18410 Inkster Rd · Livonia, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$187,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* * IT'S ALL ABOUT THE GARAGES! * * Investors, handymen, and project enthusiasts . .. this property is a must-see! Featuring not one, not two, but three garages, the backyard garages are set up as a mechanic's workshop. Inside, you'll find 4 bedrooms, 3 full bathrooms, and convenient first-floor laundry. With a little creativity, this spacious home can become your perfect residence and offer plenty of room for a side business. Enjoy fantastic backyard views overlooking a scenic ravine and river - the ideal setting for work and relaxation alike! All measurements and room sizes are estimate or from public records, BATVAI
Key facts
- Three garages
- Mechanic workshop
- Scenic ravine
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $188k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $440 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $188k).
- Recommended offer: $185k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.9% in Livonia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#116 in MI, #2,784 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, health & safety D, commute F.
- Redford Union Schools District No. 1 (suburban): math 8% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #489 of 540 in MI (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($185k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.07%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $244,064
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18410 Inkster Rd | 0.00mi | 4/3.0 | 2,104 (0%) | 0mo | $187,500 | $89 | 100 |
| 27681 Bennett St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,052 (-2%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $127 | 69 |
| 18527 Gaylord | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,054 (-2%) | 3mo | $237,900 | $116 | 65 |
| 27427 Vargo St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,076 (-1%) | 1mo | $280,000 | $135 | 64 |
| 18626 Inkster Rd | 0.17mi | 4/3.0 | 1,791 (-15%) | 5mo | $235,900 | $132 | 64 |
| 17612 Denby St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 2,048 (-3%) | 6mo | $194,900 | $95 | 60 |
| 26802 Vassar Ave | 0.74mi | 4/1.5 | 1,965 (-7%) | 3mo | $295,000 | $150 | 46 |
| 19151 Negaunee | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,800 (-14%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $114 | 43 |
| 19169 Inkster Rd | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,788 (-15%) | 2mo | $206,000 | $115 | 41 |
| 17524 Lathers St | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,874 (-11%) | 6mo | $244,750 | $131 | 38 |
| 17285 Gaylord | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,814 (-14%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $105 | 34 |
| 19134 Macarthur St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,924 (-9%) | 6mo | $130,000 | $68 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-2,371
- Equity at exit
- $27,957
- IRR
- 8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.65×
- Total profit
- $33,887
- Equity at exit
- $16,212
Cash invested: $52,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48240
- Active inventory
- 86
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,046 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$983
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,374/yr
- Insurance
- −$78
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$430
- Net cashflow
- $440
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $547 | -5% $494 | +0% $440 | +5% $387 | +10% $334 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $279 | -5% $360 | +0% $440 | +5% $521 | +10% $602 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $535 | -0.5pp $488 | base $440 | +0.5pp $392 | +1.0pp $342 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,875
- Closing costs
- $5,625
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-20status Pending 631-char remark
Show marketing remark (631 chars)
* * IT'S ALL ABOUT THE GARAGES! * * Investors, handymen, and project enthusiasts . .. this property is a must-see! Featuring not one, not two, but three garages, the backyard garages are set up as a mechanic's workshop. Inside, you'll find 4 bedrooms, 3 full bathrooms, and convenient first-floor laundry. With a little creativity, this spacious home can become your perfect residence and offer plenty of room for a side business. Enjoy fantastic backyard views overlooking a scenic ravine and river - the ideal setting for work and relaxation alike! All measurements and room sizes are estimate or from public records, BATVAI
-
2026-04-20status Pending
Show marketing remark (631 chars)
* * IT'S ALL ABOUT THE GARAGES! * * Investors, handymen, and project enthusiasts . .. this property is a must-see! Featuring not one, not two, but three garages, the backyard garages are set up as a mechanic's workshop. Inside, you'll find 4 bedrooms, 3 full bathrooms, and convenient first-floor laundry. With a little creativity, this spacious home can become your perfect residence and offer plenty of room for a side business. Enjoy fantastic backyard views overlooking a scenic ravine and river - the ideal setting for work and relaxation alike! All measurements and room sizes are estimate or from public records, BATVAI
-
2026-03-25$187,500 Active 631-char remark
Show marketing remark (631 chars)
* * IT'S ALL ABOUT THE GARAGES! * * Investors, handymen, and project enthusiasts . .. this property is a must-see! Featuring not one, not two, but three garages, the backyard garages are set up as a mechanic's workshop. Inside, you'll find 4 bedrooms, 3 full bathrooms, and convenient first-floor laundry. With a little creativity, this spacious home can become your perfect residence and offer plenty of room for a side business. Enjoy fantastic backyard views overlooking a scenic ravine and river - the ideal setting for work and relaxation alike! All measurements and room sizes are estimate or from public records, BATVAI
-
2026-03-25$187,500 Active
Show marketing remark (631 chars)
* * IT'S ALL ABOUT THE GARAGES! * * Investors, handymen, and project enthusiasts . .. this property is a must-see! Featuring not one, not two, but three garages, the backyard garages are set up as a mechanic's workshop. Inside, you'll find 4 bedrooms, 3 full bathrooms, and convenient first-floor laundry. With a little creativity, this spacious home can become your perfect residence and offer plenty of room for a side business. Enjoy fantastic backyard views overlooking a scenic ravine and river - the ideal setting for work and relaxation alike! All measurements and room sizes are estimate or from public records, BATVAI
-
1998-06-24soldstatus $179,900
-
1998-04-27$179,900
-
1998-04-27historical
-
1998-03-21$185,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,374 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,131 · $178/mo
- Expected delta
- +$757/yr (+$63/mo · 55.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,553
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,503
- − Property taxes
- −$1,374
- − Insurance
- −$938
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,964
- − Management
- −$1,964
- − Depreciation
- −$5,455
- Taxable income
- $2,355
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$565
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,721/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Redford Union Schools District No. 1
- NCES district ID
- 2629460
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,778
- Composite
- 14.1/100
- National rank
- #9460
- State rank
- #489 of 540 in MI
Livability — Livonia
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #116
- US rank
- #2784
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 56,806
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,097
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Black 40% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -177.98%
- Current HPI
- 236.2958
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+1.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-20 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-25 Listed $187,500 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-25 Listed $187,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1998-06-24 Sold (MLS) $179,900 REALCOMP
- 1998-04-27 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 1998-04-27 Listed $179,900 REALCOMP
- 1998-03-21 Listed $185,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,374 · -58.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…