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4426 Treadway Ln
B- Composite 68.86
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$114,900

4426 Treadway Ln · Edmundson, MO 63134
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1960 6,499 sqft lot Est $146k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Check out this well maintained 3 bed 1 bath house currently occupied with tenants paying $850 a month! This home has a lot of space both indoor and out. Can be purchased in a package deal with four other rented properties, two of which are on the same street! Package deal MLS #'s 20065878, 20064615, 20065874, 20064599, 20064581.

Key facts

  • Near dining
  • Near shopping
  • Near major highways

Tags

SPACIOUS LIVING AREASYARD FOR OUTDOOR ACTIVITIESNEAR MAJOR HIGHWAYSNEAR SHOPPINGNEAR DININGWELL ESTABLISHED COMMUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $327 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#353 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, commute A-, housing B+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Ritenour (suburban): math 13% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #304 of 324 in MO (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Kratz Elem. (math 9% / reading 25%, grade F, #967 of 1,115 statewide, top 88%, 538 students, 99% FRL); Ritenour Sr. High (math 9% / reading 36%, grade F, #455 of 521 statewide, top 88%, 1,873 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 66% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 70 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $115k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $114,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.71%
Cash-on-cash
12.20%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$146,160
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4426 Treadway Ln 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,008 (0%) 1mo $114,900 $114 99
4411 Edmundson Rd 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,104 (+10%) 1mo $130,000 $118 72
9513 Margo Ann Ln 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,008 (0%) 7mo $165,000 $164 71
9716 Margo Ann Ln 0.24mi 3/1.5 1,111 (+10%) 1mo $135,000 $122 69
4423 Dabney Dr 0.15mi 3/1.0 1,152 (+14%) 4mo $109,900 $95 66
9832 Guthrie Ave 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,050 (+4%) 7mo $119,900 $114 64
4332 Saint Leo Ln 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,068 (+6%) 2mo $170,000 $159 63
3937 Wright Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,082 (+7%) 6mo $195,000 $180 63
9406 Bataan Dr 0.75mi 3/1.0 1,037 (+3%) 3mo $175,000 $169 58
4224 Ashby Rd 0.68mi 2/1.5 (-1) 900 (-11%) 1mo $172,500 $192 43
9448 Harold Dr 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (-14%) 2mo $120,000 $139 36
3585 Westridge Ln 0.75mi 3/1.0 864 (-14%) 9mo $125,000 $145 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.3%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$311
Equity at exit
$17,132
10-year hold
IRR
8.5%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$19,503
Equity at exit
$9,934

Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63134

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
70
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,381 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,366/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$290
Net cashflow
$327

