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919 W Avenue G Ave
D Composite 41.4
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.8/30.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.2/15.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,000

919 W Avenue G Ave · Kingsville, TX 78363
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,541 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 93 Days on market
Built 1960 8,159 sqft lot $101/sqft · 12% above area Est $139k · 12% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nestled in a well-established neighborhood, this property has been lovingly cared for by its owner of 20+ years. Boasting a total of 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, the main living area features 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, along with a spacious living room, cozy dining area, and fully equipped kitchen. Additionally, there's an attached efficiency unit that offers its own living space complete with a refrigerator, gas stove & sink, full bathroom, and a roomy closet. This unit also has a private exterior entrance for added convenience, making it a great. Enjoy your morning coffee on the cozy covered front porch or relax with a BBQ & friends in the spacious backyard. Being so near TAMU-Kingsville, Santa Gertrudis ISD, & popular restaurants, this home offers a perfect blend of comfort & convenience.

Key facts

  • Near tamu-kingsville
  • Spacious backyard
  • 8,159 sq ft lot

Tags

ATTACHED EFFICIENCY UNITPRIVATE EXTERIOR ENTRANCECOZY COVERED FRONT PORCHSPACIOUS BACKYARDNEAR TAMU-KINGSVILLENEAR SANTA GERTRUDIS ISD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $100 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 5.4% in Kingsville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#364 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
  • Kingsville ISD (town): math 13% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #800 of 826 in TX (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 216 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 24 units permitted in Kleberg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kleberg County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $141,050 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
7.07%
Cash-on-cash
2.77%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$138,768
List price
$155,000
Delta
11.70%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
714 E Avenue C Ave 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,328 (-14%) 2mo $75,000 $56 57
708 Santa Anita Dr 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,415 (-8%) 2mo $237,800 $168 53
728 Santa Anita Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,698 (+10%) 8mo $199,900 $118 50
1506 Santa Cecilia Dr 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,714 (+11%) 5mo $220,000 $128 42
722 Santa Elena Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-7%) 16mo $199,900 $139 42
713 Santa Anita 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,360 (-12%) 18mo $99,950 $73 37
726 W Richard Ave 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,692 (+10%) 21mo $159,950 $95 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.18% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.9%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-11,624
Equity at exit
$23,111
10-year hold
IRR
7.6%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$29,900
Equity at exit
$13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78363

Rents YoY
7.2%
Active inventory
216
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,605 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$291 /mo · $3,489/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$337
Net cashflow
$100

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,479
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
503 W Mesquite Ave Kingsville, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,500 $1.07 13d 1 0.47mi
629 W Nettie Ave Kingsville, TX 3.0 2.0 1762 $1,495 $0.85 43d 1 0.60mi
1204 W Lee Ave Kingsville, TX 4.0 2.5 1970 $1,825 $0.93 43d 1 0.82mi
614 W Alice Ave Kingsville, TX 3.0 2.0 1713 $1,599 $0.93 43d 1 0.83mi
307 W Alice Ave Kingsville, TX 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,500 $0.94 43d 1 1.00mi
710 E C Ave Kingsville, TX 3.0 2.0 1248 $1,250 $1.00 13d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $155,000 Active 93 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $155,000 Active 92 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $155,000 Active 91 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $155,000 Active 90 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $155,000 Active 89 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $155,000 Active 87 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $155,000 Active 86 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $155,000 Active 83 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $155,000 Active 82 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $155,000 Active 81 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $155,000 Active 78 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $155,000 Active 77 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $155,000 Active 76 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $155,000 Active 75 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $155,000 Active 74 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $155,000 Active 73 DOM
  17. 2026-03-17
    listed $155,000 Active 829-char remark
    Show marketing remark (829 chars)

    Nestled in a well-established neighborhood, this property has been lovingly cared for by its owner of 20+ years. Boasting a total of 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, the main living area features 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, along with a spacious living room, cozy dining area, and fully equipped kitchen. Additionally, there's an attached efficiency unit that offers its own living space complete with a refrigerator, gas stove & sink, full bathroom, and a roomy closet. This unit also has a private exterior entrance for added convenience, making it a great. Enjoy your morning coffee on the cozy covered front porch or relax with a BBQ & friends in the spacious backyard. Being so near TAMU-Kingsville, Santa Gertrudis ISD, & popular restaurants, this home offers a perfect blend of comfort & convenience.

  18. 2005-04-29
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,489 · $291/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,489 · $291/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,265
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$3,489
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,541
− Management
−$1,541
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable loss
−$1,273
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$306
After-tax cash flow
$1,506/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kingsville ISD
NCES district ID
4825680
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$36,308
Composite
14.5/100
National rank
#9425
State rank
#800 of 826 in TX

Livability — Kingsville

Score
70/100
State rank
#364
US rank
#7787

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kingsville, TX
County
Kleberg County · 28,920 people
City population
28,920
Metro
Kingsville, TX
Population (ZIP)
28,920
Household income
$60,574
Rent vs Own
49.3% rent · 50.7% own
Severe rent burden
1663.0

Population outlook (Kleberg County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
31,615 people
By 2030
32,054 · +1.4%
By 2040
33,008 · +4.4%
By 2050
34,536 · +9.2%
By 2075
40,931 · +29.5%
By 2100
46,001 · +45.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (72%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 72% Two or more races 36% White 20% Black 3% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 67%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kleberg

2024 margin
R (+12.7) · D 43.3% · R 56.1%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: 7.2pp · 2024: -12.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.7 2020: R+1.7 2016: D+3.7 2012: D+7.8 2008: D+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -87.12%
Current HPI
147.6473
Rent YoY
▲ 7.18%
Metro
Kingsville, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $155,000 CBMLS
  • 2005-04-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,489 · +8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…