CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
None
D Composite 41.98
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$167,000

None · Amboy, WA 98601
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 734 sqft · SingleFamily · 231 Days on market
Built 2004 $262/mo HOA · 15% of rent ↓ 1% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this peaceful retreat nestled among the evergreens with access to Lake Merwin. Whether you are a water enthusiast or enjoy being among nature this place has so much to explore. This cozy cabin offers a bright and inviting sunroom with vaulted ceilings, hardwood floors, loft and views of the lake. The sunroom is connected to a 29 foot travel trailer which offers all the amenities needed for your vacation getaway. Step outside to a covered deck perfect for year round bbq's. Large lot also provides a storage shed, awning and parking for a vehicle and boat. This cabin is turn-key and pride of ownership, perfect for making memories. This is a privately owned campground with gated entry. Amenities include an indoor pool, hot tub, sauna, work out room, and laundry facility. Outdoor activities include 2 playgrounds, putt putt golf, and tennis court. During the summer Meditation point offers chapel, outdoor movies, concerts, and other fun activities to enjoy. A private boat launch provides direct access to Lake Merwin for fishing, boating, skiing, or finding that sandy spot to enjoy by the lake. This getaway cannot be rented or a permanent residence, you can stay for 234 days out of the year. This is a private gated campground membership. Discover your own piece of paradise here at Lake Merwin Campers Hideaway. Seller is the listing real estate broker.

Key facts

  • Covered deck
  • Large lot
  • Vaulted ceilings

Tags

ACCESS TO LAKE MERWINBRIGHT SUNROOMVAULTED CEILINGSHARDWOOD FLOORSCOVERED DECKLARGE LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $167k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-34 ($-403/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $162k (2.9% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $167k).
  • Recommended offer: $147k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 1.5% in Amboy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#368 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Battle Ground School District (suburban): math 48% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #92 of 291 in WA (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Yacolt Primary (734 students, 40% FRL); Amboy Middle School (549 students, 43% FRL); Battle Ground High School (1,798 students, 36% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 3,547 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (1,361 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clark County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 231 days — a 12% lower offer ($147k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $146,960 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 231 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
6.05%
Cash-on-cash
-0.86%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.6%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-29,013
Equity at exit
$24,900
10-year hold
IRR
-9.4%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-27,258
Equity at exit
$14,439

Cash invested: $46,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98601

Home prices YoY
-19.1%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,750 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$876
Tax est. 1.5%
$209 /mo · $2,505/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$262
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$368
Net cashflow
$-34

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,793
Max offer price $162,139
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $82 -5% $24 +0% $-34 +5% $-91 +10% $-149
Rent -10% $-172 -5% $-103 +0% $-34 +5% $36 +10% $105
Rate -1.0pp $51 -0.5pp $9 base $-34 +0.5pp $-77 +1.0pp $-121

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,750
Closing costs
$5,010
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$262 · $3,144/yr
Likely covers
waterlandscapingpoolsecurity

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $167,000 Active 231 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $167,000 Active 228 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $167,000 Active 227 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $167,000 Active 226 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $167,000 Active 225 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $167,000 Active 223 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $167,000 Active 219 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $167,000 Active 218 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $167,000 Active 217 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $167,000 Active 213 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $167,000 Active 212 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $167,000 Active 211 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $167,000 Active 210 DOM
  14. 2026-05-03
    price $167,000 1376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1376 chars)

    Welcome to this peaceful retreat nestled among the evergreens with access to Lake Merwin. Whether you are a water enthusiast or enjoy being among nature this place has so much to explore. This cozy cabin offers a bright and inviting sunroom with vaulted ceilings, hardwood floors, loft and views of the lake. The sunroom is connected to a 29 foot travel trailer which offers all the amenities needed for your vacation getaway. Step outside to a covered deck perfect for year round bbq's. Large lot also provides a storage shed, awning and parking for a vehicle and boat. This cabin is turn-key and pride of ownership, perfect for making memories. This is a privately owned campground with gated entry. Amenities include an indoor pool, hot tub, sauna, work out room, and laundry facility. Outdoor activities include 2 playgrounds, putt putt golf, and tennis court. During the summer Meditation point offers chapel, outdoor movies, concerts, and other fun activities to enjoy. A private boat launch provides direct access to Lake Merwin for fishing, boating, skiing, or finding that sandy spot to enjoy by the lake. This getaway cannot be rented or a permanent residence, you can stay for 234 days out of the year. This is a private gated campground membership. Discover your own piece of paradise here at Lake Merwin Campers Hideaway. Seller is the listing real estate broker.

  15. 2025-11-02
    listed $169,000 Active 1376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1376 chars)

    Welcome to this peaceful retreat nestled among the evergreens with access to Lake Merwin. Whether you are a water enthusiast or enjoy being among nature this place has so much to explore. This cozy cabin offers a bright and inviting sunroom with vaulted ceilings, hardwood floors, loft and views of the lake. The sunroom is connected to a 29 foot travel trailer which offers all the amenities needed for your vacation getaway. Step outside to a covered deck perfect for year round bbq's. Large lot also provides a storage shed, awning and parking for a vehicle and boat. This cabin is turn-key and pride of ownership, perfect for making memories. This is a privately owned campground with gated entry. Amenities include an indoor pool, hot tub, sauna, work out room, and laundry facility. Outdoor activities include 2 playgrounds, putt putt golf, and tennis court. During the summer Meditation point offers chapel, outdoor movies, concerts, and other fun activities to enjoy. A private boat launch provides direct access to Lake Merwin for fishing, boating, skiing, or finding that sandy spot to enjoy by the lake. This getaway cannot be rented or a permanent residence, you can stay for 234 days out of the year. This is a private gated campground membership. Discover your own piece of paradise here at Lake Merwin Campers Hideaway. Seller is the listing real estate broker.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,000
− Mortgage interest
−$9,355
− Property taxes
−$2,505
− Insurance
−$835
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,680
− Management
−$1,680
− HOA
−$3,144
− Depreciation
−$4,858
Taxable loss
−$3,057
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$734
After-tax cash flow
$331/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Battle Ground School District
NCES district ID
5300380
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$69,646
Composite
49.81/100
National rank
#4201
State rank
#92 of 291 in WA

Livability — Amboy

Score
64/100
State rank
#368
US rank
#14055

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,742

Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
529,610 people
By 2030
563,242 · +6.4%
By 2040
625,905 · +18.2%
By 2050
681,558 · +28.7%
By 2075
805,967 · +52.2%
By 2100
877,450 · +65.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 5% Italian 3% Scottish 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clark

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.0) · D 52.1% · R 45.1% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
+0.9pp no change · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 7.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.0 2020: D+5.1 2016: D+0.1 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -70.48%
Current HPI
297.7725
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-03 Price Changed $167,000 RMLS
  • 2025-11-02 Listed $169,000 RMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…