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1815 Lakemont Dr
C- Composite 50.07
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.2/30.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$215,000

1815 Lakemont Dr · Arlington, TX 76013
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,006 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1970 10,193 sqft lot Est $347k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Multiple Offers Received. .. Deadline for offers is Thursday, June 11th at Noon. Unique opportunity to restore this 4 bedroom, 2 and half bath home found in Lakewood Addition, one of the most desirable subdivisions in Central Arlington. If you've wondered what it's like to be a part of the '013' community. .. here's your chance! Walking distance to highly rated Hill Elementary and Bailey Jr. High schools and just minutes from some of the best boutique shops and restaurants Central Arlington has to offer. You're a short drive to the Entertainment District, Downtown Arlington, The Highlands, Parks Mall and multiple hospitals and medical districts. If you commute to Dallas or Fort Worth, you h

Key facts

  • 16 x 12 shed
  • Large grassy area
  • 0.23 acre lot

Tags

WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLSROOF RECENTLY REPLACEDRECENT UPDATES TO HVACSPACIOUS AND PRIVATE BACKYARDLARGE GRASSY AREA16 X 12 SHED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed for sale; transaction terms include cash and conventional financing
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with two covered spaces; Garage with 2-car double doors, garage faces side, kitchen-level access; Garage approximately 20' x 20'; No carport spaces
  • Utilities: City water with individual water meter; City sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Entry and main living on one level
  • Construction: Brick construction; Composition shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built in 1970 (preowned)
  • Exterior features: Corner lot with landscaping and large backyard grass; Some oak trees and few trees on lot; Back yard wood fencing (fenced); Silo on property; Subdivision location; Jogging/bike path in community; All-weather road and curbs

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Gas cooktop; Double oven; Eat-in kitchen; Solid surface counters (non-natural)
  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms (all on the main level); Primary bedroom with built-in desk and walk-in closet; One bedroom with built-in desk; Split bedroom plan
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Concrete; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Primary ensuite with separate shower and natural stone/granite counters; Bathroom with dual sinks and natural stone/granite counters
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric); Tankless water heater
  • Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Decorative lighting and chandelier; Cable TV available; High-speed internet available; Eat-in kitchen; Walk-in closets; Two living areas; Two dining areas; Bonus room
  • Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Utility room with built-in cabinets (on main level)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $35 ($423/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.6% in Arlington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#75 in TX, #2,697 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, commute F.
  • Arlington ISD (urban): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #629 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Hill El (math 37% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,680 of 4,322 statewide, top 40%, 531 students, 49% FRL); Bailey J H (math 26% / reading 40%, grade F, #930 of 1,662 statewide, top 57%, 762 students, 66% FRL); Arlington H S (math 24% / reading 48%, grade F, #930 of 1,632 statewide, top 57%, 2,538 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools at 61% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 148 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $215,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
6.49%
Cash-on-cash
0.70%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$347,038
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2100 Friar Tuck Dr 0.09mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,047 (+2%) 5mo $340,000 $166 81
1875 Larkspur Dr 0.11mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,954 (-3%) 5mo $287,500 $147 81
1860 Larkspur Dr 0.12mi 3/2.0 2,153 (+7%) 1mo $320,000 $149 81
1910 New Castle Ct 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,999 (-0%) 0mo $355,000 $178 78
2105 Briarwood Blvd 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,990 (-1%) 5mo $275,000 $138 72
1714 Cheryl Ln 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,917 (-4%) 6mo $275,000 $143 69
1909 Ford St 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,705 (-15%) 5mo $335,000 $196 63
1916 Weymouth Ct 0.28mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,148 (+7%) 4mo $359,500 $167 62
1519 W Lavender Ln 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,864 (-7%) 2mo $375,000 $201 60
1405 Briarwood Blvd 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,772 (-12%) 2mo $325,000 $183 52
1713 Venetian Cir 0.34mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,304 (+15%) 3mo $399,000 $173 50
1104 Waggoner Dr 0.70mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,710 (-15%) 1mo $319,000 $187 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.0%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-38,828
Equity at exit
$32,057
10-year hold
IRR
-20.6%
Equity multiple
0.09×
Total profit
$-54,981
Equity at exit
$18,589

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76013

Rents YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
148
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,181 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$471 /mo · $5,647/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$458
Net cashflow
$35

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,136
Max offer price $215,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $157 -5% $96 +0% $35 +5% $-26 +10% $-86
Rent -10% $-137 -5% $-51 +0% $35 +5% $121 +10% $208
Rate -1.0pp $144 -0.5pp $90 base $35 +0.5pp $-20 +1.0pp $-77

