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11403 Walraven Dr
B- Composite 69.43
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.7/10.0

$185,000

11403 Walraven Dr · Houston, TX 77336
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,904 sqft · Manufactured public records · 47 Days on market
Built 2001 0.52 ac lot $97/sqft · 35% below area Est $284k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Very Well Maintained Mobile Home located on 2 lots. .. Above Ground Pool and Fully Fenced Backyard. This Huffman Charmer is located in the GREAT Huffman School District and is READY FOR ITS NEW OWNER! THIS ONE WON'T LAST LONG-LET'S GET YOU MOVED IN RIGHT AWAY!!!

Key facts

  • 0.52 acre lot
  • Built 2001
  • Listed 46 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Seller disclosure available
  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Faces northwest; Built in 2001; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Cleared lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Electric range
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Stove fireplace; 7 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $490 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
  • Recommended offer: $179k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Huffman ISD (rural): math 32% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #500 of 826 in TX (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Huffman Middle (math 36% / reading 32%, grade F, #892 of 1,662 statewide, top 55%, 907 students, 42% FRL); Hargrave H S (math 31% / reading 46%, grade F, #866 of 1,632 statewide, top 54%, 1,125 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools at 39% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 587 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 83% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $179,450 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
9.47%
Cash-on-cash
11.35%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$283,598
List price
$185,000
Delta
-34.77%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12207 Walraven Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,836 (-4%) 6mo $179,900 $98 63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.6%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$1,191
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
10.2%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$41,087
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77336

Home prices YoY
-1.8%
Active inventory
587
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,110 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$130 /mo · $1,556/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$443
Net cashflow
$490

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,490
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $595 -5% $542 +0% $490 +5% $437 +10% $385
Rent -10% $323 -5% $407 +0% $490 +5% $573 +10% $657
Rate -1.0pp $583 -0.5pp $537 base $490 +0.5pp $442 +1.0pp $393

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
24730 Russet Bluff Trl Huffman, TX 4.0 2.0 1604 $2,150 $1.34 0d 1 0.28mi
24719 Colony Meadow Trl Huffman, TX 4.0 2.0 1613 $2,200 $1.36 45d 1 0.35mi
24118 Grey Fox Dr Huffman, TX 3.0 2.0 1543 $1,425 $0.92 45d 1 0.59mi
408 Emerald Thicket Ln Huffman, TX 3.0 2.5 1755 $2,200 $1.25 45d 1 0.96mi
24523 Whitesail Dr Huffman, TX 3.0 2.0 1512 $1,800 $1.19 45d 1 1.14mi
24527 Lightwoods Dr Huffman, TX 4.0 2.0 2095 $2,100 $1.00 45d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $185,000 Active 47 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $185,000 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $185,000 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $185,000 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $185,000 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $185,000 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $185,000 Active 35 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $185,000 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,000 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $185,000 Active 30 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $185,000 Active 29 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $185,000 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $185,000 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-05-05
    listed $185,000 Active 895-char remark
  16. 2025-05-05
    soldstatus
  17. 2016-08-23
    soldstatus
  18. 2016-08-22
    soldstatus Sold 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    Very Well Maintained Mobile Home located on 2 lots. .. Above Ground Pool and Fully Fenced Backyard. This Huffman Charmer is located in the GREAT Huffman School District and is READY FOR ITS NEW OWNER! THIS ONE WON'T LAST LONG-LET'S GET YOU MOVED IN RIGHT AWAY!!!

  19. 2016-08-19
    status Pending 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    Very Well Maintained Mobile Home located on 2 lots. .. Above Ground Pool and Fully Fenced Backyard. This Huffman Charmer is located in the GREAT Huffman School District and is READY FOR ITS NEW OWNER! THIS ONE WON'T LAST LONG-LET'S GET YOU MOVED IN RIGHT AWAY!!!

  20. 2016-08-16
    status Option Pending 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    Very Well Maintained Mobile Home located on 2 lots. .. Above Ground Pool and Fully Fenced Backyard. This Huffman Charmer is located in the GREAT Huffman School District and is READY FOR ITS NEW OWNER! THIS ONE WON'T LAST LONG-LET'S GET YOU MOVED IN RIGHT AWAY!!!

  21. 2016-07-14
    listed $124,900 Active 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    Very Well Maintained Mobile Home located on 2 lots. .. Above Ground Pool and Fully Fenced Backyard. This Huffman Charmer is located in the GREAT Huffman School District and is READY FOR ITS NEW OWNER! THIS ONE WON'T LAST LONG-LET'S GET YOU MOVED IN RIGHT AWAY!!!

  22. 2007-09-16
    historical
  23. 2007-03-31
    listed $89,900
  24. 2006-12-31
    historical
  25. 2006-08-18
    listed $96,000
  26. 2003-04-09
    soldstatus
  27. 2002-12-31
    historical
  28. 2002-01-08
    listed $19,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,556 · $130/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,386 · $282/mo
Expected delta
+$1,830/yr (+$152/mo · 117.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,317
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$1,556
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,025
− Management
−$2,025
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable income
$3,041
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$730
After-tax cash flow
$5,148/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Huffman ISD
NCES district ID
4823820
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$65,848
Composite
30.61/100
National rank
#6195
State rank
#500 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
14,342
Household income
$96,404
Rent vs Own
21.8% rent · 78.2% own
Severe rent burden
377.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 9% Black 5% Native American 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -8.59%
Current HPI
472.03
Rent YoY
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+848.7% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $185,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-05-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2016-08-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2016-08-22 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2016-08-19 Pending HARMLS
  • 2016-08-16 Pending HARMLS
  • 2016-07-14 Listed $124,900 HARMLS
  • 2007-09-16 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2007-03-31 Listed $89,900 HARMLS
  • 2006-12-31 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2006-08-18 Listed $96,000 HARMLS
  • 2003-04-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-12-31 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2002-01-08 Listed $19,500 HARMLS

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,556 · +10.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…