821 Jackies Ln · Houma, LA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 4,660 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1985
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $116 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 4.0% in Houma — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#165 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, crime D-, amenities F.
- Terrebonne Parish (other): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #23 of 98 in LA (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 206 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 300 units permitted in Terrebonne Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $100k (51%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $95k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.48%
- DSCR
- 2.09
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $132,423
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- -28.26%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 314 Melody Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,854 (-2%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $102 | 81 |
| 211 Melody Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,989 (+5%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $83 | 80 |
| 226 Glenwood Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,757 (-7%) | 6mo | $185,000 | $105 | 72 |
| 225 North Van Ave | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 2,143 (+13%) | 8mo | $59,900 | $28 | 68 |
| 303 Swan Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,754 (-8%) | 2mo | $179,000 | $102 | 66 |
| 304 Couch Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,763 (-7%) | 10mo | $279,000 | $158 | 66 |
| 220 Glenwood Dr | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,676 (-12%) | 3mo | $94,900 | $57 | 63 |
| 119 Allen St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,713 (-10%) | 11mo | $105,000 | $61 | 59 |
| 1115 Maxine St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 2,046 (+8%) | 2mo | $149,000 | $73 | 57 |
| 306 Melody Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,619 (-15%) | 8mo | $159,900 | $99 | 56 |
| 268 Grande St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,686 (-11%) | 10mo | $129,900 | $77 | 55 |
| 1743 Acadian Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,745 (-8%) | 4mo | $99,000 | $57 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-7,753
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $3,780
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70363
- Active inventory
- 206
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,447 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $749/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $116
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 735 A School St Unit A Houma, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,600 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 717 Wood St Houma, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1534 | $1,300 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $95,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $95,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $95,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $95,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $95,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-03-27price $95,000
-
2026-03-27price $95,000
-
2026-03-24$195,000 Active
-
2026-03-24$195,000 Active
-
2004-07-16soldstatus $60,000
-
2003-12-05soldstatus $11,000
-
2003-10-01soldstatus
-
2003-09-17$25,000
-
2003-07-17soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $749 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $749 · $62/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,359
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$749
- − Insurance
- −$5,594
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,389
- − Management
- −$1,389
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $154
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$37
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,356/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Terrebonne Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201740
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,612
- Composite
- 33.38/100
- National rank
- #5480
- State rank
- #23 of 98 in LA
Livability — Houma
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #165
- US rank
- #13966
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houma, LA
- City population
- 57,290
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,668
Population outlook (Terrebonne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 118,724 people
- By 2030
- 120,321 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 121,894 · +2.7%
- By 2050
- 121,119 · +2.0%
- By 2075
- 117,270 · -1.2%
- By 2100
- 107,544 · -9.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Native American 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 16% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Terrebonne
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.8) · D 23.5% · R 75.3% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.9pp · 2024: -51.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.8 2020: R+50.0 2016: R+48.4 2012: R+41.2 2008: R+40.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -99.27%
- Current HPI
- 91.3914
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+280.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $95,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $95,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-03-24 Listed $195,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-03-24 Listed $195,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2004-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2003-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records
- 2003-10-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2003-09-17 Listed $25,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2003-07-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+18.4%/yrLatest (2025): $749 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…