19675 Packard St · Detroit, MI 48234

$95,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 84 Days on market

Built 1941 4,792 sqft lot $95/sqft · 76% above area Est $65k · 46% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.7/10.0
• Rent growth +4.2/5.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.3/10.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

LOVELY BRICK BUNGALOW !!! 3 beds 1.5 baths!!!. THE MASTER BEDROOM IS LARGE WITH BUILT-IN STORAGE. NICE GARAGE. !!! very Nice block!!!

Key facts

• 4,792 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 1941

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $372 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
• Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
• Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $77k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $89,300 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.37% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.99%
• Cash-on-cash: 16.79%
• DSCR: 1.75
• GRM: 6.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $64,924
• List price: $95,000
• Delta: 46.33%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
19723 Carrie St	0.17mi	3/1.0	1,020 (+2%)	2mo	$85,000	$83	87
20136 Helen St	0.35mi	3/1.0	1,000 (0%)	1mo	$32,000	$32	83
8212 E Lantz St	0.41mi	3/1.0	989 (-1%)	2mo	$60,000	$61	78
20043 Packard St	0.24mi	3/1.0	1,040 (+4%)	6mo	$87,000	$84	77
19161 Rogge St	0.37mi	3/1.0	1,001 (+0%)	7mo	$46,500	$46	76
20192 Rogge St	0.35mi	3/1.0	982 (-2%)	8mo	$75,000	$76	74
7505 E Robinwood St	0.53mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,000 (0%)	3mo	$140,500	$141	64
7643 Rivard Ave	0.67mi	3/1.0	980 (-2%)	4mo	$124,900	$127	62
7003 Rivard Ave	0.68mi	3/1.0	955 (-4%)	4mo	$102,000	$107	58
18818 Sherwood St	0.60mi	3/1.0	940 (-6%)	6mo	$38,000	$40	57
7244 Fisher Ave	0.74mi	4/1.0 (+1)	1,014 (+1%)	3mo	$154,900	$153	56
19400 Dwyer St	0.71mi	3/1.5	960 (-4%)	8mo	$50,000	$52	51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 12.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.50×
• Total profit: $13,364
• Equity at exit: $14,165

10-year hold

• IRR: 23.8%
• Equity multiple: 3.43×
• Total profit: $64,553
• Equity at exit: $8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Michigan: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 48234

• Home prices YoY: -11.9%
• Rents YoY: 6.7%
• Active inventory: 226
• Price-to-rent: 6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,298 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$498
• Tax from tax record: −$115 /mo · $1,384/yr
• Insurance: −$40
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$273
• Net cashflow: $372

Break-even live

Break-even rent $827

Max offer price $95,000

Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $23,750
• Closing costs: $2,850
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
19691 Cliff St #1 Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	850	$1,050	$1.24	5d	1	0.05mi
20042 Rogge St Detroit, MI	4.0	2.0	1232	$1,394	$1.13	43d	1	0.24mi
19171 Cliff St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1000	$1,200	$1.20	16d	1	0.35mi
7533 Quinn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	700	$850	$1.21	43d	1	0.61mi
8285 Rivard Ave Warren, MI	3.0	1.0	902	$1,549	$1.72	24d	1	0.75mi
8242 Jackson Ave Warren, MI	3.0	1.0	840	$1,198	$1.43	43d	1	0.76mi
19415 Gable St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1000	$1,373	$1.37	24d	1	0.79mi
7060 Victory Ave Warren, MI	3.0	1.0	945	$1,450	$1.53	11d	1	0.91mi
7043 Meadow Ave Warren, MI	2.0	1.0	911	$1,274	$1.40	43d	1	1.00mi
8065 Meadow Ave Warren, MI	2.0	1.0	800	$1,050	$1.31	24d	1	1.00mi
8162 Orchard Ave Warren, MI	2.0	1.0	900	$1,000	$1.11	43d	1	1.06mi
20263 Caldwell St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	909	$1,350	$1.49	16d	1	1.08mi
7511 Toepfer Rd Warren, MI	3.0	1.0	1032	$1,199	$1.16	21d	1	1.09mi
19260 Bloom St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1100	$1,350	$1.23	4d	1	1.11mi
20058 Bloom St Detroit, MI	4.0	1.0	1350	$1,450	$1.07	16d	1	1.12mi
7275 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI	2.0	1.0	703	$1,200	$1.71	24d	1	1.15mi
11228 Sherman Ave Warren, MI	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,200	$1.20	12d	1	1.15mi
19361 Moenart St Unit 1 Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,100	$1.10	23d	1	1.18mi
18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	979	$975	$1.00	43d	1	1.18mi
18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	979	$975	$1.00	21d	1	1.18mi
7568 Hudson Ave Unit 1 Warren, MI	3.0	1.0	1415	$1,100	$0.78	5d	1	1.23mi
7568 Hudson Ave Unit 2 Warren, MI	2.0	1.0	1415	$900	$0.64	5d	1	1.23mi
18431 Teppert St Detroit, MI	4.0	1.0	1200	$1,400	$1.17	1d	1	1.23mi
18891 Moenart St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	870	$1,195	$1.37	16d	1	1.25mi
18891 Moenart St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1150	$1,300	$1.13	1d	1	1.25mi
8640 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI	3.0	1.0	804	$1,423	$1.77	24d	1	1.26mi
11377 Sherman Ave Warren, MI	3.0	1.0	1200	$1,400	$1.17	24d	1	1.26mi
8251 Hudson Ave Warren, MI	3.0	1.0	908	$1,400	$1.54	24d	1	1.29mi
8632 Studebaker Ave Warren, MI	3.0	1.0	761	$1,300	$1.71	3d	1	1.30mi
18677 Moenart St Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	1470	$1,200	$0.82	43d	1	1.30mi
19162 Conley St Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,300	$1.30	43d	1	1.31mi
21456 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI	3.0	1.0	1160	$1,595	$1.38	43d	1	1.32mi
21456 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI	3.0	1.0	1152	$1,595	$1.38	1d	1	1.32mi
19450 Fenelon St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1062	$1,384	$1.30	5d	1	1.33mi
21465 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI	3.0	1.0	990	$1,375	$1.39	43d	1	1.35mi
21410 Panama St Warren, MI	3.0	1.0	900	$1,600	$1.78	24d	1	1.38mi
20290 Annott St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1300	$1,250	$0.96	17d	1	1.39mi
11076 Hudson Ave Warren, MI	3.0	1.0	936	$1,395	$1.49	3d	1	1.44mi
20794 Audrey Ave Warren, MI	3.0	1.0	954	$1,350	$1.42	43d	1	1.44mi
11513 Greiner St Unit 11521 Greiner Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	942	$1,050	$1.11	43d	1	1.46mi