Break-even live

Break-even rent $967
Max offer price $114,900
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,725
Closing costs
$3,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4120 Geraldine Ave St Ann, MO 2.0 1.5 922 $1,200 $1.30 17d 1 0.12mi
3961 Jane Ave Unit 3963 St Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $1,195 $1.59 14d 1 0.31mi
10145 Cabana Club Dr St Ann, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 776 $1,060 $1.37 43d 8 0.39mi
9807 Guthrie Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1068 $1,700 $1.59 23d 1 0.40mi
10069 Livingston Ave St Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 875 $1,100 $1.26 23d 1 0.46mi
4204 Beauty Ln Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.5 1299 $1,690 $1.30 43d 1 0.47mi
4616 Country Ln St Ann, MO 2.0 1.0–2.0 758 $1,505 $1.99 2d 9 0.48mi
9675 Muriel Ave Unit 9733 Overland, MO 2.0 1.5 830 $1,200 $1.45 2d 1 0.69mi
9675 Muriel Ave Unit 9627 Overland, MO 2.0 1.5 830 $1,200 $1.45 43d 1 0.69mi
9457 Harold Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1472 $1,530 $1.04 21d 1 0.70mi
9448 Harold Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 864 $1,495 $1.73 43d 1 0.74mi
4400 Gordon Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,800 $1.20 3d 1 0.81mi
10742 Tropic Dr Unit VACANT St Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 43d 1 0.88mi
3648 Edmundson Rd Unit 1 St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $995 $1.11 43d 1 0.89mi
3529 Saint Joachim Ln Unit NA St Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 20d 1 0.96mi
3529 Saint Joachim Ln Saint Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 23d 1 0.96mi
11276 Liana Ln Saint Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 780 $1,189 $1.52 4d 1 0.96mi
10788 Tropic Dr Saint Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 828 $1,260 $1.52 43d 1 0.99mi
9969 Sloane Sq Unit 9969C St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 761 $895 $1.18 4d 1 1.02mi
3434 Sims Ave Saint Ann, MO 3.0 1.5 988 $1,545 $1.56 43d 1 1.05mi
9183 Harold Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,200 $1.32 43d 1 1.06mi
10214 Saint Anthony Ln Saint Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 734 $1,200 $1.63 43d 1 1.15mi
10116 Saint Katherine Ln Saint Ann, MO 3.0 1.0 984 $1,865 $1.90 17d 1 1.16mi
9310 Shirley Gardens Dr Apt C St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 43d 1 1.24mi
9310 Shirley Gardens Dr Apt B St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 43d 1 1.24mi
3219 Royalton Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,095 $1.38 21d 1 1.33mi
3209 Royalton Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 805 $1,150 $1.43 43d 1 1.37mi
3213 Airway Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1215 $1,550 $1.28 43d 1 1.37mi
3209 Dix Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1122 $1,550 $1.38 23d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-04-12
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-31
    listed $114,900 Active
  3. 2020-11-17
    soldstatus $70,500
  4. 2020-10-29
    soldstatus Closed 330-char remark
    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    Check out this well maintained 3 bed 1 bath house currently occupied with tenants paying $850 a month! This home has a lot of space both indoor and out. Can be purchased in a package deal with four other rented properties, two of which are on the same street! Package deal MLS #'s 20065878, 20064615, 20065874, 20064599, 20064581.

  5. 2020-10-23
    status Pending 330-char remark
    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    Check out this well maintained 3 bed 1 bath house currently occupied with tenants paying $850 a month! This home has a lot of space both indoor and out. Can be purchased in a package deal with four other rented properties, two of which are on the same street! Package deal MLS #'s 20065878, 20064615, 20065874, 20064599, 20064581.

  6. 2020-09-28
    price $88,500 330-char remark
    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    Check out this well maintained 3 bed 1 bath house currently occupied with tenants paying $850 a month! This home has a lot of space both indoor and out. Can be purchased in a package deal with four other rented properties, two of which are on the same street! Package deal MLS #'s 20065878, 20064615, 20065874, 20064599, 20064581.

  7. 2020-09-09
    listed $90,000 Active 330-char remark
    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    Check out this well maintained 3 bed 1 bath house currently occupied with tenants paying $850 a month! This home has a lot of space both indoor and out. Can be purchased in a package deal with four other rented properties, two of which are on the same street! Package deal MLS #'s 20065878, 20064615, 20065874, 20064599, 20064581.

  8. 2011-09-08
    soldstatus $25,984
  9. 1993-08-26
    soldstatus $44,000
  10. 1965-12-10
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,366 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,366 · $114/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,578
− Mortgage interest
−$6,436
− Property taxes
−$1,366
− Insurance
−$574
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,326
− Management
−$1,326
− Depreciation
−$3,343
Taxable income
$2,206
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$529
After-tax cash flow
$3,396/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ritenour
NCES district ID
2926640
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,410
Composite
17.04/100
National rank
#9125
State rank
#304 of 324 in MO

Livability — Edmundson

Score
63/100
State rank
#353
US rank
#15711

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Edmundson, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
13,059
Household income
$44,680
Rent vs Own
45.5% rent · 54.5% own
Severe rent burden
655.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 17% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -164.02%
Current HPI
226.9524
Rent YoY
▲ 1.61%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+161.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-12 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $114,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $70,500 Public Records
  • 2020-10-29 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-10-23 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-09-28 Price Changed $88,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-09-09 Listed $90,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $25,984 Public Records
  • 1993-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
  • 1965-12-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+0.0%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,366 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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