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518 Saint Patrick St
B Composite 70.1
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$45,000

518 Saint Patrick St · Donaldsonville, LA 70346
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,593 sqft · SingleFamily · 164 Days on market
Built 1950 7,405 sqft lot $28/sqft · 78% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Perfect Investment opportunity in Historic Donaldsonville, LA. 4-bedroom, 1-bathroom sitting on a spacious lot.

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 164 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#292 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Ascension Parish (suburban): math 48% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #7 of 98 in LA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Donaldsonville Primary School (432 students, 89% FRL); Lowery Middle School (math 7% / reading 21%, grade F, #187 of 218 statewide, top 86%, 295 students, 86% FRL); Donaldsonville High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #153 of 265 statewide, top 62%, 435 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 44% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 19% at this address vs 53% district-wide (-34 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Ascension Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 579 units permitted in Ascension Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ascension County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $39,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.70%
Cap rate
34.08%
Cash-on-cash
99.26%
DSCR
5.42
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$206,322
List price
$45,000
Delta
-78.19%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1327 Marshland Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,564 (-2%) 1mo $274,065 $175 59
318 Opelousas St 0.20mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,635 (+3%) 23mo $75,000 $46 58
600 Lee Ave 0.25mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,416 (-11%) 10mo $163,000 $115 57
1451 Marshland Ave 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,690 (+6%) 1mo $289,410 $171 48
1440 Marshland Ave 0.69mi 4/2.5 1,788 (+12%) 0mo $292,547 $164 41
310 Gardenia Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,462 (-8%) 21mo $189,500 $130 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
5.69×
Total profit
$59,087
Equity at exit
$6,710
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
11.87×
Total profit
$136,928
Equity at exit
$3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70346

Home prices YoY
-34.5%
Active inventory
33
Price-to-rent
2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,663 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax from tax record
$17 /mo · $203/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$349
Net cashflow
$1,042

Break-even live

Break-even rent $344
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 32%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,068 -5% $1,055 +0% $1,042 +5% $1,029 +10% $1,017
Rent -10% $911 -5% $977 +0% $1,042 +5% $1,108 +10% $1,174
Rate -1.0pp $1,065 -0.5pp $1,054 base $1,042 +0.5pp $1,031 +1.0pp $1,019

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $45,000 Active 164 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $45,000 Active 161 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $45,000 Active 160 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $45,000 Active 159 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $45,000 Active 158 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $45,000 Active 156 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $45,000 Active 153 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,000 Active 152 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 151 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 150 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $45,000 Active 147 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $45,000 Active 146 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 145 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 144 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 143 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 142 DOM
  17. 2026-04-16
    price $45,000 111-char remark
    Show marketing remark (111 chars)

    Perfect Investment opportunity in Historic Donaldsonville, LA. 4-bedroom, 1-bathroom sitting on a spacious lot.

  18. 2026-03-16
    price $50,000 111-char remark
    Show marketing remark (111 chars)

    Perfect Investment opportunity in Historic Donaldsonville, LA. 4-bedroom, 1-bathroom sitting on a spacious lot.

  19. 2026-02-11
    price $55,000 111-char remark
    Show marketing remark (111 chars)

    Perfect Investment opportunity in Historic Donaldsonville, LA. 4-bedroom, 1-bathroom sitting on a spacious lot.

  20. 2026-01-06
    listed $60,000 Active 111-char remark
    Show marketing remark (111 chars)

    Perfect Investment opportunity in Historic Donaldsonville, LA. 4-bedroom, 1-bathroom sitting on a spacious lot.

  21. 2005-02-14
    soldstatus $58,703
  22. 1999-08-07
    listed $29,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$203 · $17/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$247 · $21/mo
Expected delta
+$44/yr (+$4/mo · 21.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,958
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$203
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,597
− Management
−$1,597
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$12,506
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,001
After-tax cash flow
$9,505/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ascension Parish
NCES district ID
2200090
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -31.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -25.00%
Median HH income
$68,423
Composite
47.0/100
National rank
#2347
State rank
#7 of 98 in LA

Livability — Donaldsonville

Score
58/100
State rank
#292
US rank
#20697

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Donaldsonville, LA
Population (ZIP)
9,831

Population outlook (Ascension County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
145,480 people
By 2030
158,329 · +8.8%
By 2040
183,741 · +26.3%
By 2050
207,615 · +42.7%
By 2075
260,244 · +78.9%
By 2100
289,576 · +99.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (68%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 68% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8%
Foreign-born
1% · Vietnam
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ascension

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.2% · R 66.1% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+1.7pp toward D · 2008: -35.7pp · 2024: -34.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.0 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+36.0 2012: R+34.3 2008: R+35.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -68.89%
Current HPI
130.5878
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+50.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $45,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $50,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-02-11 Price Changed $55,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-01-06 Listed $60,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2005-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $58,703 Public Records
  • 1999-08-07 Listed $29,900 AcadianaMLS

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $203 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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