Listing history 25 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $95,000 Active 84 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $95,000 Active 83 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   remarks 695-char remark
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $95,000 Active 81 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $95,000 Active 79 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $95,000 Active 78 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $95,000 Active 75 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $95,000 Active 74 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $95,000 Active 73 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $95,000 Active 70 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 69 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 68 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 67 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 66 DOM
15. 2026-03-26
    listed $95,000 Active 133-char remark

    Show marketing remark (133 chars)

    LOVELY BRICK BUNGALOW !!! 3 beds 1.5 baths!!!. THE MASTER BEDROOM IS LARGE WITH BUILT-IN STORAGE. NICE GARAGE. !!! very Nice block!!!

16. 2026-03-26
    listed $95,000 Active 133-char remark

    Show marketing remark (133 chars)

    LOVELY BRICK BUNGALOW !!! 3 beds 1.5 baths!!!. THE MASTER BEDROOM IS LARGE WITH BUILT-IN STORAGE. NICE GARAGE. !!! very Nice block!!!

17. 2021-04-30
    soldstatus $77,400
18. 2013-03-11
    soldstatus $9,000
19. 2013-03-11
    soldstatus $9,000
20. 2012-08-02
    historical
21. 2012-08-02
    historical
22. 2012-04-20
    listed $8,000
23. 2012-04-20
    listed $8,000
24. 2002-01-03
    soldstatus $73,000
25. 1996-04-12
    soldstatus $29,056

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,384 · $115/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,424 · $119/mo
• Expected delta: +$39/yr (+$3/mo · 2.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,574
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,321
• − Property taxes: −$1,384
• − Insurance: −$475
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,246
• − Management: −$1,246
• − Depreciation: −$2,764
• Taxable income: $3,137
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$753
• After-tax cash flow: $3,713/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Detroit Public Schools Community District
• NCES district ID: 2601103
• Math proficiency: 10% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 24% ▲ 6.00%
• Median HH income: $25,815
• Composite: 13.06/100
• National rank: #9564
• State rank: #499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

• Score: 73/100
• State rank: #218
• US rank: #5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Detroit, MI
• County: Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
• City population: 572,865
• Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
• Population (ZIP): 32,760
• Household income: $35,322
• Rent vs Own: 47.0% rent · 53.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 2372.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,675,273 people
• By 2030: 1,620,300 · -3.3%
• By 2040: 1,502,341 · -10.3%
• By 2050: 1,384,039 · -17.4%
• By 2075: 1,124,592 · -32.9%
• By 2100: 881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (94%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -44.65%
• Current HPI: 328.8978
• Rent YoY: ▲ 6.72%
• Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.37%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Automotive Parts	3	$48B
▸Automotive	2	$372B
▸Chemicals	1	$45B
▸Automotive Retail	1	$29B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$23B
▸Automotive Technology	1	$20B

Price history

+227.0% since first listed

11 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-26 Listed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2026-03-26 Listed $95,000 REALCOMP
• 2021-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $77,400 Public Records
• 2013-03-11 Sold (MLS) $9,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2013-03-11 Sold (MLS) $9,000 REALCOMP
• 2012-08-02 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2012-08-02 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
• 2012-04-20 Listed $8,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2012-04-20 Listed $8,000 REALCOMP
• 2002-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
• 1996-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $29,056 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,384 · -9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.