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407 SE Keese Ave
B Composite 71.16
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0

$75,000

407 SE Keese Ave · Keota, OK 74941
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,600 sqft · SingleFamily · 12 Days on market
Built 1930 Fair condition 0.83 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 0.83 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1930

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Sidewalks

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Security: Storm shelter
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story; Faces north; Crawlspace foundation
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built per public records
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Porch; Chain link fencing; Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Stove; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Radiant heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Laminate counters; Vinyl windows; Electric range connection
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $372 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#515 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Keota (rural): math 16% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #242 of 270 in OK (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Haskell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Haskell County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $60k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
12.24%
Cash-on-cash
21.25%
DSCR
1.95
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.5%
Equity multiple
2.56×
Total profit
$32,732
Equity at exit
$33,723
10-year hold
IRR
28.1%
Equity multiple
4.97×
Total profit
$83,371
Equity at exit
$51,972

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74941

Active inventory
38
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,127 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax est. 1.5%
$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$237
Net cashflow
$372

Break-even live

Break-even rent $656
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $424 -5% $398 +0% $372 +5% $346 +10% $320
Rent -10% $283 -5% $327 +0% $372 +5% $416 +10% $461
Rate -1.0pp $410 -0.5pp $391 base $372 +0.5pp $352 +1.0pp $333

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-30
    listed $75,000 Active
  3. 2022-06-07
    soldstatus $60,000 Closed
  4. 2022-04-08
    status Pending
  5. 2022-04-04
    listed $58,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,521
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,125
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,082
− Management
−$1,082
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$3,474
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$834
After-tax cash flow
$3,628/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

The home requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and bathroom, and some maintenance to the exterior and interior. Landscaping improvements would also enhance its curb appeal and overall value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Kitchen cabinets — Older cabinets in poor condition
  • Major Kitchen countertops — Worn and outdated
  • Minor Bathroom fixtures — Standard fixtures, but dated design

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale New kitchen cabinets and countertops — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value
  • Resale Updated bathroom fixtures — Enhances the bathroom's appeal
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen cabinets · Older cabinets in poor condition Major $15,000–50,000
Kitchen countertops · Worn and outdated Major $15,000–50,000
Bathroom fixtures · Standard fixtures, but dated design Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $30,500–103,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale New kitchen cabinets and countertops — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value
  • Resale Updated bathroom fixtures — Enhances the bathroom's appeal
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Keota
NCES district ID
4016350
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$34,386
Composite
11.06/100
National rank
#9737
State rank
#242 of 270 in OK

Livability — Keota

Score
56/100
State rank
#515
US rank
#22687

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Keota, OK
Population (ZIP)
2,452

Population outlook (Haskell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
12,670 people
By 2030
12,462 · -1.6%
By 2040
11,962 · -5.6%
By 2050
11,354 · -10.4%
By 2075
9,621 · -24.1%
By 2100
7,478 · -41.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Two or more races 15% Native American 15% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
3%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Haskell

2024 margin
Solid R (+69.7) · D 14.6% · R 84.2% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.6pp toward R · 2008: -37.0pp · 2024: -69.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+69.7 2020: R+67.5 2016: R+59.5 2012: R+44.6 2008: R+37.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+29.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $75,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-06-07 Sold (MLS) $60,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-04-08 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-04-04 Listed $58,000 MLS Technology, Inc.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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