222 Cherry St · Clyde, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 14.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.7/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MOTIVATED SELLERS!! BRING ALL OFFERS!! BUYERS 1ST YEAR HOME WARRANTY COVERAGE INCLUDED!! Completely updated on a corner lot!! New flooring throughout the house installed in 2017. Open and Updated kitchen with gorgeous slate back splash. Bathroom has nicely tiled shower with a double shower head. Roof, Central heat and air, Plumbing and some electrical was all redone in 2013. Huge fenced back yard with dog run. Property has a storm cellar and a water well. This house is a MUST SEE and is ready for you to call it home!
Key facts
- Portions of plumbing
- Water well
- New water heater
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot is less than 0.5 acre (approximately 0.1610 acres); Parcel ID R012188
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 covered space, 1 garage space)
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Individual gas meter; Individual water meter; Well
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Attached property; One story; Located on a corner lot in the Railroad - Clyde subdivision
- Construction: Built in 1947; Wood construction; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Wood fencing; Alley access; Asphalt on site; Curbs
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in gas range; Gas oven
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Cable TV available; High-speed internet available; Pantry; One living area; One dining area; Total of 4 rooms; One level
- Laundry & utility: Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $548 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 3.2% in Clyde — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#498 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Clyde CISD (town): math 42% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #341 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Clyde El (366 students, 58% FRL).
- Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 11 units permitted in Callahan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Callahan County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.41%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $167,580
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214 Cherry St | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 | 1,256 (-0%) | 19mo | $39,900 | $32 | 81 |
| 504 Oak St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,284 (+2%) | 0mo | $129,000 | $100 | 79 |
| 741 Cherry Hts | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,244 (-1%) | 10mo | $195,000 | $157 | 78 |
| 418 Pecan St | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 | 1,224 (-3%) | 0mo | $99,900 | $82 | 76 |
| 201 Pine St | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (+2%) | 15mo | $199,000 | $155 | 75 |
| 204 Bowie St | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,308 (+4%) | 9mo | $80,000 | $61 | 67 |
| 402 Private Road 6210 | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,357 (+8%) | 10mo | $275,000 | $203 | 64 |
| 502 Ridgeway St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,317 (+4%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $133 | 59 |
| 205 Field St | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,107 (-12%) | 2mo | $174,900 | $158 | 53 |
| 609 Bryant Rd | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (+5%) | 9mo | $175,800 | $133 | 47 |
| 421 Oak St | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,430 (+14%) | 18mo | $174,900 | $122 | 47 |
| 510 Bryant Rd | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,384 (+10%) | 10mo | $169,900 | $123 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $13,131
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $56,735
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79510
- Home prices YoY
- -21.6%
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,980 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$252 /mo · $3,020/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$416
- Net cashflow
- $548
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 613 Marlin St Clyde, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1218 | $1,980 | $1.63 | 21d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $135,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-18$135,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,020 · $252/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,020 · $252/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,760
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$3,020
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,901
- − Management
- −$1,901
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $4,775
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,146
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,435/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clyde CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814450
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,614
- Composite
- 35.84/100
- National rank
- #4824
- State rank
- #341 of 826 in TX
Livability — Clyde
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #498
- US rank
- #9935
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clyde, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,135
Population outlook (Callahan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,664 people
- By 2030
- 13,578 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 13,283 · -2.8%
- By 2050
- 13,008 · -4.8%
- By 2075
- 12,354 · -9.6%
- By 2100
- 11,326 · -17.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 12% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 8% Slovak 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Callahan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+77.6) · D 10.9% · R 88.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.9pp toward R · 2008: -61.7pp · 2024: -77.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+77.6 2020: R+77.3 2016: R+77.2 2012: R+69.8 2008: R+61.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.42%
- Current HPI
- 186.6326
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+513.6% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $135,000 NTREIS
- 2018-06-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-06-22 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2018-05-01 Pending — NTREIS
- 2018-04-23 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2018-04-08 Price Changed $88,000 NTREIS
- 2018-03-23 Price Changed $91,500 NTREIS
- 2018-02-27 Price Changed $94,900 NTREIS
- 2017-11-22 Price Changed $99,000 NTREIS
- 2017-09-25 Price Changed $105,000 NTREIS
- 2017-09-04 Price Changed $113,500 NTREIS
- 2017-08-08 Price Changed $117,500 NTREIS
- 2017-07-31 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2017-07-28 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2017-07-21 Listed $119,500 NTREIS
- 2013-11-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-11-21 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2013-09-27 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2013-09-12 Listed $69,750 NTREIS
- 2013-03-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-02-28 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2013-02-23 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2012-11-27 Listed $22,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
+17.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,020 · +14.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…