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402 4th St
B Composite 71.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$68,000

402 4th St · Copperas Cove, TX 76522
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,084 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 84 Days on market
Built 1960 6,926 sqft lot $63/sqft · 50% below area Est $136k · 50% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fixer Upper, this home needs to be remodeled. Great for an investor or anyone looking for a project.

Key facts

  • 6,926 sq ft lot
  • Built 1960
  • Listed 83 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $192 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($931 rent vs $68k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.4% in Copperas Cove — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#706 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Copperas Cove ISD (suburban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #340 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 608 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 386 units permitted in Coryell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $63,920 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
9.68%
Cash-on-cash
12.10%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$135,800
List price
$68,000
Delta
-49.93%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
309 Elm St 0.54mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,071 (-1%) 2mo $99,000 $92 66
110 Kiefer Cir 0.48mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,124 (+4%) 6mo $185,000 $165 60
102 E Robertson Ave 0.51mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (-7%) 1mo $157,500 $156 59
707 S 5th St 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,112 (+3%) 1mo $116,000 $104 56
907 Hackberry St 0.38mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,212 (+12%) 0mo $185,000 $153 53
1009 N 4th St 0.33mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,222 (+13%) 2mo $173,000 $142 52
506 Veterans Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,034 (-5%) 3mo $150,000 $145 50
501 Hill St 0.51mi 2/1.0 944 (-13%) 7mo $120,000 $127 49
714 Mickan St 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (-7%) 1mo $97,800 $97 49
612 N 13th St 0.70mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,152 (+6%) 2mo $168,350 $146 48
413 W Lincoln Ave 0.44mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (+11%) 6mo $187,000 $156 48
319 Elm St 0.59mi 2/1.0 936 (-14%) 7mo $40,000 $43 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.1%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-1,461
Equity at exit
$10,139
10-year hold
IRR
3.6%
Equity multiple
1.22×
Total profit
$4,166
Equity at exit
$5,879

Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76522

Home prices YoY
-22.4%
Rents YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
608
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$931 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$357
Tax from tax record
$159 /mo · $1,906/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$196
Net cashflow
$192

Break-even live

Break-even rent $688
Max offer price $68,000
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $230 -5% $211 +0% $192 +5% $173 +10% $153
Rent -10% $118 -5% $155 +0% $192 +5% $229 +10% $266
Rate -1.0pp $226 -0.5pp $209 base $192 +0.5pp $174 +1.0pp $156

