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C+ Composite 64.36
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.8/15.0
  • DSCR +8.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.5/10.0

$122,900

223 E Vance St · Laurinburg, NC 28352
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,521 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 530 Days on market
Built 1956 8,712 sqft lot Est $143k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment property.

Key facts

  • High ceilings
  • Spacious layout
  • 8,712 sq ft lot

Tags

ORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSWOOD BURNING FIREPLACESSPACIOUS LAYOUTHIGH CEILINGS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Wood siding; Has home warranty
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch; Porch; Partial fencing in back yard; Cleared, level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen island; Eat-in kitchen; Water heater (appliance listed)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Ceiling fan cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; High ceilings; Kitchen island; Storage; Wood-burning fireplace (2 total)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup in unit; Crawl space

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $123k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $293 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $123k).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 5.1% in Laurinburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#632 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Scotland County Schools (town): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #160 of 178 in NC (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Scotland High School (math 45% / reading 44%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 1,445 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 72% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 44% at this address vs 26% district-wide (+19 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Scotland County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Scotland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $850 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Scotland County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 530 days — a 12% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 75% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $108,152 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 530 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
9.16%
Cash-on-cash
10.22%
DSCR
1.45
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$142,974
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
710 Pine St 0.03mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,322 (-13%) 1mo $25,000 $19 71
223 W Vance St 0.30mi 3/1.5 1,580 (+4%) 11mo $170,000 $108 68
421 James St 0.25mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,478 (-3%) 11mo $152,200 $103 66
218 West Blvd 0.32mi 3/1.5 1,656 (+9%) 7mo $155,000 $94 62
110 First St 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,515 (-0%) 9mo $72,000 $48 57
201 2nd St 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,430 (-6%) 3mo $60,000 $42 55
506 Everett St 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,451 (-5%) 23mo $170,000 $117 52
321 Midland Way 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,648 (+8%) 11mo $156,000 $95 52
613 Mcnair Ave 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,301 (-14%) 12mo $62,000 $48 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.0%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-1,269
Equity at exit
$18,325
10-year hold
IRR
8.7%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$22,835
Equity at exit
$10,626

Cash invested: $34,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28352

Home prices YoY
-3.4%
Active inventory
158
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,352 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$645
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $951/yr
Insurance
$51
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$284
Net cashflow
$293

Break-even live

Break-even rent $981
Max offer price $122,900
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,725
Closing costs
$3,687
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $122,900 Active 530 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $122,900 Active 529 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $122,900 Active 528 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $122,900 Active 527 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $122,900 Active 525 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $122,900 Active 524 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $122,900 Active 522 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $122,900 Active 521 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $122,900 Active 520 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $122,900 Active 519 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $122,900 Active 516 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $122,900 Active 515 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $122,900 Active 514 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $122,900 Active 513 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $122,900 Active 512 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $122,900 Active 511 DOM
  17. 2026-03-21
    status Active
  18. 2026-03-21
    price $122,900
  19. 2026-03-07
    status Pending
  20. 2026-01-17
    price $125,900
  21. 2025-12-20
    price $129,900
  22. 2025-10-13
    price $134,500
  23. 2025-09-19
    price $135,000
  24. 2025-07-26
    price $139,000
  25. 2025-06-13
    price $144,900
  26. 2025-03-21
    price $148,900
  27. 2024-12-20
    listed $149,000 Active
  28. 2022-09-21
    soldstatus $145,000
  29. 2017-06-28
    soldstatus $18,000 26-char remark
    Show marketing remark (26 chars)

    Great investment property.

  30. 2014-08-26
    listed $22,500 26-char remark
    Show marketing remark (26 chars)

    Great investment property.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$951 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,008 · $84/mo
Expected delta
+$57/yr (+$5/mo · 6.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 75% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,224
− Mortgage interest
−$6,884
− Property taxes
−$951
− Insurance
−$614
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,298
− Management
−$1,298
− Depreciation
−$3,575
Taxable income
$1,604
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$385
After-tax cash flow
$3,133/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Scotland County Schools
NCES district ID
3704200
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$31,203
Composite
20.66/100
National rank
#8536
State rank
#160 of 178 in NC

Livability — Laurinburg

Score
56/100
State rank
#632
US rank
#22962

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Laurinburg, NC
Population (ZIP)
24,177

Population outlook (Scotland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,331 people
By 2030
32,017 · -3.9%
By 2040
29,290 · -12.1%
By 2050
26,554 · -20.3%
By 2075
19,857 · -40.4%
By 2100
13,851 · -58.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Black 42% White 37% Native American 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Scotland

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.9) · D 46.2% · R 53.1%
2008→2024 swing
-22.0pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -6.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.9 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+7.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+15.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -9.08%
Current HPI
255.331
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+446.2% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-21 Relisted LPRMLS
  • 2026-03-21 Price Changed $122,900 LPRMLS
  • 2026-03-07 Pending LPRMLS
  • 2026-01-17 Price Changed $125,900 LPRMLS
  • 2025-12-20 Price Changed $129,900 LPRMLS
  • 2025-10-13 Price Changed $134,500 LPRMLS
  • 2025-09-19 Price Changed $135,000 LPRMLS
  • 2025-07-26 Price Changed $139,000 LPRMLS
  • 2025-06-13 Price Changed $144,900 LPRMLS
  • 2025-03-21 Price Changed $148,900 LPRMLS
  • 2024-12-20 Listed $149,000 LPRMLS
  • 2022-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
  • 2017-06-28 Sold (MLS) $18,000 Hive MLS
  • 2014-08-26 Listed $22,500 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $951 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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