Fourplex
1326 W 15th St · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.7/30.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$465,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
BRING YOUR INVESTORS. PRICED TO SELL, SITTING A WHOPPING 80K BELOW RPR. GIVES PLENTY OF ROOM FOR RENOVATION, AS PROPERTY NEEDS REHAB. SELLER ACCEPTING AS-IS OFFERS ONLY. NO TENANTS, THIS PROPERTY IS READY TO ROLL. SOME NOTES: EACH UNIT HAS OWN ELECTRIC/WATER METER, 4 A/C UNITS ON SITE THAT WORK BUT NOT HOOKED UP, NEEDS NEW ROOF, PLUMBING/ELECTRIC GOOD
Key facts
- Income-producing
- Remodeled
- Tenant-occupied
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking; Parking lot; Shared driveway; Unassigned parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Two levels; Quadruplex (investment/residential use); One building
- Construction: Block construction
- Exterior features: Other lot features
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 8 bedrooms
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Tile flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $465k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-53 ($-634/yr) — negative. Per door: $-13/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $456k (2.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $379k (18.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $379k (18.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lake Shore Middle School (math 25% / reading 22%, grade F, #536 of 571 statewide, top 95%, 972 students, 75% FRL); William M. Raines High School (math 14% / reading 13%, grade F, #616 of 667 statewide, top 92%, 1,217 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 49% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 18% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-27 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Duval average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 394 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 183 days — a 12% lower offer ($409k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $221k; list at $465k implies a 110% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 183 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.49%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $370,448
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1343 W 15th St | 0.04mi | 8/4.0 | 2,578 (-5%) | 11mo | $385,000 | $149 | 82 |
| 1271 W 16th St | 0.10mi | 8/4.0 | 2,704 (0%) | 22mo | $204,000 | $75 | 77 |
| 1575 W 19th St | 0.39mi | 8/4.0 | 2,704 (0%) | 14mo | $475,000 | $176 | 70 |
| 1124 W 25th St | 0.55mi | 8/4.0 | 2,704 (0%) | 6mo | $440,000 | $163 | 69 |
| 1823 Francis St | 0.51mi | 8/4.0 | 2,616 (-3%) | 11mo | $359,500 | $137 | 62 |
| 1017 W 6th St | 0.72mi | 8/4.0 | 2,704 (0%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $92 | 59 |
| 2719 Fairfax St | 0.60mi | 8/4.0 | 2,640 (-2%) | 14mo | $325,000 | $123 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-83,246
- Equity at exit
- $69,333
- IRR
- -13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-94,977
- Equity at exit
- $40,205
Cash invested: $130,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32209
- Home prices YoY
- -22.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 394
- Price-to-rent
- 40.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,791 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,439
- Tax from tax record
- −$415 /mo · $4,986/yr
- Insurance
- −$194
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$796
- Net cashflow
- $-53
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $210 | -5% $79 | +0% $-53 | +5% $-184 | +10% $-316 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-352 | -5% $-203 | +0% $-53 | +5% $97 | +10% $247 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $181 | -0.5pp $65 | base $-53 | +0.5pp $-173 | +1.0pp $-296 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | 1 | $3,792 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $948 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $948 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $948 |
| #4 | 2 | 1 | $948 |
| Total (4 units) | $3,791 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $116,250
- Closing costs
- $13,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1403 Steele St Jacksonville, FL | 8.0 | 3.0 | 2800 | $550 | $0.20 | 3d | 1 | 0.55mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $465,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $465,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $465,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $465,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $465,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $465,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $465,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $465,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $465,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $465,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $465,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2025-12-04$465,000 Active
-
2022-02-23soldstatus $221,000
-
2022-02-14soldstatus $221,000 Sold 356-char remark
Show marketing remark (356 chars)
BRING YOUR INVESTORS. PRICED TO SELL, SITTING A WHOPPING 80K BELOW RPR. GIVES PLENTY OF ROOM FOR RENOVATION, AS PROPERTY NEEDS REHAB. SELLER ACCEPTING AS-IS OFFERS ONLY. NO TENANTS, THIS PROPERTY IS READY TO ROLL. SOME NOTES: EACH UNIT HAS OWN ELECTRIC/WATER METER, 4 A/C UNITS ON SITE THAT WORK BUT NOT HOOKED UP, NEEDS NEW ROOF, PLUMBING/ELECTRIC GOOD
