125 Broaddus · Lufkin, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$12,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom mobile home is a great option for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. Located in a mobile home community with a $550 monthly lot fee, this home also offers the flexibility of being moved from the property if desired. Affordable, functional, and ready for its next owner! Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- 3,485 sq ft lot
- Built 2000
- Listed 7 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Aluminum siding construction
- Exterior features: Aluminum siding; 0.08-acre lot
Interior
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No central heating; Window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Laminate flooring; Window cooling units
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $12k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $545 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $12k).
- Cap rate 103.4% vs local median 3.6% in Lufkin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#240 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, commute F.
- Lufkin ISD (town): math 39% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #446 of 826 in TX (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 297 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 120 units permitted in Angelina County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $83 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $360 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 11.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 103.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 346.80%
- DSCR
- 16.43
- GRM
- 0.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 10.83×
- Total profit
- $33,018
- Equity at exit
- $1,789
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 23.19×
- Total profit
- $74,554
- Equity at exit
- $1,038
Cash invested: $3,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75901
- Home prices YoY
- -16.9%
- Active inventory
- 297
- Price-to-rent
- 0.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,334 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$63
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$15 /mo · $180/yr
- Insurance
- −$5
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $545
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $3,000
- Closing costs
- $360
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 Shady Bend Dr Lufkin, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,000 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 715a Renfro Dr Lufkin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1157 | $1,300 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 717 Renfro Dr Lufkin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | — | $1,300 | — | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $12,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $12,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $12,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 335-char remark
-
2026-06-07$12,000 Active 5 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,010
- − Mortgage interest
- −$672
- − Property taxes
- −$180
- − Insurance
- −$5,178
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,281
- − Management
- −$1,281
- − Depreciation
- −$349
- Taxable income
- $7,068
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,696
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,838/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lufkin ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4828550
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,009
- Composite
- 32.81/100
- National rank
- #5625
- State rank
- #446 of 826 in TX
Livability — Lufkin
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #240
- US rank
- #5792
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lufkin, TX
- County
- Angelina County · 62,696 people
- City population
- 62,696
- Metro
- Lufkin, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,234
- Household income
- $62,966
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 930.0
Population outlook (Angelina County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 90,174 people
- By 2030
- 90,697 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 91,291 · +1.2%
- By 2050
- 91,168 · +1.1%
- By 2075
- 88,961 · -1.3%
- By 2100
- 80,590 · -10.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 21% Black 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 28%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 25% Chinese 1% Vietnamese 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Angelina
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.7% · R 75.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.0pp toward R · 2008: -35.0pp · 2024: -52.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.0 2020: R+46.1 2016: R+47.3 2012: R+43.9 2008: R+35.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.13%
- Current HPI
- 232.6282
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Lufkin, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $12,000 Deep East Texas MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…