223 E Vance St · Laurinburg, NC
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 75.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- ARV discount +13.8/15.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.5/10.0
$122,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment property.
Key facts
- High ceilings
- Spacious layout
- 8,712 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Wood siding; Has home warranty
- Exterior features: Covered front porch; Porch; Partial fencing in back yard; Cleared, level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen island; Eat-in kitchen; Water heater (appliance listed)
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Ceiling fan cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; High ceilings; Kitchen island; Storage; Wood-burning fireplace (2 total)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup in unit; Crawl space
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $123k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $293 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $123k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 5.1% in Laurinburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#632 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Scotland County Schools (town): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #160 of 178 in NC (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Scotland High School (math 45% / reading 44%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 1,445 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 72% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 44% at this address vs 26% district-wide (+19 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Scotland County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Scotland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $850 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Scotland County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 530 days — a 12% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 75% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 530 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.22%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $142,974
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 710 Pine St | 0.03mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,322 (-13%) | 1mo | $25,000 | $19 | 71 |
| 223 W Vance St | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 | 1,580 (+4%) | 11mo | $170,000 | $108 | 68 |
| 421 James St | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,478 (-3%) | 11mo | $152,200 | $103 | 66 |
| 218 West Blvd | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 | 1,656 (+9%) | 7mo | $155,000 | $94 | 62 |
| 110 First St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,515 (-0%) | 9mo | $72,000 | $48 | 57 |
| 201 2nd St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,430 (-6%) | 3mo | $60,000 | $42 | 55 |
| 506 Everett St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,451 (-5%) | 23mo | $170,000 | $117 | 52 |
| 321 Midland Way | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,648 (+8%) | 11mo | $156,000 | $95 | 52 |
| 613 Mcnair Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,301 (-14%) | 12mo | $62,000 | $48 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,269
- Equity at exit
- $18,325
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $22,835
- Equity at exit
- $10,626
Cash invested: $34,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28352
- Home prices YoY
- -3.4%
- Active inventory
- 158
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,352 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$645
- Tax from tax record
- −$79 /mo · $951/yr
- Insurance
- −$51
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $293
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,725
- Closing costs
- $3,687
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $122,900 Active 530 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $122,900 Active 529 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $122,900 Active 528 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $122,900 Active 527 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $122,900 Active 525 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $122,900 Active 524 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $122,900 Active 522 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $122,900 Active 521 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $122,900 Active 520 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $122,900 Active 519 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $122,900 Active 516 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $122,900 Active 515 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $122,900 Active 514 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $122,900 Active 513 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $122,900 Active 512 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $122,900 Active 511 DOM
-
2026-03-21status Active
-
2026-03-21price $122,900
-
2026-03-07status Pending
-
2026-01-17price $125,900
-
2025-12-20price $129,900
-
2025-10-13price $134,500
-
2025-09-19price $135,000
-
2025-07-26price $139,000
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2025-06-13price $144,900
-
2025-03-21price $148,900
-
2024-12-20$149,000 Active
-
2022-09-21soldstatus $145,000
-
2017-06-28soldstatus $18,000 26-char remark
Show marketing remark (26 chars)
Great investment property.
-
2014-08-26$22,500 26-char remark
Show marketing remark (26 chars)
Great investment property.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $951 · $79/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,008 · $84/mo
- Expected delta
- +$57/yr (+$5/mo · 6.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 75% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,224
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,884
- − Property taxes
- −$951
- − Insurance
- −$614
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,298
- − Management
- −$1,298
- − Depreciation
- −$3,575
- Taxable income
- $1,604
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$385
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,133/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Scotland County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3704200
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,203
- Composite
- 20.66/100
- National rank
- #8536
- State rank
- #160 of 178 in NC
Livability — Laurinburg
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #632
- US rank
- #22962
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Laurinburg, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,177
Population outlook (Scotland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,331 people
- By 2030
- 32,017 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 29,290 · -12.1%
- By 2050
- 26,554 · -20.3%
- By 2075
- 19,857 · -40.4%
- By 2100
- 13,851 · -58.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 42% White 37% Native American 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Scotland
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.9) · D 46.2% · R 53.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.0pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -6.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.9 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+7.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.08%
- Current HPI
- 255.331
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+446.2% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-21 Relisted — LPRMLS
- 2026-03-21 Price Changed $122,900 LPRMLS
- 2026-03-07 Pending — LPRMLS
- 2026-01-17 Price Changed $125,900 LPRMLS
- 2025-12-20 Price Changed $129,900 LPRMLS
- 2025-10-13 Price Changed $134,500 LPRMLS
- 2025-09-19 Price Changed $135,000 LPRMLS
- 2025-07-26 Price Changed $139,000 LPRMLS
- 2025-06-13 Price Changed $144,900 LPRMLS
- 2025-03-21 Price Changed $148,900 LPRMLS
- 2024-12-20 Listed $149,000 LPRMLS
- 2022-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
- 2017-06-28 Sold (MLS) $18,000 Hive MLS
- 2014-08-26 Listed $22,500 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2024): $951 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…