5307 Derbyshire Dr · Katy, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.66%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +8.9/15.0
- Cash flow +7.7/30.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- DSCR +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$240,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming home located in the desirable Katyland community! This well-maintained property features 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths with tile and laminate flooring throughout—no carpet. The home also offers a new roof, ceiling fans, a spacious kitchen, and a cozy fireplace. The garage has been thoughtfully converted into a third bedroom along with a small office area, separate laundry room, and private entrance, offering additional flexibility and functionality. Enjoy relaxing in the sunroom overlooking the backyard with privacy fencing. Conveniently located near restaurants, shopping, and major freeways, and just a short distance from Downtown Katy. Zoned to highly regarded Katy ISD schools. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Privacy fencing
- Converted garage
- Sunroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-277 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $191k (20.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (21.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $188k (21.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.0% in Katy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#111 in TX, #3,613 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D, commute F.
- Katy ISD (suburban): math 61% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #29 of 826 in TX (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 2696 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $46k; list at $240k implies a 418% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.95%
- DSCR
- 0.78
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $247,913
- List price
- $240,000
- Delta
- -3.19%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1518 Chilton Ln | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,509 (-2%) | 3mo | $309,999 | $205 | 68 |
| 5367 11th St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,656 (+8%) | 7mo | $300,000 | $181 | 62 |
| 1740 Airline Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (-6%) | 5mo | $315,000 | $216 | 61 |
| 5354 Marian St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,415 (-8%) | 2mo | $242,000 | $171 | 58 |
| 5259 Sills Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,432 (-7%) | 3mo | $249,900 | $175 | 57 |
| 5347 Lincoln Green Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,394 (-10%) | 3mo | $255,000 | $183 | 56 |
| 5142 Mockingbird Ln | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,623 (+5%) | 4mo | $280,000 | $173 | 56 |
| 1531 Dan Cox Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,617 (+5%) | 7mo | $269,000 | $166 | 55 |
| 5157 Mockingbird Ln | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,338 (-13%) | 0mo | $285,000 | $213 | 46 |
| 5221 Town Park Blvd | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,767 (+15%) | 2mo | $259,000 | $147 | 43 |
| 5425 Princeton Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,764 (+14%) | 4mo | $237,500 | $135 | 42 |
| 1515 Avenue A | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,356 (-12%) | 7mo | $610,000 | $450 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -28.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.08×
- Total profit
- $-61,967
- Equity at exit
- $35,785
- IRR
- -46.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.45×
- Total profit
- $-97,610
- Equity at exit
- $20,751
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77493
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 2696
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,879 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$390 /mo · $4,683/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$13
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$395
- Net cashflow
- $-277
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1646 Chilton Ln Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1442 | $2,000 | $1.39 | 4d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1700 Katy Fort Bend Rd Katy, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1094 | $1,875 | $1.71 | 2d | 33 | 0.63mi |
| 1944 Katy Fort Bend Rd Unit 2174 Katy, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1185 | $1,585 | $1.34 | 15d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1944 Katy Fort Bend Rd Unit 2001 Katy, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1185 | $1,610 | $1.36 | 12d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1944 Katy Fort Bend Rd Unit 1967 Katy, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1185 | $1,730 | $1.46 | 10d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1944 Katy Fort Bend Rd Unit 2187 Katy, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1185 | $1,698 | $1.43 | 3d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1944 Katy Fort Bend Rd Unit 424 Katy, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1185 | $1,706 | $1.44 | 5d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2150 Katy Fort Bend Rd Unit 2183 Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $1,821 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2150 Katy Fort Bend Rd Unit 3174 Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $1,856 | $1.46 | 3d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 5240 Tallowpine Ter Katy, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $1,262 | $1.19 | 12d | 10 | 0.93mi |
| 24300 Franz Rd Unit 2174 Katy, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,534 | $1.45 | 17d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 24300 Franz Rd Unit 424 Katy, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $1,691 | $1.44 | 5d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 24300 Franz Rd Unit 24337 Katy, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,567 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 24300 Franz Rd Unit 24323 Katy, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $1,715 | $1.46 | 10d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 24300 Franz Rd Unit 24357 Katy, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,567 | $1.48 | 12d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 24300 Franz Rd Unit 2187 Katy, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $1,683 | $1.43 | 3d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 24990 Katy Ranch Rd Katy, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1153 | $1,837 | $1.59 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 24982 Katy Ranch Rd Unit 24982 Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $2,124 | $1.54 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1330 W Park Green Dr Katy, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1058 | $1,781 | $1.68 | 3d | 17 | 1.35mi |
