923 Teton Cir #110 · Suffolk, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhouse-style condo is located in the heart of Suffolk. Offering approximately 1,800 sq ft of living space, the home provides plenty of room for comfortable living and entertaining. A great opportunity to add your personal touches and make it your own. Call today for more information and to schedule your tour!
Key facts
- $204 HOA
- Parking
- Built 2007
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $226k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $377 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $226k).
- Recommended offer: $206k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.5% in Suffolk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#88 in VA, #2,896 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, schools A; Watch: crime C-, commute F.
- Suffolk City Public School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #72 of 131 in VA (top 55%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.6%/yr); 507 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 680 units permitted in Suffolk city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Suffolk County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($206k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $170k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.15%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $292,710
- List price
- $225,900
- Delta
- -22.82%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $1,446
- Equity at exit
- $33,682
- IRR
- 15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.52×
- Total profit
- $96,060
- Equity at exit
- $19,532
Cash invested: $63,252 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23435
- Rents YoY
- 10.6%
- Active inventory
- 507
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,635 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,185
- Tax from tax record
- −$222 /mo · $2,664/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$204
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$553
- Net cashflow
- $377
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,475
- Closing costs
- $6,777
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 604 Teton Cir Suffolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1701 | $2,500 | $1.47 | 12d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2113 Livingston St Suffolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1770 | $2,750 | $1.55 | 4d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 3111 Burlington St Suffolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1638 | $2,700 | $1.65 | 21d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 2230 Livingston St Suffolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1767 | $2,500 | $1.41 | 7d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2230 Livingston St Suffolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1659 | $2,500 | $1.51 | 4d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1005 Opal St #105 Suffolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2259 | $2,700 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2003 Laycock Ln Suffolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1771 | $2,500 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2207 Tuliptree Cir Suffolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2313 | $2,900 | $1.25 | 11d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1005 Serene Rd #103 Suffolk, VA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2071 | $2,900 | $1.40 | 4d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 371 Canaan Cir Suffolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2132 | $3,200 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $204 · $2,448/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $225,900 Under Contract 91 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $225,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $225,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $225,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $225,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-14status Active 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (361 chars)
Welcome home! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhouse-style condo is located in the heart of Suffolk. Offering approximately 1,800 sq ft of living space, the home provides plenty of room for comfortable living and entertaining. A great opportunity to add your personal touches and make it your own. Call today for more information and to schedule your tour!
-
2026-05-11historical 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (361 chars)
Welcome home! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhouse-style condo is located in the heart of Suffolk. Offering approximately 1,800 sq ft of living space, the home provides plenty of room for comfortable living and entertaining. A great opportunity to add your personal touches and make it your own. Call today for more information and to schedule your tour!
-
2026-05-08price $225,900 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (361 chars)
Welcome home! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhouse-style condo is located in the heart of Suffolk. Offering approximately 1,800 sq ft of living space, the home provides plenty of room for comfortable living and entertaining. A great opportunity to add your personal touches and make it your own. Call today for more information and to schedule your tour!
-
2026-04-28status Active 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (361 chars)
Welcome home! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhouse-style condo is located in the heart of Suffolk. Offering approximately 1,800 sq ft of living space, the home provides plenty of room for comfortable living and entertaining. A great opportunity to add your personal touches and make it your own. Call today for more information and to schedule your tour!
-
2026-04-09status Under Contract 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (361 chars)
Welcome home! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhouse-style condo is located in the heart of Suffolk. Offering approximately 1,800 sq ft of living space, the home provides plenty of room for comfortable living and entertaining. A great opportunity to add your personal touches and make it your own. Call today for more information and to schedule your tour!
-
2026-02-10$250,900 Active 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (361 chars)
Welcome home! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhouse-style condo is located in the heart of Suffolk. Offering approximately 1,800 sq ft of living space, the home provides plenty of room for comfortable living and entertaining. A great opportunity to add your personal touches and make it your own. Call today for more information and to schedule your tour!
-
2023-08-29status Under Contract
-
2023-08-17$229,500 Active
-
2019-12-12historical
-
2019-11-20soldstatus $170,000
-
2019-08-20historical Active Under Contract
-
2019-07-29price $170,000
-
2019-07-03price $175,000
-
2019-06-12$180,000 Active
-
2019-03-12historical
-
2019-01-25price $189,999
-
2019-01-03$195,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,664 · $222/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,664 · $222/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,619
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,654
- − Property taxes
- −$2,664
- − Insurance
- −$1,130
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,530
- − Management
- −$2,530
- − HOA
- −$2,448
- − Depreciation
- −$6,572
- Taxable income
- $1,093
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$262
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,259/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Suffolk City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103710
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -43.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,573
- Composite
- 48.31/100
- National rank
- #2151
- State rank
- #72 of 131 in VA
Livability — Suffolk
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #88
- US rank
- #2896
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Suffolk, VA
- County
- Suffolk City · 88,108 people
- City population
- 88,108
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,721
- Household income
- $111,700
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1074.0
Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 95,269 people
- By 2030
- 98,269 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 103,177 · +8.3%
- By 2050
- 105,777 · +11.0%
- By 2075
- 110,963 · +16.5%
- By 2100
- 103,711 · +8.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 36% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.9) · D 57.4% · R 41.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 13.2pp · 2024: 15.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.9 2020: D+17.3 2016: D+13.8 2012: D+15.1 2008: D+13.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -155.93%
- Current HPI
- 162.3775
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.61%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+15.8% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2026-05-11 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $225,900 REINMLS
- 2026-04-28 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2026-04-09 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-02-10 Listed $250,900 REINMLS
- 2023-08-29 Pending — REINMLS
- 2023-08-17 Listed $229,500 REINMLS
- 2019-12-12 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2019-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
- 2019-08-20 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2019-07-29 Price Changed $170,000 REINMLS
- 2019-07-03 Price Changed $175,000 REINMLS
- 2019-06-12 Listed $180,000 REINMLS
- 2019-03-12 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2019-01-25 Price Changed $189,999 REINMLS
- 2019-01-03 Listed $195,000 REINMLS
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,664 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…