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,000
Closing costs
$2,040
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
401 N 4th St Apt E Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 750 $700 $0.93 24d 1 0.01mi
604 N Main St Apt D Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 1.5 1100 $900 $0.82 45d 1 0.14mi
604 N Main St Apt C Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.5 1000 $750 $0.75 45d 1 0.14mi
102 E Truman Ave Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 854 $725 $0.85 45d 1 0.14mi
505 Hackberry St Unit 18 Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 750 $675 $0.90 15d 1 0.20mi
505 Hackberry St Unit 25 Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 758 $675 $0.89 45d 1 0.20mi
309 Erby Ave Unit A Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $824 $1.03 24d 1 0.23mi
306 Erby Ave Unit A Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 795 $695 $0.87 45d 1 0.25mi
204 W Truman Ave Unit D Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 895 $800 $0.89 45d 1 0.26mi
308 Erby Ave Unit C Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 795 $900 $1.13 45d 1 0.26mi
212 Erby Ave Unit B Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 795 $850 $1.07 45d 1 0.26mi
204 South Dr Unit A Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 895 $999 $1.12 45d 1 0.28mi
802 Hackberry St Unit B Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 45d 1 0.28mi
402 Hill St Unit A Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $750 $0.94 45d 1 0.36mi
401 W Lincoln Ave Unit 2 Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 740 $850 $1.15 24d 1 0.37mi
806 N 3rd St Unit A Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1130 $1,150 $1.02 45d 1 0.39mi
204 West Avenue F Unit B Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 895 $705 $0.79 45d 1 0.41mi
204 West Avenue F Unit A Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 895 $725 $0.81 45d 1 0.41mi
304 Carpenter St Unit 1 Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 850 $775 $0.91 45d 1 0.42mi
304 Carpenter St Unit 7 Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 850 $775 $0.91 24d 1 0.42mi
907 North Dr Unit B Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 725 $850 $1.17 45d 1 0.43mi
412 West Avenue C Unit C Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1343 $1,600 $1.19 22d 1 0.43mi
107 Jason Dr Unit A Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 734 $925 $1.26 45d 1 0.43mi
414 West Avenue C Unit C Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1343 $1,600 $1.19 45d 1 0.44mi
807 N 3rd St Unit A Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $800 $1.00 15d 1 0.46mi
201 Jason Dr Unit B Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 814 $850 $1.04 45d 1 0.48mi
211 E Hogan Dr Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1372 $1,400 $1.02 15d 1 0.49mi
509 West Avenue B Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1339 $1,175 $0.88 24d 1 0.49mi
101 Meggs St Unit F Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 725 $695 $0.96 45d 1 0.50mi
811 N 5th St Unit B Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 815 $675 $0.83 24d 1 0.51mi
137 Wolfe Rd Apt C Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 768 $650 $0.85 45d 1 0.52mi
114 Nelson Dr Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1448 $1,400 $0.97 45d 1 0.54mi
402 Mary St Apt 204 Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 850 $725 $0.85 45d 1 0.54mi
208 Veterans Ave Unit 106 Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 829 $650 $0.78 24d 1 0.58mi
403 S 7th St Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 1.0 910 $1,100 $1.21 45d 1 0.58mi
502 S 9th St Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 1.5 1479 $1,150 $0.78 45d 1 0.64mi
605 N 11th St Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1432 $1,575 $1.10 45d 1 0.64mi
907 N 7th St Apt B Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 735 $650 $0.88 24d 1 0.64mi
1005 Phil Ave Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,025 $1.00 45d 1 0.67mi
410 Veterans Ave Unit 5 Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $750 $0.94 45d 1 0.69mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $68,000 Active 84 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $68,000 Active 81 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $68,000 Active 80 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $68,000 Active 79 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $68,000 Active 78 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $68,000 Active 76 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $68,000 Active 75 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $68,000 Active 73 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $68,000 Active 72 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $68,000 Active 71 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $68,000 Active 70 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $68,000 Active 67 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $68,000 Active 66 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $68,000 Active 65 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $68,000 Active 64 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $68,000 Active 63 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $68,000 Active 62 DOM
  18. 2026-03-28
    listed $68,000 Active 100-char remark
    Show marketing remark (100 chars)

    Fixer Upper, this home needs to be remodeled. Great for an investor or anyone looking for a project.

  19. 2019-09-27
    soldstatus
  20. 2019-09-27
    soldstatus
  21. 2019-06-21
    listed $60,000
  22. 2019-06-21
    listed $60,000
  23. 2018-12-12
    soldstatus
  24. 2018-05-26
    listed $55,000
  25. 2006-04-28
    soldstatus
  26. 2005-02-23
    listed $49,500
  27. 1999-12-30
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,906 · $159/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,906 · $159/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,175
− Mortgage interest
−$3,809
− Property taxes
−$1,906
− Insurance
−$340
− Repairs & maintenance
−$894
− Management
−$894
− Depreciation
−$1,978
Taxable income
$1,355
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$325
After-tax cash flow
$1,979/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Copperas Cove ISD
NCES district ID
4815240
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$51,072
Composite
35.85/100
National rank
#4822
State rank
#340 of 826 in TX

Livability — Copperas Cove

Score
65/100
State rank
#706
US rank
#13158

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Copperas Cove, TX
County
Coryell County · 61,053 people
City population
42,118
Metro
Killeen-Temple, TX
Population (ZIP)
42,118
Household income
$72,206
Rent vs Own
37.9% rent · 62.1% own
Severe rent burden
1019.0

Population outlook (Coryell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
75,485 people
By 2030
75,627 · +0.2%
By 2040
74,898 · -0.8%
By 2050
74,221 · -1.7%
By 2075
72,688 · -3.7%
By 2100
66,862 · -11.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 20% Black 14% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Coryell

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.7) · D 29.1% · R 69.8% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.8pp toward R · 2008: -26.9pp · 2024: -40.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.7 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+39.5 2012: R+36.6 2008: R+26.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.11%
Current HPI
183.9452
Rent YoY
▼ -0.25%
Metro
Killeen-Temple, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+37.4% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-28 Listed $68,000 CTXMLS
  • 2019-09-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-09-27 Sold (MLS) Unlock MLS
  • 2019-06-21 Listed $60,000 Unlock MLS
  • 2019-06-21 Listed $60,000 CTXMLS
  • 2018-12-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-05-26 Listed $55,000 CTXMLS
  • 2006-04-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-02-23 Listed $49,500 CTXMLS
  • 1999-12-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,906 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…