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1422 S US 33 Hwy
D+ Composite 47.21
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.6/30.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$144,900

1422 S US 33 Hwy · Wolflake, IN 46701
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,678 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1920 0.57 ac lot Est $208k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* * SELLER IS OFFERING $5,000 TOWARDS A BUYER'S CLOSING COSTS * * This 3-bedroom home sits on a peaceful lot in the Village of Wolf Lake. Surrounded by mature trees, the property offers privacy, shade, and a quiet setting. Inside, you’ll find a large living room and a nice-sized kitchen featuring a cooktop, built-in oven, and plenty of cabinet space. The full bath has been updated with a walk-in shower and newer vanity. Enjoy relaxing evenings on the screened-in porch, or step out back to the deck—perfect for grilling and entertaining. The property also includes a shed for extra storage and is connected to city sewer. This home does need work, but it is priced accordingly and

Key facts

  • Peaceful lot
  • Cooktop
  • Large living room

Tags

PEACEFUL LOTMATURE TREESLARGE LIVING ROOMNICE SIZED KITCHENCOOKTOPBUILT IN OVEN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Private well water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family home; Site-built construction; 2 stories
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Stone foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Year built not provided
  • Exterior features: Deck; Covered porch; Shed(s); Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric cooktop; Oven
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Ceiling fans for cooling; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Laminate counters; Partial basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup on main level; Electric dryer hookup; Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $35 ($425/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (22.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $112k (22.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Central Noble Community School Corporation (rural): math 32% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #207 of 301 in IN (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Central Noble Primary School (249 students, 47% FRL); Central Noble Junior Senior Hs (math 23% / reading 37%, grade F, #307 of 369 statewide, top 83%, 654 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 46% FRL vs 31% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 131 units permitted in Noble County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Noble County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $112,291 (22.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
6.59%
Cash-on-cash
1.05%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$208,072
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1422 S US 33 Hwy 0.00mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,678 (0%) 0mo $144,900 $86 95
3797 W Noble St 0.33mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,494 (-11%) 18mo $185,000 $124 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.7%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-21,301
Equity at exit
$21,605
10-year hold
IRR
-6.1%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-15,951
Equity at exit
$12,528

Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46701

Home prices YoY
-16.8%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,123 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$31 /mo · $378/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$236
Net cashflow
$35

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,078
Max offer price $144,900
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $117 -5% $76 +0% $35 +5% $-6 +10% $-47
Rent -10% $-53 -5% $-9 +0% $35 +5% $80 +10% $124
Rate -1.0pp $108 -0.5pp $72 base $35 +0.5pp $-2 +1.0pp $-40

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,225
Closing costs
$4,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-10
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-02
    listed $144,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$378 · $31/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$805 · $67/mo
Expected delta
+$427/yr (+$36/mo · 113.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,475
− Mortgage interest
−$8,117
− Property taxes
−$378
− Insurance
−$724
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,078
− Management
−$1,078
− Depreciation
−$4,215
Taxable loss
−$2,115
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$508
After-tax cash flow
$932/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Central Noble Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1801710
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$48,911
Composite
28.58/100
National rank
#6718
State rank
#207 of 301 in IN

Livability — Wolflake

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Wolflake, IN
City population
217
Population (ZIP)
8,186

Population outlook (Noble County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,321 people
By 2030
47,945 · -0.8%
By 2040
46,521 · -3.7%
By 2050
44,501 · -7.9%
By 2075
38,962 · -19.4%
By 2100
31,846 · -34.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 13% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Noble

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.5% · R 74.9% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-36.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.4pp · 2024: -51.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.4 2020: R+49.7 2016: R+49.1 2012: R+33.6 2008: R+15.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.57%
Current HPI
250.7517
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-10 Pending IRMLS
  • 2026-05-02 Listed $144,900 IRMLS

Property tax history

+13.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $378 · +16.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…