🌊 Lakefront
9621 Spanish Moss Way #3823 · Bonita Springs, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 4 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.8/30.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$325,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Available is a beautifully decorated turnkey 2nd floor condo, all you need to bring is your tooth brush and bathing suit to begin enjoying the Florida Life Style. This floor plan has 2BR den 2BA 1 car detached carport and private storage closet, perfect for bikes and beach chairs. As you step out onto the screened lanai you will notice the amazing western exposure lake view, perfect to watch our beautiful sunsets. Features are tile through in living areas, kitchen w/ solid surface counter tops and island, nice size master w/ large walk in closet, master bath w/ walk in shower and separate tub, his/her sinks, guest bath w/ tile shower and laundry room w/ storage. Just steps from your front door you can walk or bike down to one of 2 community pools to enjoy a leisurely swim. Spanish Wells offers for the golfer and or social butterfly a wonderful golf course/clubhouse available to those who want to join (variety of golf and social memberships available) but is not mandatory. Marbella is located just minutes away from our beautiful A-rated beaches, Southwest Florida International Airport, popular shopping, entertainment destinations and renowned restaurants. Don’t let this one get away!
Key facts
- Fountain views
- Lake views
- Screened lanai
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: Marbella at Spanish Wells, section B1; Restrictions include architectural, deeded restrictions and no RVs allowed
- Financial info: Property zoned RPD
- HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; Monthly master HOA fee ($946); Annual recurring fees total $11,352; One-time fees total $4,950; Professional management; HOA maintenance covers cable, internet/WiFi, irrigation water, lawn/land maintenance, legal/accounting, recreation facilities, reserves, security, sewer, street lights, street maintenance and water; Community amenities include clubhouse, community pool, exercise room, golf course (public/non-equity), bocce court, putting green, tennis courts, restaurant, private membership options, streetlights and underground utilities; Community type: gated, golf course, tennis
Exterior
- Parking: 1 assigned parking space; Detached 1-car carport; Auto garage door
- Security: Gated community; Guard at gate
- Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available; Central irrigation
- Home design: Residential property; Low-rise (1–3 stories); Rear exposure to the west; Located in the Spanish Wells development; Great room floor plan
- Construction: Built in 2007; Concrete block construction; Stucco exterior finish; Tile roof; Impact-resistant windows; Storm protection: impact-resistant windows and manual shutters; Foundation details: see remarks
- Exterior features: Pond; Storage; Screened lanai/porch; Landscaped view; Water view (lake)
Interior
- Kitchen: Island; Pantry; Electric cooktop; Range; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator/freezer
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms plus den; Split bedroom floor plan
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath with dual sinks and separate tub and shower; Guest bath
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Built-in cabinets; Cable prewire; Foyer; French doors; High-speed internet available; Pantry; Smoke detectors; Common elevator
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in residence; Washer/dryer hookup; Washer and dryer listed among equipment (dryer included)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $325k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $448 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $325k).