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1718 Cheryl Ln Arlington, TX 4.0 3.0 2650 $3,350 $1.26 45d 1 0.39mi
1606 Bluebonnet Trl Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1533 $2,150 $1.40 24d 1 0.48mi
1606 Bluebonnet Trl Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1574 $2,250 $1.43 45d 1 0.48mi
1704 S Bowen Rd Pantego, TX 3.0 2.5 2233 $2,900 $1.30 6d 1 0.53mi
1707 Oakridge Dr Pantego, TX 4.0 3.0 2312 $2,475 $1.07 45d 1 0.61mi
2307 Monte Carlo Dr Arlington, TX 2.0 1.0 2310 $1,650 $0.71 7d 1 0.62mi
1413 W Tucker Blvd Arlington, TX 4.0 2.0 1679 $2,070 $1.23 45d 1 0.75mi
2715 Westgate Dr Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1696 $2,099 $1.24 26d 1 0.87mi
907 S Bowen Rd Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1404 $2,050 $1.46 45d 1 0.91mi
2414 S Graham Dr Arlington, TX 3.0 2.5 1906 $2,150 $1.13 9d 1 1.00mi
2319 St Gregory St Arlington, TX 3.0 2.5 1470 $1,740 $1.18 0d 1 1.09mi
1905 Fox Hill Ct Arlington, TX 4.0 2.0 1799 $2,295 $1.28 19d 1 1.12mi
1905 Fox Hill Ct Arlington, TX 4.0 2.0 1799 $2,295 $1.28 9d 1 1.12mi
2802 S Fielder Rd Unit A Arlington, TX 3.0 2.5 1650 $1,850 $1.12 26d 1 1.15mi
2205 Chase Ct Arlington, TX 3.0 3.0 1530 $1,700 $1.11 45d 1 1.15mi
1509 University Dr Arlington, TX 4.0 2.0 2155 $2,700 $1.25 45d 1 1.18mi
2233 Chase Ct Unit 2233 Dalworthington Gardens, TX 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,800 $1.20 6d 1 1.18mi
2818 S Fielder Rd Arlington, TX 3.0 2.5 1497 $1,695 $1.13 45d 1 1.20mi
514 Norwood Cir W Arlington, TX 3.0 2.5 2604 $1,850 $0.71 26d 1 1.21mi
2200 Seville Ct Unit 2202 Arlington, TX 2.0 1.5 2151 $1,700 $0.79 26d 1 1.21mi
3002 Friendswood Dr Arlington, TX 4.0 3.0 1900 $2,295 $1.21 26d 1 1.22mi
1605 Arrowhead Dr Pantego, TX 4.0 2.0 1969 $2,125 $1.08 26d 1 1.30mi
2355 Spring Park Blvd Arlington, TX 4.0 3.0 2500 $3,000 $1.20 45d 1 1.32mi
2907 Ashbury Dr Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1519 $1,950 $1.28 45d 1 1.32mi
376 Westview Ter Arlington, TX 3.0 2.5 1518 $2,000 $1.32 45d 1 1.33mi
2359 Spring Park Blvd Arlington, TX 4.0 3.0 2500 $3,000 $1.20 45d 1 1.33mi
2360 Spring Park Blvd Arlington, TX 4.0 3.0 2500 $3,000 $1.20 20d 1 1.35mi
426 Westview Ter Arlington, TX 3.0 2.5 1872 $2,100 $1.12 4d 1 1.35mi
424 Westview Ter Arlington, TX 3.0 2.5 1728 $2,150 $1.24 13d 1 1.35mi
915 W Lovers Ln Arlington, TX 4.0 2.0 1860 $2,195 $1.18 45d 1 1.40mi
2806 Buffalo Dr Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1852 $2,150 $1.16 45d 1 1.41mi
903 Love Wood Ln Arlington, TX 3.0 2.0 1461 $2,000 $1.37 45d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $215,000 Pending 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $215,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $215,000 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-07
    listed $215,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,647 · $471/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,647 · $471/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,171
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$5,647
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,094
− Management
−$2,094
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable loss
−$3,036
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$729
After-tax cash flow
$1,152/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Arlington ISD
NCES district ID
4808700
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$50,873
Composite
25.42/100
National rank
#7458
State rank
#629 of 826 in TX

Livability — Arlington

Score
78/100
State rank
#75
US rank
#2697

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Arlington, TX
County
Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
City population
366,588
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
35,715
Household income
$70,471
Rent vs Own
46.7% rent · 53.3% own
Severe rent burden
1683.0

Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,380,417 people
By 2030
2,578,900 · +8.3%
By 2040
2,974,995 · +25.0%
By 2050
3,350,489 · +40.8%
By 2075
4,216,909 · +77.2%
By 2100
4,741,527 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 14% Two or more races 11% Asian 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -256.90%
Current HPI
257.252
Rent YoY
▼ -0.08%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $215,000 NTREIS

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,647 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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