4623 Karla St · Wichita Falls, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$168,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This newly renovated home is a gem! 4 bed 1.5 bath w/ over approx 1800sqft of living space, according to the owner. This property has it all from easy to clean flooring throughout, a gas range for the cooks delight, and a soft neutral color pallet. Situated on a spacious lot with privacy fenced back yard, near Lake Wichita Park & Dog park, shopping & dining.
Key facts
- Large backyard
- Storage shed
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Single story; North-facing
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built for residential use
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Outbuilding
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave
- Bathrooms: One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (Natural Gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Central heating; Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/0.5-bath single-family listed at $168k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $577 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $168k).
- Recommended offer: $163k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 4.7% in Wichita Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D.
- Wichita Falls ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #585 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 151 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.73%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $186,443
- List price
- $168,000
- Delta
- -9.89%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5100 Tower Dr | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 | 1,571 (+4%) | 15mo | $139,999 | $89 | 54 |
| 5113 Jamaica Dr | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 | 1,590 (+5%) | 9mo | $169,900 | $107 | 51 |
| 5307 Long Leaf Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,337 (-12%) | 20mo | $246,500 | $184 | 20 |
| 7 Tumbleweed | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,701 (+12%) | 23mo | $230,000 | $135 | 15 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.83% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $20,507
- Equity at exit
- $25,049
- IRR
- 23.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.44×
- Total profit
- $114,899
- Equity at exit
- $14,526
Cash invested: $47,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76310
- Home prices YoY
- -25.9%
- Rents YoY
- 7.8%
- Active inventory
- 151
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,149 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$881
- Tax from tax record
- −$169 /mo · $2,028/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$451
- Net cashflow
- $577
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,000
- Closing costs
- $5,040
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5114 Fairway Blvd Wichita Falls, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 5313 Langford Ln Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,650 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
Listing history 28 events
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2026-06-19days on market $168,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $168,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $168,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $168,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $168,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $168,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $168,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $168,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $168,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $168,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $168,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $168,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $168,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $168,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $168,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $168,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-05-05$168,000 Active 477-char remark
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2026-02-25price $168,000
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2026-01-05price $171,500
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2024-02-29soldstatus Closed
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
This newly renovated home is a gem! 4 bed 1.5 bath w/ over approx 1800sqft of living space, according to the owner. This property has it all from easy to clean flooring throughout, a gas range for the cooks delight, and a soft neutral color pallet. Situated on a spacious lot with privacy fenced back yard, near Lake Wichita Park & Dog park, shopping & dining.
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2024-02-29soldstatus
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
This newly renovated home is a gem! 4 bed 1.5 bath w/ over approx 1800sqft of living space, according to the owner. This property has it all from easy to clean flooring throughout, a gas range for the cooks delight, and a soft neutral color pallet. Situated on a spacious lot with privacy fenced back yard, near Lake Wichita Park & Dog park, shopping & dining.
-
2024-02-12historical
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
This newly renovated home is a gem! 4 bed 1.5 bath w/ over approx 1800sqft of living space, according to the owner. This property has it all from easy to clean flooring throughout, a gas range for the cooks delight, and a soft neutral color pallet. Situated on a spacious lot with privacy fenced back yard, near Lake Wichita Park & Dog park, shopping & dining.
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2024-01-23historical $1,575
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2023-12-01price $159,900
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
This newly renovated home is a gem! 4 bed 1.5 bath w/ over approx 1800sqft of living space, according to the owner. This property has it all from easy to clean flooring throughout, a gas range for the cooks delight, and a soft neutral color pallet. Situated on a spacious lot with privacy fenced back yard, near Lake Wichita Park & Dog park, shopping & dining.
-
2023-11-15price $164,900
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
This newly renovated home is a gem! 4 bed 1.5 bath w/ over approx 1800sqft of living space, according to the owner. This property has it all from easy to clean flooring throughout, a gas range for the cooks delight, and a soft neutral color pallet. Situated on a spacious lot with privacy fenced back yard, near Lake Wichita Park & Dog park, shopping & dining.
-
2023-10-26price $169,000
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
This newly renovated home is a gem! 4 bed 1.5 bath w/ over approx 1800sqft of living space, according to the owner. This property has it all from easy to clean flooring throughout, a gas range for the cooks delight, and a soft neutral color pallet. Situated on a spacious lot with privacy fenced back yard, near Lake Wichita Park & Dog park, shopping & dining.
-
2023-10-12$175,000 Active
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
This newly renovated home is a gem! 4 bed 1.5 bath w/ over approx 1800sqft of living space, according to the owner. This property has it all from easy to clean flooring throughout, a gas range for the cooks delight, and a soft neutral color pallet. Situated on a spacious lot with privacy fenced back yard, near Lake Wichita Park & Dog park, shopping & dining.
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2023-09-22$1,575
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,028 · $169/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,074 · $256/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,046/yr (+$87/mo · 51.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,783
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,411
- − Property taxes
- −$2,028
- − Insurance
- −$840
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,063
- − Management
- −$2,063
- − Depreciation
- −$4,887
- Taxable income
- $4,492
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,078
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,850/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wichita Falls ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4845780
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,604
- Composite
- 27.06/100
- National rank
- #7051
- State rank
- #585 of 826 in TX
Livability — Wichita Falls
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #437
- US rank
- #8940
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wichita Falls, TX
- County
- Wichita County · 95,694 people
- City population
- 95,694
- Metro
- Wichita Falls, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,029
- Household income
- $82,183
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 263.0
Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 129,638 people
- By 2030
- 128,366 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 124,466 · -4.0%
- By 2050
- 120,499 · -7.0%
- By 2075
- 113,884 · -12.2%
- By 2100
- 101,818 · -21.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 10% Black 6% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wichita
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.37%
- Current HPI
- 176.0321
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.83%
- Metro
- Wichita Falls, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+10566.7% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Listed $168,000 WFAOR
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $168,000 WFAOR
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $171,500 WFAOR
- 2024-02-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-02-29 Sold (MLS) — WFAOR
- 2024-02-12 Delisted — WFAOR
- 2024-01-23 Rental Removed $1,575 NTREIS
- 2023-12-01 Price Changed $159,900 WFAOR
- 2023-11-15 Price Changed $164,900 WFAOR
- 2023-10-26 Price Changed $169,000 WFAOR
- 2023-10-12 Listed $175,000 WFAOR
- 2023-09-22 Listed for Rent $1,575 NTREIS
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,028 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…