102 Driftwood Ave · Lugoff, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 64.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
USDA financing available & Move-in ready! From the front porch, to the back covered porch, this home is packed w/ upgrades: hardwoods thru-out main living area, vaulted & tray ceilings, ample countertop space w/ 3cm thick granite in kitchen & bathrooms w/ comfort height double-sink vanities, garden tub & separate shower in the en-suite, double bonus over garage includes 4th bedroom, recreation space plus a full bathroom. Easily entertain your guests without leaving the room kitchen overlooks dining and family room. Huge Lot with plenty of backyard, Just 10 miles from shopping & dining at Villages of Sandhills & just 5 miles from I-20. Don't miss out! Call
Key facts
- Front porch
- Back covered porch
- Garden tub
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $353 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $237k (5.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $237k (5.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#47 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Kershaw 01 (rural): math 38% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #25 of 80 in SC (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Blaney Elementary (math 48% / reading 47%, grade D, #199 of 597 statewide, top 35%, 760 students, 100% FRL); Lugoff-Elgin High (math 65% / reading 89%, grade A-, #28 of 196 statewide, top 16%, 1,744 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 49% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 62% at this address vs 44% district-wide (+18 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Kershaw 01 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 334 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 491 units permitted in Kershaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kershaw County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $164k; list at $250k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.04%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $302,022
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jesup Ct | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 | 1,868 (-13%) | 24mo | $262,500 | $141 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.7% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-18,865
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $9,201
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29045
- Home prices YoY
- -17.9%
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 334
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,372 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$106 /mo · $1,277/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$498
- Net cashflow
- $353
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $494 | -5% $423 | +0% $353 | +5% $282 | +10% $211 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $165 | -5% $259 | +0% $353 | +5% $446 | +10% $540 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $478 | -0.5pp $416 | base $353 | +0.5pp $288 | +1.0pp $222 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89 Smokewood Dr Elgin, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1840 | $2,129 | $1.16 | 4d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 11 Sedge Ct Elgin, SC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1576 | $2,099 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.56mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-11status Pending
-
2026-04-01price $250,000
-
2026-03-30$265,000 Active
-
2016-09-16soldstatus $164,000
-
2016-04-12price $164,900
-
2010-09-16soldstatus $348,400
-
2007-05-15soldstatus $22,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,277 · $106/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,425 · $119/mo
- Expected delta
- +$148/yr (+$12/mo · 11.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,468
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$1,277
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,277
- − Management
- −$2,277
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable income
- $109
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$26
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,204/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kershaw 01
- NCES district ID
- 4502550
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,585
- Composite
- 37.66/100
- National rank
- #4371
- State rank
- #25 of 80 in SC
Livability — Lugoff
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #47
- US rank
- #6636
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lugoff, SC
- County
- Kershaw County · 47,655 people
- City population
- 16,283
- Metro
- Columbia, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,372
- Household income
- $87,366
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 204.0
Population outlook (Kershaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 67,683 people
- By 2030
- 69,374 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 71,936 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 73,292 · +8.3%
- By 2075
- 75,762 · +11.9%
- By 2100
- 72,620 · +7.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kershaw
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.2) · D 35.3% · R 63.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.5pp toward R · 2008: -18.7pp · 2024: -28.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.2 2020: R+23.1 2016: R+24.8 2012: R+18.6 2008: R+18.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.60%
- Current HPI
- 209.2469
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.70%
- Metro
- Columbia, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+1036.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-11 Pending — Consolidated MLS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $250,000 Consolidated MLS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $265,000 Consolidated MLS
- 2016-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $164,000 Public Records
- 2016-04-12 Price Changed $164,900 Consolidated MLS
- 2010-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $348,400 Public Records
- 2007-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,277 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…