1595 Harmony Rd · Villa Rica, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 25.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- Cash flow +10.2/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
$295,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming Cape Cod on a private 1-acre lot featuring a front porch and back deck! Interior boasts a family room with fireplace and a master on main with walk in closet. The Partially finished daylight basement is the perfect flex space for a home office or additional living area. Storage is a breeze with a 2-car garage and two sheds, including an insulated workshop. Home warranty included! Perfect home for personalization! Quiet, Serene, and waiting for you!
Key facts
- 1 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1992
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $295k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-170 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $265k (10.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (26.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $218k (26.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.0% in Villa Rica — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#224 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Paulding County (suburban): math 39% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #33 of 174 in GA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,458 units permitted in Paulding County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Paulding County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$51k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $230k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.47%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $348,797
- List price
- $295,000
- Delta
- -15.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1595 Harmony Rd | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 2,060 (0%) | 0mo | $295,000 | $143 | 100 |
| 44 Makayla Way | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 | 2,000 (-3%) | 15mo | $238,000 | $119 | 74 |
| 59 Mullberry Path | 0.71mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,122 (+3%) | 4mo | $480,000 | $226 | 50 |
| 814 Harmony Rd | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,019 (-2%) | 13mo | $379,000 | $188 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $149,796
- Equity at exit
- $265,759
- IRR
- 20.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.44×
- Total profit
- $449,509
- Equity at exit
- $573,120
Cash invested: $82,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30179
- Home prices YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 191
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,178 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,547
- Tax from tax record
- −$220 /mo · $2,645/yr
- Insurance
- −$123
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$457
- Net cashflow
- $-170
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-3 | -5% $-86 | +0% $-170 | +5% $-253 | +10% $-337 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-342 | -5% $-256 | +0% $-170 | +5% $-84 | +10% $2 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-21 | -0.5pp $-95 | base $-170 | +0.5pp $-246 | +1.0pp $-324 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,750
- Closing costs
- $8,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 Gilberts Way Temple, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1553 | $1,970 | $1.27 | 3d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 79 Avery Way Dallas, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1625 | $2,049 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-04status $295,000 Pending 39 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $295,000 Active Under Contract 39 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $295,000 Active Under Contract 38 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $295,000 Active Under Contract 37 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $295,000 Active Under Contract 36 DOM
-
2026-05-08status Under Contract 461-char remark
Show marketing remark (461 chars)
Charming Cape Cod on a private 1-acre lot featuring a front porch and back deck! Interior boasts a family room with fireplace and a master on main with walk in closet. The Partially finished daylight basement is the perfect flex space for a home office or additional living area. Storage is a breeze with a 2-car garage and two sheds, including an insulated workshop. Home warranty included! Perfect home for personalization! Quiet, Serene, and waiting for you!
-
2026-05-08historical Active Under Contract 461-char remark
Show marketing remark (461 chars)
Charming Cape Cod on a private 1-acre lot featuring a front porch and back deck! Interior boasts a family room with fireplace and a master on main with walk in closet. The Partially finished daylight basement is the perfect flex space for a home office or additional living area. Storage is a breeze with a 2-car garage and two sheds, including an insulated workshop. Home warranty included! Perfect home for personalization! Quiet, Serene, and waiting for you!
-
2026-05-06status Back On Market 461-char remark
Show marketing remark (461 chars)
Charming Cape Cod on a private 1-acre lot featuring a front porch and back deck! Interior boasts a family room with fireplace and a master on main with walk in closet. The Partially finished daylight basement is the perfect flex space for a home office or additional living area. Storage is a breeze with a 2-car garage and two sheds, including an insulated workshop. Home warranty included! Perfect home for personalization! Quiet, Serene, and waiting for you!
-
2026-05-06status Active 461-char remark
Show marketing remark (461 chars)
Charming Cape Cod on a private 1-acre lot featuring a front porch and back deck! Interior boasts a family room with fireplace and a master on main with walk in closet. The Partially finished daylight basement is the perfect flex space for a home office or additional living area. Storage is a breeze with a 2-car garage and two sheds, including an insulated workshop. Home warranty included! Perfect home for personalization! Quiet, Serene, and waiting for you!
-
2026-05-03status Under Contract 461-char remark
Show marketing remark (461 chars)
Charming Cape Cod on a private 1-acre lot featuring a front porch and back deck! Interior boasts a family room with fireplace and a master on main with walk in closet. The Partially finished daylight basement is the perfect flex space for a home office or additional living area. Storage is a breeze with a 2-car garage and two sheds, including an insulated workshop. Home warranty included! Perfect home for personalization! Quiet, Serene, and waiting for you!
