408 Wheat Valley Blvd · Venus, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +9.9/15.0
- Appreciation +8.7/10.0
- Cash flow +6.1/30.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.4/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
FABULOUS HOME HAS BRICK ON ALL 4 SIDES & THIS UNIQUE FLOOR PLAN FEATURES THE MASTER BEDROOM ON ONE SIDE OF THE HOUSE WITH THE OTHER 2 BEDROOMS ON THE OTHER SIDE OF THE HOUSE. LARGE OFFICE THAT IS CURRENTLY BEING USED AS A 4TH BEDROOM. MASTER BATHROOM HAS DOUBLE SINKS & GARDEN TUB. WOOD FLOORS IN THE LIVING ROOM, STUDY, MASTER BEDROOM. HIGH CEILINGS. SOLAR SCREENS. THE GARAGE HAS CUSTOM SHELVING. SPRINKLER SYSTEM. NO BACK DOOR NEIGHBORS. FRIENDLY, FAMILY NEIGHBORHOOD. ..
Key facts
- New tile flooring
- Updated cabinets
- New dishwasher
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Listing accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, and VA loan
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Driveway; 2 covered parking spaces
- Security: Fire alarm
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Utilities easement present
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
- Construction: Built in 2005; Brick and siding construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Covered porch(es); Private yard; Brick and fenced yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Dishwasher; Disposal; Breakfast bar; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Pantry; Water line to refrigerator; Utility in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms, all on the main level; Primary bedroom with ensuite bath and walk-in closet; Second bedroom with walk-in closet; Third bedroom with walk-in closet; Office on the main level (11 x 8)
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Primary bath with dual sinks, garden tub and separate shower
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Fireplace(s) for heating
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Decorative lighting; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Pantry; Cable TV available; High speed internet available; Bay window(s)
- Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area; Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-517 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $184k (33.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (20.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $184k (33.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 3.0% in Venus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#356 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Venus ISD (town): math 25% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #646 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Venus El (math 27% / reading 30%, grade F, #2,706 of 4,322 statewide, top 63%, 658 students, 82% FRL); Venus Middle (math 20% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,222 of 1,662 statewide, top 74%, 491 students, 80% FRL); Venus H S (math 32% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,011 of 1,632 statewide, top 63%, 725 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 60% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 427 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,152 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (76 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $22k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
- Johnson County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($267k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.05%
- DSCR
- 0.64
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $290,725
- List price
- $275,000
- Delta
- -5.41%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 602 Wheat Valley Blvd | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,817 (+0%) | 14mo | $325,000 | $179 | 85 |
| 417 Cotton Bend Trl | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,732 (-5%) | 3mo | $294,999 | $170 | 79 |
| 418 Fox Holw | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,886 (+4%) | 20mo | $309,900 | $164 | 68 |
| 101 Harley Meadows Cir | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,044 (+13%) | 18mo | $349,900 | $171 | 53 |
| 313 N Point Dr | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,050 (+13%) | 10mo | $309,000 | $151 | 52 |
| 126 Harley Meadows Cir | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,066 (+14%) | 16mo | $345,990 | $167 | 52 |
| 2412 Galaxy | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,994 (+10%) | 17mo | $364,990 | $183 | 52 |
| 103 Harley Meadows Cir | 0.12mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,078 (+14%) | 16mo | $357,900 | $172 | 50 |
| 103 Independence Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,563 (-14%) | 24mo | $265,000 | $170 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.32% appreciation · 2.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.88×
- Total profit
- $67,479
- Equity at exit
- $196,355
- IRR
- 12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.83×
- Total profit
- $218,118
- Equity at exit
- $378,350
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76084
- Home prices YoY
- 2.1%
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 427
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,184 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$685 /mo · $8,224/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$459
- Net cashflow
- $-517