- Recommended offer: $320k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 1.7% in Bonita Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#428 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: schools C-, cost of living C-, health & safety D.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 835 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,450/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($91k/yr) (locally 976% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $195k; list at $325k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 4→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.91%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-36,604
- Equity at exit
- $48,459
- IRR
- -9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-43,212
- Equity at exit
- $28,100
Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34135
- Rents YoY
- -0.6%
- Active inventory
- 835
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,450 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax from tax record
- −$282 /mo · $3,379/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$946
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$934
- Net cashflow
- $448
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,250
- Closing costs
- $9,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9621 Spanish Moss Way Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1504 | $5,125 | $3.41 | 23d | 2 | 0.03mi |
| 9601 Spanish Moss Way #3613 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1504 | $4,850 | $3.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 28251 Lisbon Ct #3412 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1637 | $5,500 | $3.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 9631 Spanish Moss Way #3922 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1504 | $6,000 | $3.99 | 3d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 9651 Spanish Moss Way #4121 Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1857 | $4,800 | $2.58 | 23d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 9977 Treasure Cay Ln Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2039 | $8,500 | $4.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 28151 Dovewood Ct Bonita Springs, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1233 | $1,945 | $1.58 | 3d | 15 | 0.21mi |
| 28387 Las Palmas Cir Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1705 | $6,200 | $3.64 | 23d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 9940 Treasure Cay Ln Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2108 | $8,500 | $4.03 | 23d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 9871 Citadel Ln #208 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1151 | $3,000 | $2.61 | 23d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 28119 Tamberine Ct #1412 Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1593 | $5,800 | $3.64 | 23d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 28460 Highgate Dr Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1871 | $10,500 | $5.61 | 23d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 9908 White Sands Pl Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1827 | $7,500 | $4.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 27841 Wisconsin St Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $3,500 | $3.01 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 27655 Tennessee St #657 Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1916 | $3,000 | $1.57 | 3d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 27655 Tennessee St Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $3,000 | $1.58 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 9834 Kentucky St Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $3,450 | $2.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 27640 Michigan St Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1510 | $8,995 | $5.96 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 10004 Connecticut St Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $3,100 | $2.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 27911 Hacienda East Blvd Unit 217B Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 27791 Hacienda East Blvd Unit 222D Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1528 | $4,200 | $2.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 9851 Costa Mesa Ln Unit 1546344P Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1194 | $1,935 | $1.62 | 15d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 9855 Costa Mesa Ln #403 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1146 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 28261 Pine Haven Way Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,795 | $1.68 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 28105 Mandolin Ct #213 Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,600 | $1.73 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 27681 Hacienda East Blvd Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1675 | $3,000 | $1.79 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 27750 Hacienda East Blvd Unit 208B Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1528 | $3,800 | $2.49 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 27581 Hacienda East Blvd Unit 1256822P Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1808 | $3,133 | $1.73 | 19d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 14907 Sterling Oaks Dr Naples, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1760 | $6,500 | $3.69 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 27439 Pollard Dr Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1552 | $9,500 | $6.12 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 9111 Las Maderas Dr #102 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1624 | $7,500 | $4.62 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 28052 Palmas Grandes Ln #101 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $7,200 | $4.80 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 9050 Palmas Grandes Blvd #101 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 15985 Arbor View Blvd Naples, FL | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1208 | $1,848 | $1.53 | 13d | 14 | 1.02mi |
| 27414 Pollard Dr Unit 1073493P Bonita Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1593 | $5,065 | $3.18 | 3d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 9030 Las Maderas Dr #101 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1432 | $2,500 | $1.75 | 23d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 9050 Las Maderas Dr #101 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $2,100 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 8990 Palmas Grandes Blvd #201 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1797 | $5,000 | $2.78 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 8981 Palmas Grandes Blvd #102 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1791 | $7,500 | $4.19 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 9021 Las Maderas Dr #202 Bonita Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1674 | $7,500 | $4.48 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $946 · $11,352/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $325,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $325,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $325,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $325,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $325,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $325,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $325,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $325,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $325,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $325,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $325,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $325,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-23$325,000 Active
-
2026-03-13historical
-
2025-04-12price $364,900
-
2025-04-02$399,900 Active
-
2019-02-04soldstatus $195,000
-
2019-01-31soldstatus $195,000 Sold 1207-char remark
Show marketing remark (1207 chars)
Available is a beautifully decorated turnkey 2nd floor condo, all you need to bring is your tooth brush and bathing suit to begin enjoying the Florida Life Style. This floor plan has 2BR den 2BA 1 car detached carport and private storage closet, perfect for bikes and beach chairs. As you step out onto the screened lanai you will notice the amazing western exposure lake view, perfect to watch our beautiful sunsets. Features are tile through in living areas, kitchen w/ solid surface counter tops and island, nice size master w/ large walk in closet, master bath w/ walk in shower and separate tub, his/her sinks, guest bath w/ tile shower and laundry room w/ storage. Just steps from your front door you can walk or bike down to one of 2 community pools to enjoy a leisurely swim. Spanish Wells offers for the golfer and or social butterfly a wonderful golf course/clubhouse available to those who want to join (variety of golf and social memberships available) but is not mandatory. Marbella is located just minutes away from our beautiful A-rated beaches, Southwest Florida International Airport, popular shopping, entertainment destinations and renowned restaurants. Don’t let this one get away!
