51 Gladstone St · Buffalo, NY 14207

$149,900

5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,062 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 78 Days on market

Built 1914 3,120 sqft lot Est $206k · 27% under ↓ 3% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Rent growth +4.5/5.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Schools +3.3/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

Welcome to 51 Gladstone St! This well-kept 2/3 double is perfect for both owner-occupants and investors. The lower unit features three bedrooms and one full bath, offering plenty of living space, while the upper unit includes two bedrooms and one full bath, along with a charming private balcony—a great bonus for tenants. The property includes a full attic and full basement, providing ample storage and flexibility, plus a driveway for convenient off-street parking. Currently rented for a total of $2,010 per month, this home delivers strong, consistent income with solid mechanics throughout. Located near public transportation, shopping, bus lines, and more, this property offers easy ac

Key facts

• Driveway
• Private balcony
• Bus lines

Tags

• PRIVATE BALCONY
• FULL ATTIC
• FULL BASEMENT
• DRIVEWAY
• PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION
• BUS LINES

🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $149,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$206,200) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($26k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $150k).
• Recommended offer: $141k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 23.7% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
• Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $3,868/mo this rent would consume 117% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 2177% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $140,906 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.58% ✓
• Cap rate: 23.70%
• Cash-on-cash: 62.17%
• DSCR: 3.77
• GRM: 3.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $206,200
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
77 Clay St	0.48mi	6/2.0 (+1)	1,964 (-5%)	3mo	$73,500	$37	62
5 Humphrey Rd	0.53mi	6/2.0 (+1)	2,112 (+2%)	5mo	$230,648	$109	62
37 Peoria St	0.50mi	4/2.0 (-1)	2,148 (+4%)	6mo	$138,000	$64	59
41 Page St	0.45mi	5/2.0	2,274 (+10%)	4mo	$230,000	$101	59
145 Peter St	0.44mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,892 (-8%)	5mo	$238,696	$126	57
20 Garfield St	0.68mi	6/2.0 (+1)	2,120 (+3%)	6mo	$130,000	$61	54
43 Sunset St	0.50mi	6/2.0 (+1)	2,271 (+10%)	1mo	$165,000	$73	54
202 Grote St	0.56mi	6/2.0 (+1)	2,200 (+7%)	5mo	$219,750	$100	53
395 Ontario St	0.60mi	5/2.0	1,908 (-8%)	8mo	$270,000	$142	53
263 Chandler St	0.64mi	5/2.0	2,254 (+9%)	2mo	$195,000	$87	53
172 Austin St	0.56mi	6/2.0 (+1)	2,300 (+12%)	2mo	$165,001	$72	48
92 Greeley St	0.60mi	5/2.0	1,766 (-14%)	6mo	$220,000	$125	43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 66.4%
• Equity multiple: 4.21×
• Total profit: $134,608
• Equity at exit: $22,351

10-year hold

• IRR: 72.2%
• Equity multiple: 10.25×
• Total profit: $388,435
• Equity at exit: $12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 14207

• Home prices YoY: -18.9%
• Rents YoY: 8.2%
• Active inventory: 197
• Price-to-rent: 8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,868 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$786
• Tax from tax record: −$33 /mo · $392/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$812
• Net cashflow: $2,174

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,115

Max offer price $149,900

Occupancy floor 39%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
1× unit	3	1	$1,472
▸ 2× units	2	1	$2,396
Total (3 units)			$3,868

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,475
• Closing costs: $4,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
100 Forest Ave Buffalo, NY	2.0–4.0	2.0–4.0	1304	$2,560	$1.96	2d	14	1.26mi

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-02-19
   status Pending
2. 2026-02-15
   historical Active Under Contract
3. 2026-01-03
   price $149,900
4. 2025-12-03
   listed $154,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $392 · $33/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,463 · $122/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,070/yr (+$89/mo · 272.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $46,416
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,397
• − Property taxes: −$392
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,713
• − Management: −$3,713
• − Depreciation: −$4,361
• Taxable income: $25,090
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$6,022
• After-tax cash flow: $20,072/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Buffalo City School District
• NCES district ID: 3605850
• Math proficiency: 41% ▲ 11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 40% ▲ 7.00%
• Median HH income: $31,665
• Composite: 33.17/100
• National rank: #5544
• State rank: #535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

• Score: 77/100
• State rank: #195
• US rank: #3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Buffalo, NY
• County: Erie County · 714,559 people
• City population: 440,021
• Metro: Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
• Population (ZIP): 26,327
• Household income: $39,753
• Rent vs Own: 65.0% rent · 35.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 2177.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 933,037 people
• By 2030: 935,181 · +0.2%
• By 2040: 928,531 · -0.5%
• By 2050: 905,725 · -2.9%
• By 2075: 834,037 · -10.6%
• By 2100: 708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
• Race & ethnicity: White 40% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 16% Asian 15% Two or more races 14%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 18% Dominican 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 8% Portuguese 1% Arab 1%
• Foreign-born: 19% · Philippines, Canada, India
• Languages at home: 65% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 10% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -54.42%
• Current HPI: 233.0902
• Rent YoY: ▲ 8.19%
• Metro: Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

-3.2% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-19 Pending — WNYREIS
• 2026-02-15 Contingent — WNYREIS
• 2026-01-03 Price Changed $149,900 WNYREIS
• 2025-12-03 Listed $154,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $392 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.