8,220
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,973
After-tax cash flow
$6,151/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Landry Parish
NCES district ID
2201560
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -43.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -35.00%
Median HH income
$32,635
Composite
21.59/100
National rank
#8303
State rank
#54 of 98 in LA

Livability — Opelousas

Score
63/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#14928

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Opelousas, LA
Population (ZIP)
37,188

Population outlook (St. Landry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
83,114 people
By 2030
82,110 · -1.2%
By 2040
79,445 · -4.4%
By 2050
75,855 · -8.7%
By 2075
65,684 · -21.0%
By 2100
51,739 · -37.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% White 37% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Landry

2024 margin
R (+18.8) · D 40.0% · R 58.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-15.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.2pp · 2024: -18.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+11.9 2012: R+4.3 2008: R+3.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -52.38%
Current HPI
98.4256
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-50.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Relisted AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Pending AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $23,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-02-26 Listed $24,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2004-10-11 Sold (MLS) $49,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2004-06-29 Listed $48,000 AcadianaMLS

Property tax history

+0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $158 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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