1 Elder Ln · Bella Vista, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.4/15.0
- Cash flow +9.1/30.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
$429,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home is not your typical Bella Vista home. A single story 3 bedroom plus an office that has gorgeous view outside. Split floorplan with hardwood flooring in kitchen, entry, office & formal dining. Crown molding, treyed ceilings and many upgrades. Brand new carpet, paint and granite with stainless appliances, professional landscape, less than 1/2 mile to golf, tennis, swimming pool, putt putt and metfield county club.
Key facts
- Walk-in closets
- Formal dining area
- Dedicated office
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Bella Vista Village association (monthly fee); Community amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, golf, playground, park, pool, recreation area, tennis courts and trails/paths
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 3 covered spaces
- Security: Security system; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Electricity available; Propane
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces east
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction; Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on a cleared, landscaped, level city lot close to clubhouse
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Patio; Outbuilding; Community pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Self-cleaning oven; Microwave; Microwave hood fan; Disposal; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Includes spaces used as Library and Office
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Attic; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Programmable thermostat; Quartz counters; Split bedroom layout; Storage; Window treatments; Blinds
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $429k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-330 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $371k (13.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $291k (32.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $291k (32.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.6% in Bella Vista — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#111 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Bentonville School District (urban): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #3 of 238 in AR (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 475 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($103k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
- Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($403k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask is 16089% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $220k; list at $429k implies a 95% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.29%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 12.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $470,239
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Portland Cir | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 2,263 (+4%) | 4mo | $430,000 | $190 | 86 |
| 3 Morganshire Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 | 2,170 (+0%) | 3mo | $494,900 | $228 | 79 |
| 2 Haworth Cir | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 2,050 (-5%) | 1mo | $445,000 | $217 | 76 |
| 16 Elder Ln | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 | 1,960 (-10%) | 8mo | $409,900 | $209 | 72 |
| 1 Brecknock Cir | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,997 (-8%) | 0mo | $460,000 | $230 | 63 |
| 3 Harrington Ln | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 2,216 (+2%) | 1mo | $491,750 | $222 | 60 |
| 7 Carole Rae Ln | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,095 (-3%) | 5mo | $523,750 | $250 | 55 |
| 2 Morganshire Dr | 0.37mi | 3/3.5 | 2,463 (+14%) | 8mo | $475,000 | $193 | 50 |
| 2 Granshire Ln | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,905 (-12%) | 0mo | $405,000 | $213 | 43 |
| 17 Duxford Cir | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,902 (-12%) | 7mo | $345,000 | $181 | 42 |
| 1 Ila Ln | 0.70mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,375 (+10%) | 2mo | $556,800 | $234 | 42 |
| 25 Metfield Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,894 (-13%) | 6mo | $359,900 | $190 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-5,000
- Equity at exit
- $155,109
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $58,696
- Equity at exit
- $212,992
Cash invested: $120,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72714
- Home prices YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 475
- Price-to-rent
- 12.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,913 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,250
- Tax from tax record
- −$202 /mo · $2,427/yr
- Insurance
- −$179
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$612
- Net cashflow
- $-330
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $107,250
- Closing costs
- $12,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Granshire Dr Unit 1237423P Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1840 | $3,703 | $2.01 | 14d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 12 Sunderland Dr Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,700 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 53 Skipton Dr Bella Vista, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1607 | $2,600 | $1.62 | 14d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1 Sandy Ln Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $1,950 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $429,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $429,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $429,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $429,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $429,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $429,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $429,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $429,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $444,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $444,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $444,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $444,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $444,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $444,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $444,000
-
2026-05-12$2,650
-
2026-04-01$455,000 Active
-
2017-07-24soldstatus $220,000
-
2017-07-20soldstatus $220,000 431-char remark
Show marketing remark (431 chars)
This home is not your typical Bella Vista home. A single story 3 bedroom plus an office that has gorgeous view outside. Split floorplan with hardwood flooring in kitchen, entry, office & formal dining. Crown molding, treyed ceilings and many upgrades. Brand new carpet, paint and granite with stainless appliances, professional landscape, less than 1/2 mile to golf, tennis, swimming pool, putt putt and metfield county club.
-
2017-06-07$220,000 431-char remark
Show marketing remark (431 chars)
This home is not your typical Bella Vista home. A single story 3 bedroom plus an office that has gorgeous view outside. Split floorplan with hardwood flooring in kitchen, entry, office & formal dining. Crown molding, treyed ceilings and many upgrades. Brand new carpet, paint and granite with stainless appliances, professional landscape, less than 1/2 mile to golf, tennis, swimming pool, putt putt and metfield county club.
-
2005-03-14soldstatus $210,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,427 · $202/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,746 · $229/mo
- Expected delta
- +$319/yr (+$27/mo · 13.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,953
- − Mortgage interest
- −$24,031
- − Property taxes
- −$2,427
- − Insurance
- −$2,145
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,796
- − Management
- −$2,796
- − Depreciation
- −$12,480
- Taxable loss
- −$11,722
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,813
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,143/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bentonville School District
- NCES district ID
- 0503060
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,721
- Composite
- 51.85/100
- National rank
- #1661
- State rank
- #3 of 238 in AR
Livability — Bella Vista
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #111
- US rank
- #11129
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bella Vista, AR
- County
- Benton County · 259,241 people
- City population
- 31,638
- Metro
- Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,350
- Household income
- $103,125
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 61.0
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 318,683 people
- By 2030
- 353,481 · +10.9%
- By 2040
- 425,280 · +33.4%
- By 2050
- 497,239 · +56.0%
- By 2075
- 662,114 · +107.8%
- By 2100
- 776,431 · +143.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.38%
- Current HPI
- 307.5796
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+111.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $444,000 NWARMLS
- 2026-05-12 Listed for Rent $2,650 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-04-01 Listed $455,000 NWARMLS
- 2017-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
- 2017-07-20 Sold (MLS) $220,000 NWARMLS
- 2017-06-07 Listed $220,000 NWARMLS
- 2005-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,427 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…