17036 Apache Dr · Jerseyville, IL 62052

$40,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily · 20 Days on market

Built 1989 0.37 ac lot ↓ 5% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.5/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Key facts

• 0.37 acre lot
• Built 1989
• Listed 20 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Single-phase electric service; Electricity available
• Home design: Single-family residence; One level
• Construction: Frame construction
• Exterior features: Irregular, private lot

Interior

• Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
• Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling
• Interior features: Six total rooms

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $505 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
• Recommended offer: $39k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 21.4% vs local median 4.6% in Jerseyville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#327 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities D+, commute F.
• Jersey CUSD 100 (town): math 25% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #260 of 620 in IL (top 42%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 101 units permitted in Jersey County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $4k of equity ($277 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Jersey County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.

Recommended offer $39,400 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.65% ✓
• Cap rate: 21.44%
• Cash-on-cash: 54.10%
• DSCR: 3.41
• GRM: 3.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $135,000
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
29151 Haven Rd	0.33mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,080 (0%)	15mo	$134,900	$125	63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 67.1%
• Equity multiple: 5.82×
• Total profit: $53,995
• Equity at exit: $36,035

10-year hold

• IRR: 60.8%
• Equity multiple: 12.95×
• Total profit: $133,815
• Equity at exit: $77,711

Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
• State Illinois: 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 62052

• Home prices YoY: 10.2%
• Active inventory: 90
• Price-to-rent: 3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,059 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$210
• Tax from tax record: −$105 /mo · $1,261/yr
• Insurance: −$17
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$222
• Net cashflow: $505

Break-even live

Break-even rent $420

Max offer price $40,000

Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $10,000
• Closing costs: $1,200
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 11 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $40,000 Active 20 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $40,000 Active 19 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $40,000 Active 18 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $40,000 Active 17 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $40,000 Active 15 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $40,000 Active 11 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $40,000 Active 10 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   statusdays on market $40,000 Active 9 DOM
9. 2026-05-24
   listed $40,000 Active
10. 2026-05-24
    historical $40,000
11. 2005-10-03
    soldstatus $42,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,261 · $105/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,261 · $105/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,706
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,241
• − Property taxes: −$1,261
• − Insurance: −$200
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,016
• − Management: −$1,016
• − Depreciation: −$1,164
• Taxable income: $5,808
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,394
• After-tax cash flow: $4,665/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Jersey CUSD 100
• NCES district ID: 1720430
• Math proficiency: 25% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 32% ▼ -14.00%
• Median HH income: $52,066
• Composite: 25.13/100
• National rank: #7522
• State rank: #260 of 620 in IL

Livability — Jerseyville

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #327
• US rank: #6498

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• City population: 12,483
• Population (ZIP): 12,483

Population outlook (Jersey County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 21,031 people
• By 2030: 20,138 · -4.2%
• By 2040: 18,077 · -14.0%
• By 2050: 15,882 · -24.5%
• By 2075: 11,718 · -44.3%
• By 2100: 8,546 · -59.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (96%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 96% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jersey

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+50.2) · D 24.1% · R 74.3% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -47.5pp toward R · 2008: -2.7pp · 2024: -50.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+50.2 2020: R+48.1 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+23.9 2008: R+2.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 23.63%
• Current HPI: 255.48
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.59%
• F500 in state: 60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	4	$201B
▸Consumer Goods	4	$87B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$64B
▸Healthcare	2	$55B
▸Retail / Pharmacy	1	$148B
▸Agriculture / Food	1	$86B

Price history

-4.8% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-24 Listed $40,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-05-24 Coming Soon $40,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2005-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,261 · +82.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.