| 1330 W Park Green Dr Katy, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $1,802 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1330 W Park Green Dr Katy, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1058 | $1,711 | $1.62 | 43d | 16 | 1.35mi |
| 24949 Katy Ranch Rd Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $2,275 | $1.65 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 24002 Colonial Pkwy Katy, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1072 | $1,768 | $1.65 | 2d | 32 | 1.36mi |
| 2031 Wigmaker Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,800 | $1.26 | 5d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1330 Park West Green Dr Unit 1363 Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1451 | $2,212 | $1.52 | 15d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1330 Park West Green Dr Unit 1367 Katy, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,847 | $1.53 | 15d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 24949 Katy Ranch Rd Unit 2187 Katy, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1153 | $1,740 | $1.51 | 3d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 24949 Katy Ranch Rd Unit 24986 Katy, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1153 | $1,773 | $1.54 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 24949 Katy Ranch Rd Unit 3174 Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $2,113 | $1.53 | 10d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 24949 Katy Ranch Rd Unit 3187 Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $2,081 | $1.51 | 3d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 24949 Katy Ranch Rd Unit 2174 Katy, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1153 | $1,772 | $1.54 | 10d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 24949 Katy Ranch Rd Unit 2162 Katy, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1153 | $1,748 | $1.52 | 4d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 24720 Morton Ranch Rd Katy, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1074 | $1,914 | $1.78 | 2d | 53 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $13 · $156/yr
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $240,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $240,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $240,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $240,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $240,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $250,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $250,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $250,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $250,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $250,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $250,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $250,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $250,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-05-01price $250,000 727-char remark
Show marketing remark (727 chars)
Charming home located in the desirable Katyland community! This well-maintained property features 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths with tile and laminate flooring throughout—no carpet. The home also offers a new roof, ceiling fans, a spacious kitchen, and a cozy fireplace. The garage has been thoughtfully converted into a third bedroom along with a small office area, separate laundry room, and private entrance, offering additional flexibility and functionality. Enjoy relaxing in the sunroom overlooking the backyard with privacy fencing. Conveniently located near restaurants, shopping, and major freeways, and just a short distance from Downtown Katy. Zoned to highly regarded Katy ISD schools. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-04-20status Active 727-char remark
Show marketing remark (727 chars)
Charming home located in the desirable Katyland community! This well-maintained property features 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths with tile and laminate flooring throughout—no carpet. The home also offers a new roof, ceiling fans, a spacious kitchen, and a cozy fireplace. The garage has been thoughtfully converted into a third bedroom along with a small office area, separate laundry room, and private entrance, offering additional flexibility and functionality. Enjoy relaxing in the sunroom overlooking the backyard with privacy fencing. Conveniently located near restaurants, shopping, and major freeways, and just a short distance from Downtown Katy. Zoned to highly regarded Katy ISD schools. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-23historical 727-char remark
Show marketing remark (727 chars)
Charming home located in the desirable Katyland community! This well-maintained property features 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths with tile and laminate flooring throughout—no carpet. The home also offers a new roof, ceiling fans, a spacious kitchen, and a cozy fireplace. The garage has been thoughtfully converted into a third bedroom along with a small office area, separate laundry room, and private entrance, offering additional flexibility and functionality. Enjoy relaxing in the sunroom overlooking the backyard with privacy fencing. Conveniently located near restaurants, shopping, and major freeways, and just a short distance from Downtown Katy. Zoned to highly regarded Katy ISD schools. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-06$265,000 Active 727-char remark
Show marketing remark (727 chars)
Charming home located in the desirable Katyland community! This well-maintained property features 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths with tile and laminate flooring throughout—no carpet. The home also offers a new roof, ceiling fans, a spacious kitchen, and a cozy fireplace. The garage has been thoughtfully converted into a third bedroom along with a small office area, separate laundry room, and private entrance, offering additional flexibility and functionality. Enjoy relaxing in the sunroom overlooking the backyard with privacy fencing. Conveniently located near restaurants, shopping, and major freeways, and just a short distance from Downtown Katy. Zoned to highly regarded Katy ISD schools. Schedule your showing today!
