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1 Elder Ln
D Composite 44.1
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.4/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0

$429,000

1 Elder Ln · Bella Vista, AR 72714
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,167 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 78 Days on market
Built 2001 0.34 ac lot Est $470k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home is not your typical Bella Vista home. A single story 3 bedroom plus an office that has gorgeous view outside. Split floorplan with hardwood flooring in kitchen, entry, office & formal dining. Crown molding, treyed ceilings and many upgrades. Brand new carpet, paint and granite with stainless appliances, professional landscape, less than 1/2 mile to golf, tennis, swimming pool, putt putt and metfield county club.

Key facts

  • Walk-in closets
  • Formal dining area
  • Dedicated office

Tags

CORNER LOTDEDICATED OFFICEJACK-AND-JILL BATHWALK-IN CLOSETSSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMFORMAL DINING AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Bella Vista Village association (monthly fee); Community amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, golf, playground, park, pool, recreation area, tennis courts and trails/paths

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 3 covered spaces
  • Security: Security system; Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Propane
  • Home design: Single-story home; Faces east
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction; Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on a cleared, landscaped, level city lot close to clubhouse
  • Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Patio; Outbuilding; Community pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Self-cleaning oven; Microwave; Microwave hood fan; Disposal; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Includes spaces used as Library and Office
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Attic; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Programmable thermostat; Quartz counters; Split bedroom layout; Storage; Window treatments; Blinds
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $429k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-330 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $371k (13.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $291k (32.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $291k (32.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.6% in Bella Vista — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#111 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Bentonville School District (urban): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #3 of 238 in AR (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 475 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($103k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
  • Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($403k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask is 16089% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $220k; list at $429k implies a 95% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $291,273 (32.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
5.37%
Cash-on-cash
-3.29%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
12.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$470,239
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1 Portland Cir 0.03mi 3/2.0 2,263 (+4%) 4mo $430,000 $190 86
3 Morganshire Dr 0.39mi 3/2.5 2,170 (+0%) 3mo $494,900 $228 79
2 Haworth Cir 0.27mi 3/2.0 2,050 (-5%) 1mo $445,000 $217 76
16 Elder Ln 0.11mi 3/2.5 1,960 (-10%) 8mo $409,900 $209 72
1 Brecknock Cir 0.35mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,997 (-8%) 0mo $460,000 $230 63
3 Harrington Ln 0.71mi 3/2.0 2,216 (+2%) 1mo $491,750 $222 60
7 Carole Rae Ln 0.60mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,095 (-3%) 5mo $523,750 $250 55
2 Morganshire Dr 0.37mi 3/3.5 2,463 (+14%) 8mo $475,000 $193 50
2 Granshire Ln 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,905 (-12%) 0mo $405,000 $213 43
17 Duxford Cir 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,902 (-12%) 7mo $345,000 $181 42
1 Ila Ln 0.70mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,375 (+10%) 2mo $556,800 $234 42
25 Metfield Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,894 (-13%) 6mo $359,900 $190 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.8%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-5,000
Equity at exit
$155,109
10-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$58,696
Equity at exit
$212,992

Cash invested: $120,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72714

Home prices YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
475
Price-to-rent
12.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,913 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,250
Tax from tax record
$202 /mo · $2,427/yr
Insurance
$179
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$612
Net cashflow
$-330

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,330
Max offer price $370,763
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$107,250
Closing costs
$12,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10 Granshire Dr Unit 1237423P Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 1840 $3,703 $2.01 14d 1 0.25mi
12 Sunderland Dr Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 1650 $1,700 $1.03 23d 1 0.88mi
53 Skipton Dr Bella Vista, AR 4.0 2.0 1607 $2,600 $1.62 14d 1 1.15mi
1 Sandy Ln Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 1640 $1,950 $1.19 14d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $429,000 Active 78 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $429,000 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $429,000 Active 75 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    days on market $429,000 Active 73 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $429,000 Active 70 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $429,000 Active 69 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $429,000 Active 68 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $429,000 Active 67 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $444,000 Active 64 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $444,000 Active 63 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $444,000 Active 62 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $444,000 Active 61 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $444,000 Active 60 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $444,000 Active 59 DOM
  15. 2026-05-19
    price $444,000
  16. 2026-05-12
    listed $2,650
  17. 2026-04-01
    listed $455,000 Active
  18. 2017-07-24
    soldstatus $220,000
  19. 2017-07-20
    soldstatus $220,000 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    This home is not your typical Bella Vista home. A single story 3 bedroom plus an office that has gorgeous view outside. Split floorplan with hardwood flooring in kitchen, entry, office & formal dining. Crown molding, treyed ceilings and many upgrades. Brand new carpet, paint and granite with stainless appliances, professional landscape, less than 1/2 mile to golf, tennis, swimming pool, putt putt and metfield county club.

  20. 2017-06-07
    listed $220,000 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    This home is not your typical Bella Vista home. A single story 3 bedroom plus an office that has gorgeous view outside. Split floorplan with hardwood flooring in kitchen, entry, office & formal dining. Crown molding, treyed ceilings and many upgrades. Brand new carpet, paint and granite with stainless appliances, professional landscape, less than 1/2 mile to golf, tennis, swimming pool, putt putt and metfield county club.

  21. 2005-03-14
    soldstatus $210,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,427 · $202/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,746 · $229/mo
Expected delta
+$319/yr (+$27/mo · 13.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,953
− Mortgage interest
−$24,031
− Property taxes
−$2,427
− Insurance
−$2,145
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,796
− Management
−$2,796
− Depreciation
−$12,480
Taxable loss
−$11,722
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,813
After-tax cash flow
$-1,143/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bentonville School District
NCES district ID
0503060
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$66,721
Composite
51.85/100
National rank
#1661
State rank
#3 of 238 in AR

Livability — Bella Vista

Score
67/100
State rank
#111
US rank
#11129

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bella Vista, AR
County
Benton County · 259,241 people
City population
31,638
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
Population (ZIP)
14,350
Household income
$103,125
Rent vs Own
13.2% rent · 86.8% own
Severe rent burden
61.0

Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
318,683 people
By 2030
353,481 · +10.9%
By 2040
425,280 · +33.4%
By 2050
497,239 · +56.0%
By 2075
662,114 · +107.8%
By 2100
776,431 · +143.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Benton

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.38%
Current HPI
307.5796
Rent YoY
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+111.4% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $444,000 NWARMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Listed for Rent $2,650 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $455,000 NWARMLS
  • 2017-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
  • 2017-07-20 Sold (MLS) $220,000 NWARMLS
  • 2017-06-07 Listed $220,000 NWARMLS
  • 2005-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,427 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…