402 4th St · Copperas Cove, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 56.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$68,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fixer Upper, this home needs to be remodeled. Great for an investor or anyone looking for a project.
Key facts
- 6,926 sq ft lot
- Built 1960
- Listed 83 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $192 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($931 rent vs $68k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.4% in Copperas Cove — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#706 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- Copperas Cove ISD (suburban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #340 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 608 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 386 units permitted in Coryell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.10%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $135,800
- List price
- $68,000
- Delta
- -49.93%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309 Elm St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,071 (-1%) | 2mo | $99,000 | $92 | 66 |
| 110 Kiefer Cir | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,124 (+4%) | 6mo | $185,000 | $165 | 60 |
| 102 E Robertson Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (-7%) | 1mo | $157,500 | $156 | 59 |
| 707 S 5th St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,112 (+3%) | 1mo | $116,000 | $104 | 56 |
| 907 Hackberry St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,212 (+12%) | 0mo | $185,000 | $153 | 53 |
| 1009 N 4th St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,222 (+13%) | 2mo | $173,000 | $142 | 52 |
| 506 Veterans Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,034 (-5%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $145 | 50 |
| 501 Hill St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 944 (-13%) | 7mo | $120,000 | $127 | 49 |
| 714 Mickan St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (-7%) | 1mo | $97,800 | $97 | 49 |
| 612 N 13th St | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,152 (+6%) | 2mo | $168,350 | $146 | 48 |
| 413 W Lincoln Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+11%) | 6mo | $187,000 | $156 | 48 |
| 319 Elm St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (-14%) | 7mo | $40,000 | $43 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-1,461
- Equity at exit
- $10,139
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $4,166
- Equity at exit
- $5,879
Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76522
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 608
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $931 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$357
- Tax from tax record
- −$159 /mo · $1,906/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$196
- Net cashflow
- $192
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $230 | -5% $211 | +0% $192 | +5% $173 | +10% $153 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $118 | -5% $155 | +0% $192 | +5% $229 | +10% $266 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $226 | -0.5pp $209 | base $192 | +0.5pp $174 | +1.0pp $156 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,000
- Closing costs
- $2,040
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401 N 4th St Apt E Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $700 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 604 N Main St Apt D Copperas Cove, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $900 | $0.82 | 45d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 604 N Main St Apt C Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $750 | $0.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 102 E Truman Ave Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $725 | $0.85 | 45d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 505 Hackberry St Unit 18 Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $675 | $0.90 | 15d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 505 Hackberry St Unit 25 Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 758 | $675 | $0.89 | 45d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 309 Erby Ave Unit A Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $824 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 306 Erby Ave Unit A Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 795 | $695 | $0.87 | 45d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 204 W Truman Ave Unit D Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $800 | $0.89 | 45d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 308 Erby Ave Unit C Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 795 | $900 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 212 Erby Ave Unit B Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 795 | $850 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 204 South Dr Unit A Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $999 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 802 Hackberry St Unit B Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 402 Hill St Unit A Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $750 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 401 W Lincoln Ave Unit 2 Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $850 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 806 N 3rd St Unit A Copperas Cove, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $1,150 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 204 West Avenue F Unit B Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $705 | $0.79 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 204 West Avenue F Unit A Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $725 | $0.81 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 304 Carpenter St Unit 1 Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $775 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 304 Carpenter St Unit 7 Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $775 | $0.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 907 North Dr Unit B Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $850 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 412 West Avenue C Unit C Copperas Cove, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1343 | $1,600 | $1.19 | 22d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 107 Jason Dr Unit A Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 734 | $925 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 414 West Avenue C Unit C Copperas Cove, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1343 | $1,600 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 807 N 3rd St Unit A Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 201 Jason Dr Unit B Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $850 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 211 E Hogan Dr Copperas Cove, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1372 | $1,400 | $1.02 | 15d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 509 West Avenue B Copperas Cove, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1339 | $1,175 | $0.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 101 Meggs St Unit F Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $695 | $0.96 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 811 N 5th St Unit B Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $675 | $0.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 137 Wolfe Rd Apt C Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $650 | $0.85 | 45d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 114 Nelson Dr Copperas Cove, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $1,400 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 402 Mary St Apt 204 Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $725 | $0.85 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 208 Veterans Ave Unit 106 Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 829 | $650 | $0.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 403 S 7th St Copperas Cove, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,100 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 502 S 9th St Copperas Cove, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1479 | $1,150 | $0.78 | 45d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 605 N 11th St Copperas Cove, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1432 | $1,575 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 907 N 7th St Apt B Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $650 | $0.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1005 Phil Ave Copperas Cove, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,025 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 410 Veterans Ave Unit 5 Copperas Cove, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $750 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $68,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $68,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $68,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $68,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $68,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $68,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $68,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $68,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $68,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $68,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $68,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $68,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $68,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $68,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $68,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $68,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $68,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-03-28$68,000 Active 100-char remark
Show marketing remark (100 chars)
Fixer Upper, this home needs to be remodeled. Great for an investor or anyone looking for a project.
-
2019-09-27soldstatus
-
2019-09-27soldstatus
-
2019-06-21$60,000
-
2019-06-21$60,000
-
2018-12-12soldstatus
-
2018-05-26$55,000
-
2006-04-28soldstatus
-
2005-02-23$49,500
-
1999-12-30soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,906 · $159/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,906 · $159/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,175
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,809
- − Property taxes
- −$1,906
- − Insurance
- −$340
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$894
- − Management
- −$894
- − Depreciation
- −$1,978
- Taxable income
- $1,355
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$325
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,979/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Copperas Cove ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4815240
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,072
- Composite
- 35.85/100
- National rank
- #4822
- State rank
- #340 of 826 in TX
Livability — Copperas Cove
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #706
- US rank
- #13158
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Copperas Cove, TX
- County
- Coryell County · 61,053 people
- City population
- 42,118
- Metro
- Killeen-Temple, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,118
- Household income
- $72,206
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1019.0
Population outlook (Coryell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 75,485 people
- By 2030
- 75,627 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 74,898 · -0.8%
- By 2050
- 74,221 · -1.7%
- By 2075
- 72,688 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 66,862 · -11.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 20% Black 14% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Coryell
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.7) · D 29.1% · R 69.8% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.8pp toward R · 2008: -26.9pp · 2024: -40.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.7 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+39.5 2012: R+36.6 2008: R+26.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.11%
- Current HPI
- 183.9452
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.25%
- Metro
- Killeen-Temple, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+37.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-28 Listed $68,000 CTXMLS
- 2019-09-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-09-27 Sold (MLS) — Unlock MLS
- 2019-06-21 Listed $60,000 Unlock MLS
- 2019-06-21 Listed $60,000 CTXMLS
- 2018-12-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-05-26 Listed $55,000 CTXMLS
- 2006-04-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-02-23 Listed $49,500 CTXMLS
- 1999-12-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,906 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…