1367 Mulberry St · Noblesville, IN
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Duplex just off downtown Noblesville, near the future police station-great investment location. Downstairs unit offers 3 beds, 1 bath; upstairs unit has 1 bed, 1 bath. Strong rental potential, ideal for long-term income or portfolio growth. Close to restaurants, retail, and ongoing city development. A solid opportunity in a fast-growing area.
Key facts
- Close to restaurants
- Investment location
- Fast-growing area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $614 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 3.2% in Noblesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#3 in IN, #446 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: commute F.
- Noblesville Schools (suburban): math 51% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #26 of 301 in IN (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 456 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,661 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (1,528 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hamilton County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 307 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $90k (43%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 307 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.94%
- DSCR
- 1.98
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $258,636
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- -53.60%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1367 Mulberry St | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 2,052 (0%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $54 | 96 |
| 1479 Maple Ave | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 | 2,040 (-1%) | 9mo | $166,500 | $82 | 81 |
| 1151 Cherry St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,070 (+1%) | 4mo | $249,900 | $121 | 76 |
| 1799 Conner St | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,947 (-5%) | 4mo | $335,000 | $172 | 62 |
| 537 N 17th St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,040 (-1%) | 9mo | $312,500 | $153 | 52 |
| 1330 Zelda St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,844 (-10%) | 1mo | $349,900 | $190 | 51 |
| 1301 Wayne St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,806 (-12%) | 2mo | $320,000 | $177 | 47 |
| 247 N 14th St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,258 (+10%) | 8mo | $230,000 | $102 | 46 |
| 1508 Monument St | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 | 1,841 (-10%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $133 | 45 |
| 347 Plum St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 2,236 (+9%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $76 | 45 |
| 1515 S 16th St | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 | 1,798 (-12%) | 9mo | $200,000 | $111 | 38 |
| 16867 Aulton Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,759 (-14%) | 6mo | $265,000 | $151 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.79% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $17,456
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 21.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $56,672
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46060
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 456
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,906 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$212 /mo · $2,543/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$400
- Net cashflow
- $614
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $682 | -5% $648 | +0% $614 | +5% $580 | +10% $546 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $464 | -5% $539 | +0% $614 | +5% $690 | +10% $765 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $675 | -0.5pp $645 | base $614 | +0.5pp $583 | +1.0pp $552 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 637 Cherry St Noblesville, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,000 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 519 James Dr Noblesville, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $1,890 | $1.18 | 13d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 18802 Northview Pl Noblesville, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $2,025 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
Duplex just off downtown Noblesville, near the future police station-great investment location. Downstairs unit offers 3 beds, 1 bath; upstairs unit has 1 bed, 1 bath. Strong rental potential, ideal for long-term income or portfolio growth. Close to restaurants, retail, and ongoing city development. A solid opportunity in a fast-growing area.
-
2026-04-15price $120,000 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
Duplex just off downtown Noblesville, near the future police station-great investment location. Downstairs unit offers 3 beds, 1 bath; upstairs unit has 1 bed, 1 bath. Strong rental potential, ideal for long-term income or portfolio growth. Close to restaurants, retail, and ongoing city development. A solid opportunity in a fast-growing area.
-
2026-01-30price $140,000 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
Duplex just off downtown Noblesville, near the future police station-great investment location. Downstairs unit offers 3 beds, 1 bath; upstairs unit has 1 bed, 1 bath. Strong rental potential, ideal for long-term income or portfolio growth. Close to restaurants, retail, and ongoing city development. A solid opportunity in a fast-growing area.
-
2025-12-28status Active 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
Duplex just off downtown Noblesville, near the future police station-great investment location. Downstairs unit offers 3 beds, 1 bath; upstairs unit has 1 bed, 1 bath. Strong rental potential, ideal for long-term income or portfolio growth. Close to restaurants, retail, and ongoing city development. A solid opportunity in a fast-growing area.
-
2025-12-27historical 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
Duplex just off downtown Noblesville, near the future police station-great investment location. Downstairs unit offers 3 beds, 1 bath; upstairs unit has 1 bed, 1 bath. Strong rental potential, ideal for long-term income or portfolio growth. Close to restaurants, retail, and ongoing city development. A solid opportunity in a fast-growing area.
-
2025-10-13price $160,000 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
Duplex just off downtown Noblesville, near the future police station-great investment location. Downstairs unit offers 3 beds, 1 bath; upstairs unit has 1 bed, 1 bath. Strong rental potential, ideal for long-term income or portfolio growth. Close to restaurants, retail, and ongoing city development. A solid opportunity in a fast-growing area.
-
2025-08-25price $175,000 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
Duplex just off downtown Noblesville, near the future police station-great investment location. Downstairs unit offers 3 beds, 1 bath; upstairs unit has 1 bed, 1 bath. Strong rental potential, ideal for long-term income or portfolio growth. Close to restaurants, retail, and ongoing city development. A solid opportunity in a fast-growing area.
-
2025-08-04price $190,000 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
Duplex just off downtown Noblesville, near the future police station-great investment location. Downstairs unit offers 3 beds, 1 bath; upstairs unit has 1 bed, 1 bath. Strong rental potential, ideal for long-term income or portfolio growth. Close to restaurants, retail, and ongoing city development. A solid opportunity in a fast-growing area.
-
2025-07-14$210,000 Active 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
Duplex just off downtown Noblesville, near the future police station-great investment location. Downstairs unit offers 3 beds, 1 bath; upstairs unit has 1 bed, 1 bath. Strong rental potential, ideal for long-term income or portfolio growth. Close to restaurants, retail, and ongoing city development. A solid opportunity in a fast-growing area.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,543 · $212/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,543 · $212/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,869
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$2,543
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,830
- − Management
- −$1,830
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $5,854
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,405
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,967/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Noblesville Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1807650
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,719
- Composite
- 48.16/100
- National rank
- #2177
- State rank
- #26 of 301 in IN
Livability — Noblesville
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #446
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Noblesville, IN
- County
- Hamilton County · 337,479 people
- City population
- 88,670
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,610
- Household income
- $91,918
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 641.0
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,938 people
- By 2030
- 417,496 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 486,684 · +27.4%
- By 2050
- 549,805 · +44.0%
- By 2075
- 687,078 · +79.9%
- By 2100
- 754,495 · +97.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.1) · D 46.0% · R 52.1% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +16.2pp toward D · 2008: -22.2pp · 2024: -6.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.1 2020: R+6.8 2016: R+19.6 2012: R+34.3 2008: R+22.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -165.86%
- Current HPI
- 234.6658
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.79%
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
-42.9% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $120,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $140,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-28 Relisted — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-27 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-13 Price Changed $160,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-25 Price Changed $175,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-04 Price Changed $190,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-14 Listed $210,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,543 · -2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…