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211 Pennsylvania Ave
B Composite 70.8
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,999

211 Pennsylvania Ave · Cumberland, MD 21502
6 bd · 3.5 ba · 2,624 sqft · Townhouse public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1923 4,792 sqft lot ↓ 32% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor Special! Opportunity awaits at 211 Pennsylvania Avenue in Cumberland. This all-brick duplex offers two spacious units, each featuring 3 bedrooms. Left side 211 has 1 full bath, and right side 213 has 2 full bathrooms! Making it an attractive option for investors looking to renovate and add value. Packed with character, the property showcases original woodwork, hardwood floors, large rooms, and a classic covered front porch. A walk-up attic, full basement, fenced rear yard, and detached storage building provide additional potential and storage space. Whether you’re looking to expand your rental portfolio, pursue a fix-and-flip project, or create long-term cash flow, this prope

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Walk up attic
  • All brick duplex

Tags

ALL BRICK DUPLEXORIGINAL WOODWORKHARDWOOD FLOORSCOVERED FRONT PORCHWALK UP ATTICFULL BASEMENT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Above-grade finished area approximately 2,624; Total below-grade area: 0; Improvement assessed value and land assessed value available

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Semi-detached property; 2 floors in unit; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Above grade and below grade structures; Estimated year built
  • Exterior features: Located in city limits; Directions: from Industrial Blvd, turn on Pennsylvania Ave, house on left

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 6 bedrooms on the first upper level
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms (2 on upper levels, 1 on main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Hot water: electric
  • Interior features: Full basement; 6 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/3.5-bath townhouse listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $680 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
  • Cap rate 15.9% vs local median 6.7% in Cumberland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#64 in MD, #2,385 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Allegany County Public Schools (other): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #18 of 24 in MD (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.9%/yr); 238 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 24 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Allegany County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $84,999

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.87%
Cap rate
15.90%
Cash-on-cash
34.31%
DSCR
2.53
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.2%
Equity multiple
2.60×
Total profit
$37,992
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
44.6%
Equity multiple
6.35×
Total profit
$127,241
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21502

Home prices YoY
-17.4%
Rents YoY
10.9%
Active inventory
238
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,592 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$96 /mo · $1,149/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$334
Net cashflow
$680

Break-even live

Break-even rent $730
Max offer price $84,999
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $729 -5% $704 +0% $680 +5% $656 +10% $632
Rent -10% $555 -5% $618 +0% $680 +5% $743 +10% $806
Rate -1.0pp $723 -0.5pp $702 base $680 +0.5pp $658 +1.0pp $636

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
630 Hill Top Dr Cumberland, MD 5.0 1.5 2300 $1,495 $0.65 45d 1 0.56mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $84,999 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $84,999 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,999 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,999 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,999 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,999 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $84,999 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    remarks 693-char remark
  9. 2026-06-12
    listed $84,999 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,149 · $96/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,149 · $96/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,099
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,149
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,528
− Management
−$1,528
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$7,235
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,736
After-tax cash flow
$6,429/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Allegany County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400030
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -20.00%
Median HH income
$39,760
Composite
18.95/100
National rank
#8854
State rank
#18 of 24 in MD

Livability — Cumberland

Score
78/100
State rank
#64
US rank
#2385

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cumberland, MD
County
Allegany County · 41,015 people
City population
41,015
Metro
Cumberland, MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
41,015
Household income
$60,725
Rent vs Own
28.0% rent · 72.0% own
Severe rent burden
824.0

Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,778 people
By 2030
66,766 · -2.9%
By 2040
62,784 · -8.7%
By 2050
59,179 · -14.0%
By 2075
50,732 · -26.2%
By 2100
40,837 · -40.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegany

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.3) · D 28.9% · R 69.2% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-14.4pp toward R · 2008: -25.9pp · 2024: -40.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.3 2020: R+38.3 2016: R+48.0 2012: R+32.9 2008: R+25.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.33%
Current HPI
258.6676
Rent YoY
▲ 10.88%
Metro
Cumberland, MD-WV
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-32.0% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $84,999 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-11-01 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-07-19 Listed $129,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-05-02 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-05-01 Price Changed $129,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-07-12 Price Changed $119,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-04-04 Price Changed $129,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-08-04 Listed $134,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $107,500 Public Records
  • 2010-03-31 Sold (MLS) $107,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-03-31 Sold (MLS) $107,500 MRIS
  • 2010-03-02 Pending MRIS
  • 2010-03-01 Delisted MRIS
  • 2010-02-28 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-10-26 Relisted MRIS
  • 2009-10-26 Price Changed $115,000 MRIS
  • 2009-10-21 Delisted MRIS
  • 2009-08-17 Relisted MRIS
  • 2009-07-16 Delisted MRIS
  • 2009-04-20 Listed $130,000 MRIS
  • 2009-04-20 Listed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,149 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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