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3120 Live Oak Blvd #76
C Composite 55.65
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,500

3120 Live Oak Blvd #76 · Yuba City, CA 95991
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 864 sqft · Manufactured · 10 Days on market
Built 1990 4,278 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to the immaculately maintained Dell Wayne Mobile Home Estates! This lovely home is available to all ages! It features a front yard, back yard and great covered deck to sit out on during the summer evenings or morning coffee, anytime you like. Many updates have recently been completed so all you have to do is move in. Dual pane windows with sun screens, siding, Tuff Shed, new roof, washer & dryer, refrigerator, stove, beautiful flooring throughout, too much to list. This home is a must see!

Key facts

  • Covered deck
  • Back yard
  • Sun screens

Tags

FRONT YARDBACK YARDCOVERED DECKDUAL PANE WINDOWSSUN SCREENSSIDING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Yuba City, CA (Live Oak Blvd #76); Best to use GPS for directions; Cross street: Pease Rd
  • Financial info: Land lease amount listed separately (not land-lease)
  • HOA & community: No association; Not a senior community; Not land-lease

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking (no garage)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas connected; Cable connected; 220 volts available in laundry
  • Home design: Manufactured home in park; Double wide; Built in 1990
  • Construction: Wood skirting; Composition roof; Made by Fleetwood
  • Exterior features: Porch awning; Dog run; Backyard and front yard landscaping; Automatic sprinkler system (front and rear); Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing gas range; Free-standing refrigerator; Laminate countertops
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; Tub with shower over
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Covered and enclosed deck; Deck attached to living area / great room; Dual-pane full windows; Pets allowed
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included (inside laundry); 220V in laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $134k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $230 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $134k).
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.5% in Yuba City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#111 in CA, #3,863 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, cost of living F.
  • Yuba City Unified (urban): math 20% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #263 of 517 in CA (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 149 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 73 units permitted in Sutter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $930 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sutter County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $134,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
8.34%
Cash-on-cash
7.32%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$88,992
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3120 Live Oak Blvd #76 0.00mi 2/1.5 864 (0%) 8mo $134,000 $155 93
1155 Pease Rd #526 0.10mi 2/1.0 864 (0%) 8mo $65,000 $75 87
3120 Live Oak #51 0.06mi 2/1.0 850 (-2%) 13mo $91,500 $108 82
1155 Pease Rd #430 0.13mi 2/1.0 837 (-3%) 12mo $86,000 $103 76
1155 Pease Rd #530 0.11mi 2/1.0 780 (-10%) 19mo $33,000 $42 61
1155 Pease Rd #29 0.18mi 2/1.0 775 (-10%) 19mo $60,000 $77 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.79% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.5%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-8,905
Equity at exit
$20,054
10-year hold
IRR
1.6%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$4,108
Equity at exit
$11,629

Cash invested: $37,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95991

Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
149
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,467 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$705
Tax est. 1.5%
$168 /mo · $2,018/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$308
Net cashflow
$230

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,177
Max offer price $134,500
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $323 -5% $276 +0% $230 +5% $183 +10% $137
Rent -10% $114 -5% $172 +0% $230 +5% $288 +10% $346
Rate -1.0pp $297 -0.5pp $264 base $230 +0.5pp $195 +1.0pp $159

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,625
Closing costs
$4,035
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1290 Northgate Dr Unit 28 Yuba City, CA 2.0 1.0 872 $1,450 $1.66 22d 1 0.97mi
1290 Northgate Dr Unit 81 Yuba City, CA 2.0 2.0 941 $1,500 $1.59 45d 1 1.00mi
1290 Northgate Dr Unit 80 Yuba City, CA 1.0 1.0 678 $1,250 $1.84 22d 1 1.00mi
1290 Northgate Dr Unit 14 Yuba City, CA 1.0 1.0 680 $1,200 $1.76 45d 1 1.00mi
1138 Forestwood Dr Yuba City, CA 2.0 2.0 964 $2,025 $2.10 22d 1 1.09mi
1290 Forestwood Dr Unit 13 Yuba City, CA 1.0 1.0 655 $1,240 $1.89 22d 1 1.12mi
1290 Forestwood Dr Yuba City, CA 1.0 1.0 655 $1,240 $1.89 14d 1 1.12mi
1250 Melton Dr Yuba City, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 646 $1,300 $2.01 14d 2 1.17mi
1199 Casita Dr #1 Yuba City, CA 2.0 1.0 896 $1,500 $1.67 22d 1 1.19mi
1188 Casita Dr Yuba City, CA 2.0 1.0 840 $1,399 $1.67 45d 1 1.22mi
1171 Kenny Dr Yuba City, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 45d 1 1.24mi
1171 Kenny Dr Unit 10 Yuba City, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,375 $1.53 45d 1 1.25mi
1211 Kenny Dr Unit 19 Yuba City, CA 1.0 1.0 750 $1,195 $1.59 45d 1 1.25mi
1210 Kenny Dr Unit 95991 Yuba City, CA 1.0 1.0 650 $1,225 $1.88 45d 1 1.28mi
1570 Gray Ave Unit 16 Yuba City, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,275 $1.82 22d 1 1.28mi
1170 Kenny Dr Yuba City, CA 1.0 1.0 544 $1,100 $2.02 14d 2 1.29mi
1518 Upland Dr Unit 1518 Yuba City, CA 2.0 1.0 1084 $1,900 $1.75 45d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $134,500 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $134,500 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $134,500 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $134,500 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $134,500 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $134,500 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $134,500 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    remarks 509-char remark
  9. 2026-06-13
    listed $134,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 28 unhealthy d/yr today · 32 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,609
− Mortgage interest
−$7,534
− Property taxes
−$2,018
− Insurance
−$672
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,409
− Management
−$1,409
− Depreciation
−$3,913
Taxable income
$655
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$157
After-tax cash flow
$2,600/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Yuba City Unified
NCES district ID
0643470
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$50,923
Composite
31.55/100
National rank
#5956
State rank
#263 of 517 in CA

Livability — Yuba City

Score
75/100
State rank
#111
US rank
#3863

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Yuba City, CA
County
Sutter County · 81,625 people
City population
81,625
Metro
Yuba City, CA
Population (ZIP)
42,579
Household income
$70,590
Rent vs Own
49.3% rent · 50.7% own
Severe rent burden
1674.0

Population outlook (Sutter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
97,244 people
By 2030
97,170 · -0.1%
By 2040
96,137 · -1.1%
By 2050
93,604 · -3.7%
By 2075
85,008 · -12.6%
By 2100
71,584 · -26.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 41% White 37% Two or more races 19% Asian 12% Black 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 36% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Russian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
60% English-only · Spanish 28% Other Indo-European 10% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sutter

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.1% · R 64.5% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-14.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -31.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.4 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+16.3 2012: R+21.8 2008: R+16.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -343.11%
Current HPI
240.3835
Rent YoY
▲ 1.79%
Metro
Yuba City, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…