432 E Bullard Ave · Lake Wales, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.8/30.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Historic home located on a corner lot near Lake Wailes lake. 3 bedroom 2 bath with inside laundry, formal living room with fireplace, sun room or den, formal living room, dinette, kitchen with some remodeling done, 2 car garage with shed or workshop and being sold in as is condition. Enjoy old Florida in this home. Could be a beautiful show piece.
Key facts
- 100 year old home
- Block away from lake
- 0.31 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential, single-family; Total acreage approximately 1/4 to less than 1/2 acre (about 0.31 acre); Lot dimensions about 75' x 180' (approx. 1254 sq meters); Public records list living area and building area; Zoned RES; No CDD; Homestead not indicated
- HOA & community: Street lights in the community; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Garage facing side; Attached garage with 1 garage space; Carport with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected; Fire hydrant nearby; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces north; Listed in fixer condition
- Construction: Stucco and frame construction; Built-up roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built in approximately one story
- Exterior features: Private mailbox; Rain gutters; Corner lot; Located in a historic district; Within city limits; Level lot; Sidewalks; Paved road
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Kitchen open to family room; Den/Library/Office; Family room; Formal separate dining room; Inside utility; Wood-burning fireplace in the living room
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Inside utility
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $424 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#535 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hillcrest Elementary School (math 59% / reading 55%, grade C+, #781 of 2,144 statewide, top 38%, 662 students, 59% FRL, charter); Lake Wales Senior High School (math 32% / reading 45%, grade F, #321 of 667 statewide, top 49%, 1,586 students, 64% FRL, charter) — zoned schools at 61% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 182 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $139k implies a 243% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.07%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $4,538
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- 12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $38,963
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33853
- Home prices YoY
- -9.2%
- Active inventory
- 182
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,818 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax from tax record
- −$225 /mo · $2,705/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$382
- Net cashflow
- $424
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $503 | -5% $463 | +0% $424 | +5% $385 | +10% $345 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $280 | -5% $352 | +0% $424 | +5% $496 | +10% $568 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $494 | -0.5pp $459 | base $424 | +0.5pp $388 | +1.0pp $351 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 307 Steedly Ave Lake Wales, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1335 | $1,895 | $1.42 | 3d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 724 Euclid Ave Lake Wales, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1676 | $1,695 | $1.01 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 842 Hillside Ave Lake Wales, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1914 | $1,650 | $0.86 | 4d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1144 View Pointe Cir Lake Wales, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2068 | $2,161 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 926 Chelsea Way Lake Wales, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1667 | $1,900 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 609 Washington Ave Lake Wales, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $1,549 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-05-19status Pending
-
2026-05-14$139,000 Active
-
2015-07-31soldstatus $40,500 Sold 349-char remark
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
Historic home located on a corner lot near Lake Wailes lake. 3 bedroom 2 bath with inside laundry, formal living room with fireplace, sun room or den, formal living room, dinette, kitchen with some remodeling done, 2 car garage with shed or workshop and being sold in as is condition. Enjoy old Florida in this home. Could be a beautiful show piece.
-
2015-07-02status Pending 349-char remark
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
Historic home located on a corner lot near Lake Wailes lake. 3 bedroom 2 bath with inside laundry, formal living room with fireplace, sun room or den, formal living room, dinette, kitchen with some remodeling done, 2 car garage with shed or workshop and being sold in as is condition. Enjoy old Florida in this home. Could be a beautiful show piece.
-
2015-06-18price $44,850 349-char remark
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
Historic home located on a corner lot near Lake Wailes lake. 3 bedroom 2 bath with inside laundry, formal living room with fireplace, sun room or den, formal living room, dinette, kitchen with some remodeling done, 2 car garage with shed or workshop and being sold in as is condition. Enjoy old Florida in this home. Could be a beautiful show piece.
-
2015-05-26price $47,210 349-char remark
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
Historic home located on a corner lot near Lake Wailes lake. 3 bedroom 2 bath with inside laundry, formal living room with fireplace, sun room or den, formal living room, dinette, kitchen with some remodeling done, 2 car garage with shed or workshop and being sold in as is condition. Enjoy old Florida in this home. Could be a beautiful show piece.
-
2015-03-27price $52,585 349-char remark
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
Historic home located on a corner lot near Lake Wailes lake. 3 bedroom 2 bath with inside laundry, formal living room with fireplace, sun room or den, formal living room, dinette, kitchen with some remodeling done, 2 car garage with shed or workshop and being sold in as is condition. Enjoy old Florida in this home. Could be a beautiful show piece.
-
2015-01-22price $58,250 349-char remark
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
Historic home located on a corner lot near Lake Wailes lake. 3 bedroom 2 bath with inside laundry, formal living room with fireplace, sun room or den, formal living room, dinette, kitchen with some remodeling done, 2 car garage with shed or workshop and being sold in as is condition. Enjoy old Florida in this home. Could be a beautiful show piece.
-
2014-11-21$64,500 Active 349-char remark
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
Historic home located on a corner lot near Lake Wailes lake. 3 bedroom 2 bath with inside laundry, formal living room with fireplace, sun room or den, formal living room, dinette, kitchen with some remodeling done, 2 car garage with shed or workshop and being sold in as is condition. Enjoy old Florida in this home. Could be a beautiful show piece.
-
2012-01-10historical
-
2009-02-13$93,000
-
2007-04-10soldstatus $160,000
-
2007-04-02soldstatus $160,000
-
2006-10-19$185,000
-
2006-03-22historical
-
2006-02-17$159,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,705 · $225/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,705 · $225/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,816
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$2,705
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,745
- − Management
- −$1,745
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable income
- $3,096
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$743
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,345/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lake Wales
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #535
- US rank
- #10036
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lake Wales, FL
- City population
- 30,351
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,385
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 42% Hispanic / Latino 36% Black 19% Two or more races 16%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 18% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 27%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.98%
- Current HPI
- 333.8292
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-12.6% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-14 Listed $139,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-07-31 Sold (MLS) $40,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-07-02 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-06-18 Price Changed $44,850 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-05-26 Price Changed $47,210 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-03-27 Price Changed $52,585 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-01-22 Price Changed $58,250 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-11-21 Listed $64,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-01-10 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-02-13 Listed $93,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
- 2007-04-02 Sold (MLS) $160,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-10-19 Listed $185,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-03-22 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-02-17 Listed $159,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,705 · +12.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…