1422 S US 33 Hwy · Wolflake, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.6/30.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$144,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* * SELLER IS OFFERING $5,000 TOWARDS A BUYER'S CLOSING COSTS * * This 3-bedroom home sits on a peaceful lot in the Village of Wolf Lake. Surrounded by mature trees, the property offers privacy, shade, and a quiet setting. Inside, you’ll find a large living room and a nice-sized kitchen featuring a cooktop, built-in oven, and plenty of cabinet space. The full bath has been updated with a walk-in shower and newer vanity. Enjoy relaxing evenings on the screened-in porch, or step out back to the deck—perfect for grilling and entertaining. The property also includes a shed for extra storage and is connected to city sewer. This home does need work, but it is priced accordingly and
Key facts
- Peaceful lot
- Cooktop
- Large living room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Private well water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family home; Site-built construction; 2 stories
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Stone foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Year built not provided
- Exterior features: Deck; Covered porch; Shed(s); Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric cooktop; Oven
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Ceiling fans for cooling; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Laminate counters; Partial basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup on main level; Electric dryer hookup; Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $35 ($425/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (22.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $112k (22.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Central Noble Community School Corporation (rural): math 32% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #207 of 301 in IN (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Central Noble Primary School (249 students, 47% FRL); Central Noble Junior Senior Hs (math 23% / reading 37%, grade F, #307 of 369 statewide, top 83%, 654 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 46% FRL vs 31% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 131 units permitted in Noble County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Noble County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.05%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $208,072
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1422 S US 33 Hwy | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,678 (0%) | 0mo | $144,900 | $86 | 95 |
| 3797 W Noble St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,494 (-11%) | 18mo | $185,000 | $124 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-21,301
- Equity at exit
- $21,605
- IRR
- -6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-15,951
- Equity at exit
- $12,528
Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46701
- Home prices YoY
- -16.8%
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,123 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $378/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$236
- Net cashflow
- $35
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $117 | -5% $76 | +0% $35 | +5% $-6 | +10% $-47 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-53 | -5% $-9 | +0% $35 | +5% $80 | +10% $124 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $108 | -0.5pp $72 | base $35 | +0.5pp $-2 | +1.0pp $-40 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,225
- Closing costs
- $4,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-10status Pending
-
2026-05-02$144,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $378 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $805 · $67/mo
- Expected delta
- +$427/yr (+$36/mo · 113.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,475
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,117
- − Property taxes
- −$378
- − Insurance
- −$724
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,078
- − Management
- −$1,078
- − Depreciation
- −$4,215
- Taxable loss
- −$2,115
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$508
- After-tax cash flow
- $932/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Central Noble Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1801710
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,911
- Composite
- 28.58/100
- National rank
- #6718
- State rank
- #207 of 301 in IN
Livability — Wolflake
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wolflake, IN
- City population
- 217
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,186
Population outlook (Noble County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,321 people
- By 2030
- 47,945 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 46,521 · -3.7%
- By 2050
- 44,501 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 38,962 · -19.4%
- By 2100
- 31,846 · -34.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 13% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Noble
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.5% · R 74.9% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.4pp · 2024: -51.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.4 2020: R+49.7 2016: R+49.1 2012: R+33.6 2008: R+15.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.57%
- Current HPI
- 250.7517
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Pending — IRMLS
- 2026-05-02 Listed $144,900 IRMLS
Property tax history
+13.9%/yrLatest (2024): $378 · +16.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…