120 Mount Aire Dr · East Peoria, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
MULTIPLE OFFERS! SELLER CALLING FOR HIGHEST AND BEST BY 6/5 @ 3:00 PM! Welcome home to the Highview Knoll subdivision in East Peoria! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a great opportunity to build equity and make it your own. Step inside from the covered front porch into the living room, which flows into the eat-in kitchen. Both bedrooms feature hardwood flooring, and a full bath completes the main level. The walkout basement includes a shower, sink, laundry area, additional space is providing extra functionality and storage. A breezeway connects the home to the attached 2-stall garage, and the backyard offers plenty of room for outdoor activities. Conveniently located, this home is ready
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Hardwood flooring
- Walkout basement
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential zoning; Subdivision: Highview Knolls
- HOA & community: No association fees reported
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Not new construction; Living area reported as 1008
- Construction: Shingle roof; Built in 1953; Foundation and exterior construction details not provided
- Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 65 x 177 x 113 x 140
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approximately 13.6 x 9.6) — no appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level (Bedroom 1 ~13.1 x 11.4, Bedroom 2 ~11.4 x 10) — both have egress windows
- Flooring: Hardwood in bedrooms; Carpet in living room; Vinyl in kitchen and breezeway
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Gas water heater (heating source listed)
- Interior features: Full, unfinished basement; No fireplaces; No built-in appliances listed
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $380 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 4.6% in East Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#209 in IL, #3,927 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
- East Peoria Chsd 309 (suburban): math 17% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #482 of 620 in IL (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: East Peoria High School (math 17% / reading 15%, grade F, #457 of 693 statewide, top 66%, 947 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 145 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 77 units permitted in Tazewell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tazewell County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.71%
- DSCR
- 1.97
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $178,752
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 210 Mount Aire Dr | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 1,400 (+4%) | 22mo | $125,000 | $89 | 71 |
| 224 Mount Aire Dr | 0.15mi | 2/1.5 | 1,165 (-13%) | 3mo | $189,900 | $163 | 66 |
| 202 Castle Ln | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,214 (-10%) | 7mo | $170,000 | $140 | 59 |
| 608 Highview Rd | 0.27mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,452 (+8%) | 19mo | $240,000 | $165 | 45 |
| 311 Juniper Ln | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,450 (+8%) | 12mo | $236,500 | $163 | 42 |
| 124 Greenlawn Ct | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,288 (-4%) | 21mo | $150,000 | $116 | 39 |
| 2620 Fondulac Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+12%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $133 | 35 |
| 107 Swiss Ln | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,432 (+6%) | 22mo | $156,900 | $110 | 32 |
| 201 Kickapoo Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+12%) | 14mo | $200,000 | $133 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $12,056
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 23.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.99×
- Total profit
- $41,702
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61611
- Home prices YoY
- -30.8%
- Active inventory
- 145
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,125 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$84 /mo · $1,011/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$236
- Net cashflow
- $380
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1900 Highview Rd East Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,125 | $1.18 | 13d | 4 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$75,000 Pending 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,011 · $84/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,357 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- +$346/yr (+$29/mo · 34.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,500
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,011
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,080
- − Management
- −$1,080
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $3,571
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$857
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,702/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Peoria Chsd 309
- NCES district ID
- 1713230
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,439
- Composite
- 14.75/100
- National rank
- #9394
- State rank
- #482 of 620 in IL
Livability — East Peoria
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #209
- US rank
- #3927
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Peoria, IL
- City population
- 23,698
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,698
Population outlook (Tazewell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 131,252 people
- By 2030
- 128,028 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 120,443 · -8.2%
- By 2050
- 111,872 · -14.8%
- By 2075
- 89,843 · -31.5%
- By 2100
- 66,468 · -49.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tazewell
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.7) · D 35.8% · R 62.5% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.0pp · 2024: -26.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.7 2020: R+25.6 2016: R+28.5 2012: R+17.9 2008: R+6.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.82%
- Current HPI
- 161.385
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-03 Listed $75,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2024): $1,011 · -5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…