520 Milan Ave #21 · Norwalk, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$35,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Looking for affordable living in this accelerating market? Look no further! Check out this 1975 doublewide featuring a large, fully enclosed porch, a large shed with storage shelves and electric service as well as the benefit of being situated on one of the larges lots in the park. Lot rent $450.00 a month and includes trash removal.
Key facts
- Electric service
- Fully enclosed porch
- Largest lots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $567 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $31k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 25.7% vs local median 4.0% in Norwalk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#120 in OH, #1,771 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, commute F.
- Edison Local (Formerly Berlin-Milan) (rural): math 68% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #147 of 656 in OH (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 40 units permitted in Huron County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Huron County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 338 days — a 12% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 338 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.92% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 69.40%
- DSCR
- 4.09
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 68.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.11×
- Total profit
- $30,439
- Equity at exit
- $5,219
- IRR
- 73.0%
- Equity multiple
- 8.45×
- Total profit
- $73,047
- Equity at exit
- $3,026
Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44857
- Home prices YoY
- -28.3%
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,024 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$184
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$44 /mo · $525/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$215
- Net cashflow
- $567
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,750
- Closing costs
- $1,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-03-27status Pending
-
2025-06-05price $35,000
-
2025-04-23$40,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,283
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,961
- − Property taxes
- −$525
- − Insurance
- −$175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$983
- − Management
- −$983
- − Depreciation
- −$1,018
- Taxable income
- $6,639
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,593
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,207/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Edison Local (Formerly Berlin-Milan)
- NCES district ID
- 3904678
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,494
- Composite
- 59.83/100
- National rank
- #894
- State rank
- #147 of 656 in OH
Livability — Norwalk
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #120
- US rank
- #1771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Norwalk, OH
- County
- Huron County · 23,288 people
- City population
- 23,288
- Metro
- Norwalk, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,288
- Household income
- $64,297
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 620.0
Population outlook (Huron County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 55,572 people
- By 2030
- 53,514 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 48,770 · -12.2%
- By 2050
- 43,611 · -21.5%
- By 2075
- 32,349 · -41.8%
- By 2100
- 21,849 · -60.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Huron
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.6% · R 71.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.9pp toward R · 2008: -3.1pp · 2024: -44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+8.9 2008: R+3.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.69%
- Current HPI
- 225.1408
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Norwalk, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-12.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-27 Pending — FAOR
- 2025-06-05 Price Changed $35,000 FAOR
- 2025-04-23 Listed $40,000 FAOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…