8235 Lobster Bay Ct #305 · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.2/30.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Appreciation +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.4/10.0
$149,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to Summer Key!! the lifestyle you've been looking for! This beautifully maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo is move-in ready and perfectly located near everything Jacksonville has to offer. Step inside to discover fresh paint, wood-look tile floors, and soaring ceilings that create a bright, open-concept living space. The kitchen boasts granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and plenty of cabinet space—ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy peaceful mornings on your private balcony or unwind in the spacious living area filled with natural light. As a resident of Summer Key, you'll love the resort-style amenities: a sparkling pool, fitness center, clubhouse, indoor basketball court, and more. Prime location! Just minutes from St. Johns Town Center, JTB, the beach (15 min), and the airport (25 min). Third-floor unit: quiet, private, and ready for you to call home! No elevator
Key facts
- Brand new roof
- Desirable community
- Open layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community association with monthly fee; Association fee: $384 monthly; Community amenities include gated access, playground, spa/hot tub, and community pool
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking
- Security: Gated community
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Condominium; Multi-family use; 3-story building; Entry on level 3; Property is attached
- Construction: Information not provided
- Exterior features: Asphalt road surface; Community pool (not private)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Disposal
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $149k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-205 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $113k (24.3% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
- Recommended offer: $113k (24.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 513 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.6%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($140k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $76k; list at $149k implies a 96% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 4.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.89%
- DSCR
- 0.74
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.58% appreciation · 0.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-31,871
- Equity at exit
- $31,876
- IRR
- -17.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.22×
- Total profit
- $-50,861
- Equity at exit
- $30,100
Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32256
- Home prices YoY
- -0.7%
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 513
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,578 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$781
- Tax from tax record
- −$224 /mo · $2,691/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$384
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$331
- Net cashflow
- $-205
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,250
- Closing costs
- $4,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5006 Key Lime Dr Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,335 | $1.25 | 21d | 2 | 0.07mi |
| 5006 Key Lime Dr Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,335 | $1.25 | 20d | 2 | 0.07mi |
| 8215 Green Parrot Rd #103 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 978 | $1,429 | $1.46 | 11d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 4974 Key Lime Dr Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 927 | $1,650 | $1.78 | 23d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 8649 A C Skinner Pkwy Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1093 | $1,710 | $1.56 | 1d | 21 | 0.17mi |
| 4931 Key Lime Dr #205 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 927 | $1,350 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 8681 A C Skinner Pkwy Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1103 | $1,744 | $1.58 | 1d | 22 | 0.18mi |
| 8409 Zenith Cir Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1110 | $1,695 | $1.53 | 23d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 8362 Retrograde Rd Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1009 | $1,650 | $1.64 | 16d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 8362 Retrograde Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1009 | $1,650 | $1.64 | 4d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 8330 Zenith Cir Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1109 | $1,650 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 8330 Zenith Cir Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1109 | $1,650 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 8319 Zenith Cir Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1110 | $1,700 | $1.53 | 14d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 8317 Asteroid St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1109 | $1,650 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 8876 A C Skinner Pkwy Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1050 | $2,048 | $1.95 | 3d | 35 | 0.40mi |
| 8181 A C Skinner Pkwy Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1055 | $2,641 | $2.50 | 3d | 40 | 0.59mi |