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-361 | -5% $-439 | +0% $-517 | +5% $-594 | +10% $-672 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-689 | -5% $-603 | +0% $-517 | +5% $-430 | +10% $-344 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-378 | -0.5pp $-447 | base $-517 | +0.5pp $-588 | +1.0pp $-660 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 Hancock St Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1773 | $1,929 | $1.09 | 3d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 120 Mt Vernon Ln Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1661 | $2,149 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 131 Mt Vernon Ln Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1652 | $2,169 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 728 Fallow Dr Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1347 | $1,795 | $1.33 | 17d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 170 Kennedy Dr Venus, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1661 | $2,300 | $1.38 | 0d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 108 Rushmore Ln Venus, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1658 | $1,969 | $1.19 | 26d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 112 Liberty Ln Venus, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1658 | $2,309 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 135 Houston Pl Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $2,029 | $1.28 | 0d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 201 John Laurens Dr Venus, TX | 3.0–5.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1975 | $2,250 | $1.14 | 0d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 313 Patton Ln Venus, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1784 | $2,355 | $1.32 | 9d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 315 Patton Ln Venus, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2173 | $2,515 | $1.16 | 4d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 601 Harvest Moon Dr Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1347 | $1,795 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 201 Julian Davis Dr Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1626 | $2,195 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 620-616 Harvest Moon Dr Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1307 | $1,950 | $1.49 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 208 Julian Davis Dr Venus, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1784 | $2,330 | $1.31 | 13d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 640-644 Wheatfield DR Venus, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1926 | $2,100 | $1.09 | 0d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 214 Julian Davis Dr Venus, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1784 | $2,355 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 645 Fallow Dr Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $1,950 | $1.50 | 9d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 418 Watson Ct Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1379 | $2,210 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 704 Harvest Moon Dr Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1361 | $1,850 | $1.36 | 46d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 628 Blackland Dr Venus, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1483 | $2,200 | $1.48 | 0d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 712 Harvest Moon Dr Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $1,895 | $1.46 | 26d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 663 Wheatfield Dr Venus, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1274 | $1,695 | $1.33 | 0d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 656-660 Wheatfield DR Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $1,950 | $1.50 | 0d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 512 Albert Anthony St Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1658 | $1,990 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 512 Albert Anthony St Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1658 | $1,990 | $1.20 | 0d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 645 Blackland Dr Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1361 | $1,950 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 729 Fallow Dr Venus, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $1,995 | $1.53 | 45d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 723 Wheatfield Dr Venus, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1274 | $1,695 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 147 Sammy Fowler Ave Venus, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1690 | $2,250 | $1.33 | 0d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $275,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $275,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $275,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $275,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $275,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $275,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $285,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $285,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-04-20$285,000 Active 442-char remark
-
2016-09-28soldstatus
-
2016-09-27soldstatus Sold 486-char remark
Show marketing remark (486 chars)
FABULOUS HOME HAS BRICK ON ALL 4 SIDES & THIS UNIQUE FLOOR PLAN FEATURES THE MASTER BEDROOM ON ONE SIDE OF THE HOUSE WITH THE OTHER 2 BEDROOMS ON THE OTHER SIDE OF THE HOUSE. LARGE OFFICE THAT IS CURRENTLY BEING USED AS A 4TH BEDROOM. MASTER BATHROOM HAS DOUBLE SINKS & GARDEN TUB. WOOD FLOORS IN THE LIVING ROOM, STUDY, MASTER BEDROOM. HIGH CEILINGS. SOLAR SCREENS. THE GARAGE HAS CUSTOM SHELVING. SPRINKLER SYSTEM. NO BACK DOOR NEIGHBORS. FRIENDLY, FAMILY NEIGHBORHOOD. ..
-
2016-09-03status Pending, Continue to Show 486-char remark
Show marketing remark (486 chars)
FABULOUS HOME HAS BRICK ON ALL 4 SIDES & THIS UNIQUE FLOOR PLAN FEATURES THE MASTER BEDROOM ON ONE SIDE OF THE HOUSE WITH THE OTHER 2 BEDROOMS ON THE OTHER SIDE OF THE HOUSE. LARGE OFFICE THAT IS CURRENTLY BEING USED AS A 4TH BEDROOM. MASTER BATHROOM HAS DOUBLE SINKS & GARDEN TUB. WOOD FLOORS IN THE LIVING ROOM, STUDY, MASTER BEDROOM. HIGH CEILINGS. SOLAR SCREENS. THE GARAGE HAS CUSTOM SHELVING. SPRINKLER SYSTEM. NO BACK DOOR NEIGHBORS. FRIENDLY, FAMILY NEIGHBORHOOD. ..
