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2210 10th Ave SW
B Composite 70.23
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

2210 10th Ave SW · Watertown, SD 57201
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,432 sqft · Manufactured · 11 Days on market
Built 2014

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2014 Adventure Home Mojave Serial #INADD01AB03563-MJ13. No real estate is being sold with the home. It is on a rental lot.

Key facts

  • Move-in ready
  • Two storage sheds
  • Built 2014

Tags

FUNCTIONAL FLOOR PLANJACK-AND-JILL BATHROOMFULLY EQUIPPED KITCHENMOVE-IN READYTWO STORAGE SHEDS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Rented lot (monthly $350)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 12 (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Electric cooktop; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Microwave
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $589 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 2.3% in Watertown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#11 in SD, #2,681 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Watertown School District 14-4 (town): math 45% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #28 of 59 in SD (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Watertown High School - 01 (math 42% / reading 67%, grade C-, #53 of 151 statewide, top 41%, 1,220 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools at 22% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 228 active listings in the ZIP; 160 units permitted in Codington County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Codington County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $120k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $120,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
12.18%
Cash-on-cash
21.03%
DSCR
1.94
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.5%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$18,063
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
22.3%
Equity multiple
2.91×
Total profit
$64,025
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Dakota
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; mostly landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 57201

Active inventory
228
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,741 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$107 /mo · $1,283/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$366
Net cashflow
$589

Break-even live

Break-even rent $995
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $120,000 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $120,000 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $120,000 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    listed $120,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SD · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,283 · $107/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,572 · $131/mo
Expected delta
+$289/yr (+$24/mo · 22.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,888
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,283
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,671
− Management
−$1,671
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$5,450
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,308
After-tax cash flow
$5,759/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Watertown School District 14-4
NCES district ID
4676620
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$46,575
Composite
43.24/100
National rank
#3057
State rank
#28 of 59 in SD

Livability — Watertown

Score
78/100
State rank
#11
US rank
#2681

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Watertown, SD
County
Codington County · 26,781 people
City population
26,781
Metro
Watertown, SD
Population (ZIP)
26,781
Household income
$72,878
Rent vs Own
31.5% rent · 68.5% own
Severe rent burden
613.0

Population outlook (Codington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
29,752 people
By 2030
30,627 · +2.9%
By 2040
32,285 · +8.5%
By 2050
33,812 · +13.6%
By 2075
39,184 · +31.7%
By 2100
46,673 · +56.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 15% Romanian 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Codington

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.8) · D 28.4% · R 69.2% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-34.4pp toward R · 2008: -6.4pp · 2024: -40.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.8 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+39.3 2012: R+18.3 2008: R+6.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -161.04%
Current HPI
165.8449
Rent YoY
Metro
Watertown, SD
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.70%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+41.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $120,000 NESD
  • 2021-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 2021-07-02 Sold (MLS) $80,000 NESD
  • 2020-10-27 Listed $84,900 NESD

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,283 · +10.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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