-
2021-12-30soldstatus
-
2021-12-17soldstatus Sold 554-char remark
Show marketing remark (554 chars)
Don't miss this very nice home located in The Katy-land Community. It features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths with tile and laminate flooring throughout, new roof. The garage was converted to a 3rd bedroom and a small office area with separate laundry room and entrance. Come see for yourself. The backyard features a sunroom and privacy fence. No carpet throughout, ceiling fans, spacious kitchen, fireplace and breakfast/formal dining area. Close to restaurants, shopping, and major freeways. Exemplary Schools, and a short distance from the Downtown Katy, TX.
-
2021-11-28status Pending 554-char remark
Show marketing remark (554 chars)
Don't miss this very nice home located in The Katy-land Community. It features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths with tile and laminate flooring throughout, new roof. The garage was converted to a 3rd bedroom and a small office area with separate laundry room and entrance. Come see for yourself. The backyard features a sunroom and privacy fence. No carpet throughout, ceiling fans, spacious kitchen, fireplace and breakfast/formal dining area. Close to restaurants, shopping, and major freeways. Exemplary Schools, and a short distance from the Downtown Katy, TX.
-
2021-11-16status Option Pending 554-char remark
Show marketing remark (554 chars)
Don't miss this very nice home located in The Katy-land Community. It features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths with tile and laminate flooring throughout, new roof. The garage was converted to a 3rd bedroom and a small office area with separate laundry room and entrance. Come see for yourself. The backyard features a sunroom and privacy fence. No carpet throughout, ceiling fans, spacious kitchen, fireplace and breakfast/formal dining area. Close to restaurants, shopping, and major freeways. Exemplary Schools, and a short distance from the Downtown Katy, TX.
-
2021-11-08$220,000 Active 554-char remark
Show marketing remark (554 chars)
Don't miss this very nice home located in The Katy-land Community. It features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths with tile and laminate flooring throughout, new roof. The garage was converted to a 3rd bedroom and a small office area with separate laundry room and entrance. Come see for yourself. The backyard features a sunroom and privacy fence. No carpet throughout, ceiling fans, spacious kitchen, fireplace and breakfast/formal dining area. Close to restaurants, shopping, and major freeways. Exemplary Schools, and a short distance from the Downtown Katy, TX.
-
2018-06-08soldstatus
-
2008-02-11historical
-
2007-10-09$88,900
-
1997-07-29soldstatus $46,359
-
1990-11-01soldstatus $34,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,683 · $390/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,683 · $390/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,550
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$4,683
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,804
- − Management
- −$1,804
- − HOA
- −$156
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable loss
- −$7,523
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,805
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,522/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Katy ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4825170
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $90,312
- Composite
- 56.59/100
- National rank
- #1146
- State rank
- #29 of 826 in TX
Livability — Katy
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #111
- US rank
- #3613
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Katy, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 413,575
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 71,484
- Household income
- $118,464
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 913.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 36% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 16% Black 15% Asian 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 22% Vietnamese 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -140.65%
- Current HPI
- 233.1683
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.80%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+624.6% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $250,000 HARMLS
- 2026-04-20 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2026-03-23 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-03-06 Listed $265,000 HARMLS
- 2021-12-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-12-17 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2021-11-28 Pending — HARMLS
- 2021-11-16 Pending — HARMLS
- 2021-11-08 Listed $220,000 HARMLS
- 2018-06-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2008-02-11 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2007-10-09 Listed $88,900 HARMLS
- 1997-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $46,359 Public Records
- 1990-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $34,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.9%/yrLatest (2025): $4,683 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…