-
2016-07-29status Pending 486-char remark
Show marketing remark (486 chars)
FABULOUS HOME HAS BRICK ON ALL 4 SIDES & THIS UNIQUE FLOOR PLAN FEATURES THE MASTER BEDROOM ON ONE SIDE OF THE HOUSE WITH THE OTHER 2 BEDROOMS ON THE OTHER SIDE OF THE HOUSE. LARGE OFFICE THAT IS CURRENTLY BEING USED AS A 4TH BEDROOM. MASTER BATHROOM HAS DOUBLE SINKS & GARDEN TUB. WOOD FLOORS IN THE LIVING ROOM, STUDY, MASTER BEDROOM. HIGH CEILINGS. SOLAR SCREENS. THE GARAGE HAS CUSTOM SHELVING. SPRINKLER SYSTEM. NO BACK DOOR NEIGHBORS. FRIENDLY, FAMILY NEIGHBORHOOD. ..
-
2016-07-15status Option Pending 486-char remark
Show marketing remark (486 chars)
FABULOUS HOME HAS BRICK ON ALL 4 SIDES & THIS UNIQUE FLOOR PLAN FEATURES THE MASTER BEDROOM ON ONE SIDE OF THE HOUSE WITH THE OTHER 2 BEDROOMS ON THE OTHER SIDE OF THE HOUSE. LARGE OFFICE THAT IS CURRENTLY BEING USED AS A 4TH BEDROOM. MASTER BATHROOM HAS DOUBLE SINKS & GARDEN TUB. WOOD FLOORS IN THE LIVING ROOM, STUDY, MASTER BEDROOM. HIGH CEILINGS. SOLAR SCREENS. THE GARAGE HAS CUSTOM SHELVING. SPRINKLER SYSTEM. NO BACK DOOR NEIGHBORS. FRIENDLY, FAMILY NEIGHBORHOOD. ..
-
2016-07-15$169,000 Active 486-char remark
Show marketing remark (486 chars)
FABULOUS HOME HAS BRICK ON ALL 4 SIDES & THIS UNIQUE FLOOR PLAN FEATURES THE MASTER BEDROOM ON ONE SIDE OF THE HOUSE WITH THE OTHER 2 BEDROOMS ON THE OTHER SIDE OF THE HOUSE. LARGE OFFICE THAT IS CURRENTLY BEING USED AS A 4TH BEDROOM. MASTER BATHROOM HAS DOUBLE SINKS & GARDEN TUB. WOOD FLOORS IN THE LIVING ROOM, STUDY, MASTER BEDROOM. HIGH CEILINGS. SOLAR SCREENS. THE GARAGE HAS CUSTOM SHELVING. SPRINKLER SYSTEM. NO BACK DOOR NEIGHBORS. FRIENDLY, FAMILY NEIGHBORHOOD. ..
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $8,224 · $685/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,224 · $685/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,209
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$8,224
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,097
- − Management
- −$2,097
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable loss
- −$10,987
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,637
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,562/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Venus ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4844010
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,394
- Composite
- 24.97/100
- National rank
- #7563
- State rank
- #646 of 826 in TX
Livability — Venus
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #356
- US rank
- #7724
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Venus, TX
- County
- Johnson County · 147,987 people
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,097
- Household income
- $102,115
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 70.0
Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 179,678 people
- By 2030
- 189,208 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 207,261 · +15.4%
- By 2050
- 223,064 · +24.1%
- By 2075
- 259,979 · +44.7%
- By 2100
- 275,395 · +53.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 24% Black 11% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 18% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Johnson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.9% · R 75.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -51.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.4 2020: R+53.0 2016: R+58.3 2012: R+55.6 2008: R+47.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.32%
- Current HPI
- 355.74
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.39%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+62.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $275,000 NTREIS
- 2026-04-20 Listed $285,000 NTREIS
- 2016-09-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-09-27 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2016-09-03 Pending — HARMLS
- 2016-07-29 Pending — HARMLS
- 2016-07-15 Pending — HARMLS
- 2016-07-15 Listed $169,000 HARMLS
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $8,224 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…