-
2022-01-18status Pending 356-char remark
Show marketing remark (356 chars)
BRING YOUR INVESTORS. PRICED TO SELL, SITTING A WHOPPING 80K BELOW RPR. GIVES PLENTY OF ROOM FOR RENOVATION, AS PROPERTY NEEDS REHAB. SELLER ACCEPTING AS-IS OFFERS ONLY. NO TENANTS, THIS PROPERTY IS READY TO ROLL. SOME NOTES: EACH UNIT HAS OWN ELECTRIC/WATER METER, 4 A/C UNITS ON SITE THAT WORK BUT NOT HOOKED UP, NEEDS NEW ROOF, PLUMBING/ELECTRIC GOOD
-
2022-01-17status Active 356-char remark
Show marketing remark (356 chars)
BRING YOUR INVESTORS. PRICED TO SELL, SITTING A WHOPPING 80K BELOW RPR. GIVES PLENTY OF ROOM FOR RENOVATION, AS PROPERTY NEEDS REHAB. SELLER ACCEPTING AS-IS OFFERS ONLY. NO TENANTS, THIS PROPERTY IS READY TO ROLL. SOME NOTES: EACH UNIT HAS OWN ELECTRIC/WATER METER, 4 A/C UNITS ON SITE THAT WORK BUT NOT HOOKED UP, NEEDS NEW ROOF, PLUMBING/ELECTRIC GOOD
-
2022-01-14historical 356-char remark
Show marketing remark (356 chars)
BRING YOUR INVESTORS. PRICED TO SELL, SITTING A WHOPPING 80K BELOW RPR. GIVES PLENTY OF ROOM FOR RENOVATION, AS PROPERTY NEEDS REHAB. SELLER ACCEPTING AS-IS OFFERS ONLY. NO TENANTS, THIS PROPERTY IS READY TO ROLL. SOME NOTES: EACH UNIT HAS OWN ELECTRIC/WATER METER, 4 A/C UNITS ON SITE THAT WORK BUT NOT HOOKED UP, NEEDS NEW ROOF, PLUMBING/ELECTRIC GOOD
-
2022-01-03$215,000 Active 356-char remark
Show marketing remark (356 chars)
BRING YOUR INVESTORS. PRICED TO SELL, SITTING A WHOPPING 80K BELOW RPR. GIVES PLENTY OF ROOM FOR RENOVATION, AS PROPERTY NEEDS REHAB. SELLER ACCEPTING AS-IS OFFERS ONLY. NO TENANTS, THIS PROPERTY IS READY TO ROLL. SOME NOTES: EACH UNIT HAS OWN ELECTRIC/WATER METER, 4 A/C UNITS ON SITE THAT WORK BUT NOT HOOKED UP, NEEDS NEW ROOF, PLUMBING/ELECTRIC GOOD
-
2008-08-07soldstatus $185,000
-
2008-04-16historical 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
TWO STORY, CONCRETE BLOCK QUAD. NEEDS REHAB. SELLER/AGENT MAKE NO REPRESENTATIONS OR WARRANTIES EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED AS TO THE CONDITION OF THE PROPERTY. PROPERTY IS BEING SOLD 'AS-IS'. SELLER WILL NOT PAY FOR OR PROVIDE SURVEY.
-
2008-03-05soldstatus $68,900 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
TWO STORY, CONCRETE BLOCK QUAD. NEEDS REHAB. SELLER/AGENT MAKE NO REPRESENTATIONS OR WARRANTIES EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED AS TO THE CONDITION OF THE PROPERTY. PROPERTY IS BEING SOLD 'AS-IS'. SELLER WILL NOT PAY FOR OR PROVIDE SURVEY.
-
2007-12-21$89,000 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
TWO STORY, CONCRETE BLOCK QUAD. NEEDS REHAB. SELLER/AGENT MAKE NO REPRESENTATIONS OR WARRANTIES EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED AS TO THE CONDITION OF THE PROPERTY. PROPERTY IS BEING SOLD 'AS-IS'. SELLER WILL NOT PAY FOR OR PROVIDE SURVEY.
-
2007-03-01historical
-
2006-05-10$235,000
-
2005-10-19soldstatus $159,500
-
2005-10-12historical
-
2005-10-10soldstatus $159,500
-
2005-08-19$159,900
-
2004-07-13soldstatus $155,000
-
2002-07-01historical
-
2002-01-24$80,000
-
2000-03-23soldstatus $51,000
-
1976-12-27soldstatus $239,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,986 · $415/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,986 · $415/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,492
- − Mortgage interest
- −$26,047
- − Property taxes
- −$4,986
- − Insurance
- −$2,325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,639
- − Management
- −$3,639
- − Depreciation
- −$13,527
- Taxable loss
- −$8,672
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,081
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,447/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,657
- Household income
- $30,514
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2921.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 88% White 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.92%
- Current HPI
- 189.5977
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+94.6% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-04 Listed $465,000 realMLS
- 2022-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $221,000 Public Records
- 2022-02-14 Sold (MLS) $221,000 realMLS
- 2022-01-18 Pending — realMLS
- 2022-01-17 Relisted — realMLS
- 2022-01-14 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2022-01-03 Listed $215,000 realMLS
- 2008-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
- 2008-04-16 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2008-03-05 Sold (MLS) $68,900 realMLS
- 2007-12-21 Listed $89,000 realMLS
- 2007-03-01 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2006-05-10 Listed $235,000 realMLS
- 2005-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $159,500 Public Records
- 2005-10-12 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2005-10-10 Sold (MLS) $159,500 realMLS
- 2005-08-19 Listed $159,900 realMLS
- 2004-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
- 2002-07-01 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2002-01-24 Listed $80,000 realMLS
- 2000-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
- 1976-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $239,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $4,986 · +15.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…