407 SE Keese Ave · Keota, OK
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 0.83 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1930
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Sidewalks
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Security: Storm shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Faces north; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built per public records
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Porch; Chain link fencing; Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Stove; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Radiant heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Laminate counters; Vinyl windows; Electric range connection
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $372 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#515 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Keota (rural): math 16% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #242 of 270 in OK (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Haskell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Haskell County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.25%
- DSCR
- 1.95
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $32,732
- Equity at exit
- $33,723
- IRR
- 28.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.97×
- Total profit
- $83,371
- Equity at exit
- $51,972
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74941
- Active inventory
- 38
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,127 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$237
- Net cashflow
- $372
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $424 | -5% $398 | +0% $372 | +5% $346 | +10% $320 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $283 | -5% $327 | +0% $372 | +5% $416 | +10% $461 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $410 | -0.5pp $391 | base $372 | +0.5pp $352 | +1.0pp $333 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending
-
2026-04-30$75,000 Active
-
2022-06-07soldstatus $60,000 Closed
-
2022-04-08status Pending
-
2022-04-04$58,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,521
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,125
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,082
- − Management
- −$1,082
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $3,474
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$834
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,628/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
The home requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and bathroom, and some maintenance to the exterior and interior. Landscaping improvements would also enhance its curb appeal and overall value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen cabinets — Older cabinets in poor condition
- Major Kitchen countertops — Worn and outdated
- Minor Bathroom fixtures — Standard fixtures, but dated design
Value-add opportunities
- Resale New kitchen cabinets and countertops — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value
- Resale Updated bathroom fixtures — Enhances the bathroom's appeal
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Older cabinets in poor condition | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Kitchen countertops · Worn and outdated | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Standard fixtures, but dated design | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $30,500–103,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale New kitchen cabinets and countertops — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value ↑
- Resale Updated bathroom fixtures — Enhances the bathroom's appeal ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Keota
- NCES district ID
- 4016350
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 11% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,386
- Composite
- 11.06/100
- National rank
- #9737
- State rank
- #242 of 270 in OK
Livability — Keota
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #515
- US rank
- #22687
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Keota, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,452
Population outlook (Haskell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,670 people
- By 2030
- 12,462 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 11,962 · -5.6%
- By 2050
- 11,354 · -10.4%
- By 2075
- 9,621 · -24.1%
- By 2100
- 7,478 · -41.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Two or more races 15% Native American 15% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Haskell
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+69.7) · D 14.6% · R 84.2% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.6pp toward R · 2008: -37.0pp · 2024: -69.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+69.7 2020: R+67.5 2016: R+59.5 2012: R+44.6 2008: R+37.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+29.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-30 Listed $75,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-06-07 Sold (MLS) $60,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-04-08 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-04-04 Listed $58,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…