🏷️ Likely Rental
2025 S 11th St, Mustang Isle #2 · Port Aransas, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.6/30.0
- Schools +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming and affordable 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo just minutes from the beach in the heart of Port Aransas! This fully furnished, ground-floor unit offers easy access and is perfect for a vacation getaway, investment property, or full-time coastal living. Located on 11th Street in a golf cart-friendly zone, you’ll love the convenience of being centrally located near shops, dining, and beach access. Enjoy low HOA dues of just $202/month while taking advantage of community amenities including a fish cleaning cabana, picnic area, and designated boat parking—ideal for coastal enthusiasts. This property allows both short-term and long-term rentals, making it a flexible and income-producing opportunity. Don’t miss your chance to own a slice of island life at an unbeatable value!
Key facts
- Picnic area
- Fish cleaning cabana
- Ground-floor unit
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $215k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $50 ($602/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
- Recommended offer: $189k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 1.1% in Port Aransas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#525 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A; Watch: commute C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Port Aransas ISD (rural): math 57% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #68 of 826 in TX (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Olsen El (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #742 of 4,322 statewide, top 19%, 227 students, 35% FRL); Brundrett Middle (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B+, #134 of 1,662 statewide, top 8%, 115 students, 31% FRL); Port Aransas H S (math 74% / reading 74%, grade B+, #82 of 1,632 statewide, top 6%, 204 students, 19% FRL).
- Market conditions: 1107 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.00%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $347,511
- List price
- $215,000
- Delta
- -38.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1419 S Eleventh #203 | 0.50mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 814 (+8%) | 0mo | $199,000 | $244 | 58 |
| 800 Sandcastle Dr #209 | 0.31mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 846 (+12%) | 4mo | $325,000 | $384 | 58 |
| 810 Banyan Beach Dr #157 | 0.39mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 663 (-12%) | 1mo | $159,000 | $240 | 55 |
| 700 Island Retreat #165 | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 878 (+16%) | 10mo | $370,000 | $421 | 55 |
| 810 Banyan Beach Dr #159 | 0.39mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 663 (-12%) | 7mo | $149,000 | $225 | 51 |
| 810 Banyan Beach Dr #160 | 0.39mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 663 (-12%) | 11mo | $224,000 | $338 | 48 |
| 607 S Gulf St | 1.10mi | 2/1.0 | 822 (+9%) | 8mo | $385,000 | $468 | 44 |
| 1624 S Eleventh St #8 | 0.30mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 865 (+15%) | 10mo | $610,000 | $705 | 42 |
| 609 W Avenue A | 1.42mi | 1/2.0 (-1) | 816 (+8%) | 6mo | $365,000 | $447 | 37 |
| 230 Cut Off #233 | 1.42mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 682 (-10%) | 10mo | $244,850 | $359 | 36 |
| 1030 Tenth St S | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 | 858 (+14%) | 10mo | $519,900 | $606 | 33 |
| 622 Beach Access Road 1a #230 | 1.00mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 588 (-22%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $340 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-31,486
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- -5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-22,662
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 3 active
- Median asking
- $325,000 ($384/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 351 d
- This list price
- 33% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +20.0% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 78373
- Active inventory
- 1107
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$269 /mo · $3,225/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$202
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$462
- Net cashflow
- $50
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $199 | -5% $124 | +0% $50 | +5% $-24 | +10% $-98 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-124 | -5% $-37 | +0% $50 | +5% $137 | +10% $224 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $158 | -0.5pp $105 | base $50 | +0.5pp $-6 | +1.0pp $-62 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 328 Sea Isle Dr Unit A Port Aransas, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $2,200 | $2.12 | 62d | 1 | 0.21mi |
HOA detail $202/mo · $2,424/yr condo
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $215,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $215,000 Active 134 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $215,000 Active 133 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $215,000 Active 132 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $215,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $215,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $215,000 Active 127 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $215,000 Active 125 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $215,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $215,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $215,000 Active 120 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $215,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $215,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $215,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $215,000 Active 114 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $215,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $215,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $215,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $215,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $215,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $215,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $215,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $215,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $215,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $215,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $215,000 Active 102 DOM
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2026-07-05pricedays on market $215,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $229,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $229,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $229,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $229,000 Active 97 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $229,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $229,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $229,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $229,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $229,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $229,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $229,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $229,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $229,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $229,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $229,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $229,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $229,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $229,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $229,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $229,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $229,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $229,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $229,000 Active 69 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$3,225
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,112
- − Management
- −$2,112
- − HOA
- −$2,424
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable loss
- −$2,846
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$683
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,285/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This fully furnished, ground-floor condo is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear
- Minor bathroom fixtures — dated design
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both replace kitchen cabinets — modernizes the space and increases appeal ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Port Aransas ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4835370
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,528
- Composite
- 50.82/100
- National rank
- #1803
- State rank
- #68 of 826 in TX
Livability — Port Aransas
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #525
- US rank
- #10286
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Port Aransas, TX
- County
- Nueces · 418,037 people
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,314
- Household income
- $90,000
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 20% of renters
Population outlook (Nueces County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 418,037 people
- By 2030
- 447,123 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 505,911 · +21.0%
- By 2050
- 567,522 · +35.8%
- By 2075
- 729,686 · +74.6%
- By 2100
- 847,087 · +102.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Nueces
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.5) · D 43.8% · R 55.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.4pp · 2024: -11.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.5 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+4.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -205.54%
- Current HPI
- 268.699
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Listed $229,000 CBMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…