-
2026-05-03historical Active Under Contract 461-char remark
Show marketing remark (461 chars)
Charming Cape Cod on a private 1-acre lot featuring a front porch and back deck! Interior boasts a family room with fireplace and a master on main with walk in closet. The Partially finished daylight basement is the perfect flex space for a home office or additional living area. Storage is a breeze with a 2-car garage and two sheds, including an insulated workshop. Home warranty included! Perfect home for personalization! Quiet, Serene, and waiting for you!
-
2026-04-25$295,000 New 461-char remark
Show marketing remark (461 chars)
Charming Cape Cod on a private 1-acre lot featuring a front porch and back deck! Interior boasts a family room with fireplace and a master on main with walk in closet. The Partially finished daylight basement is the perfect flex space for a home office or additional living area. Storage is a breeze with a 2-car garage and two sheds, including an insulated workshop. Home warranty included! Perfect home for personalization! Quiet, Serene, and waiting for you!
-
2026-04-25$295,000 Active 461-char remark
Show marketing remark (461 chars)
Charming Cape Cod on a private 1-acre lot featuring a front porch and back deck! Interior boasts a family room with fireplace and a master on main with walk in closet. The Partially finished daylight basement is the perfect flex space for a home office or additional living area. Storage is a breeze with a 2-car garage and two sheds, including an insulated workshop. Home warranty included! Perfect home for personalization! Quiet, Serene, and waiting for you!
-
2026-04-18historical $295,000 461-char remark
Show marketing remark (461 chars)
Charming Cape Cod on a private 1-acre lot featuring a front porch and back deck! Interior boasts a family room with fireplace and a master on main with walk in closet. The Partially finished daylight basement is the perfect flex space for a home office or additional living area. Storage is a breeze with a 2-car garage and two sheds, including an insulated workshop. Home warranty included! Perfect home for personalization! Quiet, Serene, and waiting for you!
-
2026-04-18historical $295,000 461-char remark
Show marketing remark (461 chars)
Charming Cape Cod on a private 1-acre lot featuring a front porch and back deck! Interior boasts a family room with fireplace and a master on main with walk in closet. The Partially finished daylight basement is the perfect flex space for a home office or additional living area. Storage is a breeze with a 2-car garage and two sheds, including an insulated workshop. Home warranty included! Perfect home for personalization! Quiet, Serene, and waiting for you!
-
2020-09-13soldstatus $229,900
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2020-09-04soldstatus $229,900 Closed
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2020-09-04soldstatus $229,900 Sold
-
2020-08-02status Pending
-
2020-07-23status Under Contract
-
2020-07-23historical Active Under Contract
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2020-07-16$229,900 New
-
2020-07-14$229,900 Active
-
2006-04-28soldstatus $162,500
-
2000-05-01soldstatus $123,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,645 · $220/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,714 · $226/mo
- Expected delta
- +$69/yr (+$6/mo · 2.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,136
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,525
- − Property taxes
- −$2,645
- − Insurance
- −$1,475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,091
- − Management
- −$2,091
- − Depreciation
- −$8,582
- Taxable loss
- −$7,272
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,745
- After-tax cash flow
- $-292/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paulding County
- NCES district ID
- 1304020
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,447
- Composite
- 36.0/100
- National rank
- #4784
- State rank
- #33 of 174 in GA
Livability — Villa Rica
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #224
- US rank
- #13182
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Carroll County · 124,888 people
- City population
- 43,013
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,882
- Household income
- $76,571
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 396.0
Population outlook (Paulding County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 175,714 people
- By 2030
- 186,082 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 204,414 · +16.3%
- By 2050
- 217,040 · +23.5%
- By 2075
- 236,980 · +34.9%
- By 2100
- 238,314 · +35.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Paulding
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.4pp toward D · 2008: -38.5pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+29.1 2016: R+41.2 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+38.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 27.16%
- Current HPI
- 435.3863
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+138.1% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-05-08 Contingent — FMLS
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — FMLS
- 2026-05-03 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-05-03 Contingent — FMLS
- 2026-04-25 Listed $295,000 GAMLS
- 2026-04-25 Listed $295,000 FMLS
- 2026-04-18 Coming Soon $295,000 GAMLS
- 2026-04-18 Coming Soon $295,000 FMLS
- 2020-09-13 Sold (Public Records) $229,900 Public Records
- 2020-09-04 Sold (MLS) $229,900 GAMLS
- 2020-09-04 Sold (MLS) $229,900 FMLS
- 2020-08-02 Pending — FMLS
- 2020-07-23 Pending — GAMLS
- 2020-07-23 Contingent — FMLS
- 2020-07-16 Listed $229,900 GAMLS
- 2020-07-14 Listed $229,900 FMLS
- 2006-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $162,500 Public Records
- 2000-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $123,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,645 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…