-
2019-01-02status Pending With Contingencies 1207-char remark
Show marketing remark (1207 chars)
Available is a beautifully decorated turnkey 2nd floor condo, all you need to bring is your tooth brush and bathing suit to begin enjoying the Florida Life Style. This floor plan has 2BR den 2BA 1 car detached carport and private storage closet, perfect for bikes and beach chairs. As you step out onto the screened lanai you will notice the amazing western exposure lake view, perfect to watch our beautiful sunsets. Features are tile through in living areas, kitchen w/ solid surface counter tops and island, nice size master w/ large walk in closet, master bath w/ walk in shower and separate tub, his/her sinks, guest bath w/ tile shower and laundry room w/ storage. Just steps from your front door you can walk or bike down to one of 2 community pools to enjoy a leisurely swim. Spanish Wells offers for the golfer and or social butterfly a wonderful golf course/clubhouse available to those who want to join (variety of golf and social memberships available) but is not mandatory. Marbella is located just minutes away from our beautiful A-rated beaches, Southwest Florida International Airport, popular shopping, entertainment destinations and renowned restaurants. Don’t let this one get away!
-
2018-04-25$234,500 Active 1207-char remark
Show marketing remark (1207 chars)
Available is a beautifully decorated turnkey 2nd floor condo, all you need to bring is your tooth brush and bathing suit to begin enjoying the Florida Life Style. This floor plan has 2BR den 2BA 1 car detached carport and private storage closet, perfect for bikes and beach chairs. As you step out onto the screened lanai you will notice the amazing western exposure lake view, perfect to watch our beautiful sunsets. Features are tile through in living areas, kitchen w/ solid surface counter tops and island, nice size master w/ large walk in closet, master bath w/ walk in shower and separate tub, his/her sinks, guest bath w/ tile shower and laundry room w/ storage. Just steps from your front door you can walk or bike down to one of 2 community pools to enjoy a leisurely swim. Spanish Wells offers for the golfer and or social butterfly a wonderful golf course/clubhouse available to those who want to join (variety of golf and social memberships available) but is not mandatory. Marbella is located just minutes away from our beautiful A-rated beaches, Southwest Florida International Airport, popular shopping, entertainment destinations and renowned restaurants. Don’t let this one get away!
-
2007-09-18soldstatus $199,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,379 · $282/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,379 · $282/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 4 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $53,396
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,205
- − Property taxes
- −$3,379
- − Insurance
- −$1,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,272
- − Management
- −$4,272
- − HOA
- −$11,352
- − Depreciation
- −$9,455
- Taxable income
- $837
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$201
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,174/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bonita Springs
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #428
- US rank
- #7576
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bonita Springs, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 64,727
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,252
- Household income
- $91,380
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 976.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 13% Native American 3% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 21% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -188.86%
- Current HPI
- 243.4153
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.61%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+63.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Listed $325,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2026-03-13 Listing Removed — NAPLESMLS
- 2025-04-12 Price Changed $364,900 NAPLESMLS
- 2025-04-02 Listed $399,900 NAPLESMLS
- 2019-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $195,000 Public Records
- 2019-01-31 Sold (MLS) $195,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2019-01-02 Pending — NAPLESMLS
- 2018-04-25 Listed $234,500 NAPLESMLS
- 2007-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $199,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,379 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…