| 7524 Southside Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $1,350 | $1.74 | 16d | 10 | 0.64mi |
| 8450 Gate Pkwy W Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1194 | $1,676 | $1.40 | 3d | 19 | 0.71mi |
| 9734 Tapestry Park Cir Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1094 | $1,762 | $1.61 | 1d | 41 | 0.72mi |
| 8539 Gate Pkwy W Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 995 | $1,548 | $1.56 | 14d | 6 | 0.74mi |
| 8539 Gate Pkwy W Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 995 | $1,597 | $1.61 | 17d | 7 | 0.74mi |
| 8539 Gate Pkwy W Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 995 | $1,599 | $1.61 | 14d | 5 | 0.74mi |
| 8539 Gate Pkwy W Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 995 | $1,548 | $1.56 | 4d | 4 | 0.74mi |
| 7738 A C Skinner Pkwy Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 960 | $2,187 | $2.28 | 1d | 13 | 0.77mi |
| 4870 Deer Lake Dr E Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 953 | $1,754 | $1.84 | 1d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 7595 Baymeadows Cir W Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1027 | $1,402 | $1.37 | 1d | 29 | 0.86mi |
| 8451 Gate Pkwy W Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1107 | $1,802 | $1.63 | 10d | 21 | 0.90mi |
| 9803 Creekfront Rd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1084 | $1,534 | $1.41 | 2d | 79 | 0.91mi |
| 8290 Gate Pkwy W Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 946 | $1,450 | $1.53 | 1d | 8 | 1.02mi |
| 8290 Gate Pkwy W Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1007 | $1,600 | $1.59 | 23d | 5 | 1.02mi |
| 7740 Southside Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1125 | $1,541 | $1.37 | 3d | 9 | 1.07mi |
| 10010 Skinner Lake Dr Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1001 | $1,574 | $1.57 | 1d | 14 | 1.14mi |
| 7816 Southside Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1115 | $2,182 | $1.96 | 1d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 10640 Satori Ln Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 933 | $1,913 | $2.05 | 4d | 24 | 1.17mi |
| 9825 Gate Pkwy N Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1281 | $1,790 | $1.40 | 1d | 29 | 1.27mi |
| 10000 Gate Pkwy N Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 920 | $1,550 | $1.68 | 7d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 7915 Baymeadows Cir E Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1142 | $1,402 | $1.23 | 1d | 59 | 1.28mi |
| 7932 Southside Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 925 | $1,525 | $1.65 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 9800 Touchton Rd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1160 | $1,662 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 5116 Gate Pkwy Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 952 | $1,981 | $2.08 | 3d | 12 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $384 · $4,608/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-03-13$149,000 Active
-
2025-10-31historical 944-char remark
Show marketing remark (944 chars)
Welcome to Summer Key!! the lifestyle you've been looking for! This beautifully maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo is move-in ready and perfectly located near everything Jacksonville has to offer. Step inside to discover fresh paint, wood-look tile floors, and soaring ceilings that create a bright, open-concept living space. The kitchen boasts granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and plenty of cabinet space—ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy peaceful mornings on your private balcony or unwind in the spacious living area filled with natural light. As a resident of Summer Key, you'll love the resort-style amenities: a sparkling pool, fitness center, clubhouse, indoor basketball court, and more. Prime location! Just minutes from St. Johns Town Center, JTB, the beach (15 min), and the airport (25 min). Third-floor unit: quiet, private, and ready for you to call home! No elevator
-
2025-10-06price $161,000 944-char remark
Show marketing remark (944 chars)
Welcome to Summer Key!! the lifestyle you've been looking for! This beautifully maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo is move-in ready and perfectly located near everything Jacksonville has to offer. Step inside to discover fresh paint, wood-look tile floors, and soaring ceilings that create a bright, open-concept living space. The kitchen boasts granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and plenty of cabinet space—ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy peaceful mornings on your private balcony or unwind in the spacious living area filled with natural light. As a resident of Summer Key, you'll love the resort-style amenities: a sparkling pool, fitness center, clubhouse, indoor basketball court, and more. Prime location! Just minutes from St. Johns Town Center, JTB, the beach (15 min), and the airport (25 min). Third-floor unit: quiet, private, and ready for you to call home! No elevator
-
2025-06-17price $172,500 944-char remark
Show marketing remark (944 chars)
