81 Eureka Lake Rd · Eureka, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.3/30.0
- Appreciation +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 1 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1998
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property overlooks the far west end of the lake; directions note the home sits on a hill with lake views
- HOA & community: Property is in an association; Annual association fee of $1,200 with a $300 initiation fee; Association fee covers general upkeep for common areas
Exterior
- Parking: No specific parking details provided
- Utilities: Propane service; Rural water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-family offsite-built home; Single-story
- Construction: Metal roof; No foundation noted
- Exterior features: Patio and deck; Chain-link fencing; Storage outbuilding on site
Interior
- Kitchen: Includes dishwasher, refrigerator, and range
- Bedrooms: One-level home
- Flooring: Laminate flooring throughout
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Floor furnace heating (propane); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Dishwasher, Refrigerator, Range; Fireplace in the living room; Main-floor laundry room with 220V outlet; No basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-floor laundry in a separate room with 220V equipment
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-36 ($-426/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $94k (5.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $95k (4.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#192 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Eureka (rural): math 28% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #86 of 169 in KS (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Marshall Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #321 of 684 statewide, top 52%, 307 students, 67% FRL); Eureka Jr/Sr High (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #60 of 327 statewide, top 24%, 252 students, 56% FRL).
- Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Greenwood County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
- Greenwood County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 263 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 263 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.54%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.51% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.75×
- Total profit
- $48,397
- Equity at exit
- $85,639
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.18×
- Total profit
- $143,648
- Equity at exit
- $181,034
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67045
- Home prices YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 23
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $948 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$100
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$199
- Net cashflow
- $-36
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $100 · $1,200/yr
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,000 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-03-30status Active
-
2026-03-30price $99,000
-
2025-11-23historical
-
2025-10-13price $109,500
-
2025-05-22$127,500 Active
-
2024-12-29historical
-
2024-10-13price $119,900
-
2024-08-26price $127,500
-
2024-06-28$139,900 Active
-
2023-09-28status Pending
-
2023-09-22status Pending
-
2023-09-04price $129,999
-
2023-09-04price $130,000
-
2023-08-29price $144,999
-
2023-08-29price $149,999
-
2023-08-22price $150,000
-
2023-08-18price $155,000
-
2023-08-10price $160,000
-
2023-08-05price $166,000
-
2023-07-30$170,000 Active
-
2016-08-23$65,000
-
2004-11-01$54,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,372
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,485
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$910
- − Management
- −$910
- − HOA
- −$1,200
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable loss
- −$2,053
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$493
- After-tax cash flow
- $67/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Eureka
- NCES district ID
- 2006120
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,104
- Composite
- 27.83/100
- National rank
- #6885
- State rank
- #86 of 169 in KS
Livability — Eureka
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #192
- US rank
- #8682
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,119
Population outlook (Greenwood County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,505 people
- By 2030
- 5,103 · -7.3%
- By 2040
- 4,287 · -22.1%
- By 2050
- 3,576 · -35.0%
- By 2075
- 2,370 · -56.9%
- By 2100
- 1,459 · -73.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Greenwood
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.0) · D 18.8% · R 79.7% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.2pp toward R · 2008: -43.8pp · 2024: -61.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.0 2020: R+60.8 2016: R+59.1 2012: R+49.3 2008: R+43.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.51%
- Current HPI
- 184.0175
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+80.3% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Relisted — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $99,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-23 Listing Removed — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-13 Price Changed $109,500 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-22 Listed $127,500 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-29 Listing Removed — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-13 Price Changed $119,900 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-26 Price Changed $127,500 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-28 Listed $139,900 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-28 Pending — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-22 Pending — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-04 Price Changed $129,999 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-04 Price Changed $130,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-29 Price Changed $144,999 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-29 Price Changed $149,999 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-22 Price Changed $150,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-18 Price Changed $155,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-10 Price Changed $160,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-05 Price Changed $166,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-30 Listed $170,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-08-23 Listed $65,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-11-01 Listed $54,900 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…