Welcome to Summer Key!! the lifestyle you've been looking for! This beautifully maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo is move-in ready and perfectly located near everything Jacksonville has to offer. Step inside to discover fresh paint, wood-look tile floors, and soaring ceilings that create a bright, open-concept living space. The kitchen boasts granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and plenty of cabinet space—ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy peaceful mornings on your private balcony or unwind in the spacious living area filled with natural light. As a resident of Summer Key, you'll love the resort-style amenities: a sparkling pool, fitness center, clubhouse, indoor basketball court, and more. Prime location! Just minutes from St. Johns Town Center, JTB, the beach (15 min), and the airport (25 min). Third-floor unit: quiet, private, and ready for you to call home! No elevator
-
2025-05-23price $177,000 944-char remark
Show marketing remark (944 chars)
Welcome to Summer Key!! the lifestyle you've been looking for! This beautifully maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo is move-in ready and perfectly located near everything Jacksonville has to offer. Step inside to discover fresh paint, wood-look tile floors, and soaring ceilings that create a bright, open-concept living space. The kitchen boasts granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and plenty of cabinet space—ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy peaceful mornings on your private balcony or unwind in the spacious living area filled with natural light. As a resident of Summer Key, you'll love the resort-style amenities: a sparkling pool, fitness center, clubhouse, indoor basketball court, and more. Prime location! Just minutes from St. Johns Town Center, JTB, the beach (15 min), and the airport (25 min). Third-floor unit: quiet, private, and ready for you to call home! No elevator
-
2025-04-09$179,000 Active 944-char remark
Show marketing remark (944 chars)
Welcome to Summer Key!! the lifestyle you've been looking for! This beautifully maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo is move-in ready and perfectly located near everything Jacksonville has to offer. Step inside to discover fresh paint, wood-look tile floors, and soaring ceilings that create a bright, open-concept living space. The kitchen boasts granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and plenty of cabinet space—ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy peaceful mornings on your private balcony or unwind in the spacious living area filled with natural light. As a resident of Summer Key, you'll love the resort-style amenities: a sparkling pool, fitness center, clubhouse, indoor basketball court, and more. Prime location! Just minutes from St. Johns Town Center, JTB, the beach (15 min), and the airport (25 min). Third-floor unit: quiet, private, and ready for you to call home! No elevator
-
2024-10-30historical 383-char remark
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
Definitely one of the best units in whole Summer Key community. Remodeled, completely. New flooring (beautiful wood like tiles), new exotic granite counter-tops, new bathroom shower walls with glass doors, new lightning and bathroom fixtures, door knobs, new ceiling fans. 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom condo in the heart of Southside. Convenient to shopping, the interstate and the beaches.
-
2024-09-20$199,000 Active 383-char remark
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
Definitely one of the best units in whole Summer Key community. Remodeled, completely. New flooring (beautiful wood like tiles), new exotic granite counter-tops, new bathroom shower walls with glass doors, new lightning and bathroom fixtures, door knobs, new ceiling fans. 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom condo in the heart of Southside. Convenient to shopping, the interstate and the beaches.
-
2015-09-29soldstatus $76,100
-
2011-06-15soldstatus $59,900
-
2011-05-24historical
-
2011-05-20soldstatus $59,900
-
2010-02-19$59,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,691 · $224/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,691 · $224/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,938
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,346
- − Property taxes
- −$2,691
- − Insurance
- −$745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,515
- − Management
- −$1,515
- − HOA
- −$4,608
- − Depreciation
- −$4,335
- Taxable loss
- −$4,816
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,156
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,303/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 58,192
- Household income
- $73,570
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2706.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 18% Asian 13% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.58%
- Current HPI
- 216.5115
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.39%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+150.4% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-13 Listed $149,000 realMLS
- 2025-10-31 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2025-10-06 Price Changed $161,000 realMLS
- 2025-06-17 Price Changed $172,500 realMLS
- 2025-05-23 Price Changed $177,000 realMLS
- 2025-04-09 Listed $179,000 realMLS
- 2024-10-30 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2024-09-20 Listed $199,000 realMLS
- 2015-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $76,100 Public Records
- 2011-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records
- 2011-05-24 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2011-05-20 Sold (MLS) $59,900 realMLS
- 2010-02-19 Listed $59,500 realMLS
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,691 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…