6555 SW 165th Ct · Rainbow Springs, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.4/30.0
- ARV discount +12.2/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
ROOF 2025 - Tucked away in Westwood Acres South, this private 1-acre property offers peaceful country living with beautiful sunset views and a stunning backdrop of a 16,000-acre cattle farm behind the home. Built in 2007, this double-wide mobile home is move-in ready and packed with extras for anyone looking for space, privacy, and a true homestead feel. Inside, you’ll find laminate flooring throughout the main living areas, carpet in the bedrooms, and a spacious primary suite with a walk-in closet. The home also includes washer and dryer, and all furniture conveys, making this an easy transition for a full-time residence, seasonal getaway, or investment opportunity. Outside is where
Key facts
- Laminate flooring
- Sunset views
- Move in ready
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Furnished; Homestead status; Lot approximately 1.01 acres (1 to <2 acres); Limerock road surface; public maintained road
Exterior
- Parking: Covered, oversized parking; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Residential manufactured home (double wide); One story; Faces west; Entry on front porch
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built as double wide manufactured home
- Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Rear porch; Porch; Fire pit; Outdoor grill; Lighting; Private mailbox; Rain barrel / cistern; Rain gutters; Storage; Chain link fencing; Mature landscaping with trees; Wooded areas; Private, unpaved lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Range hood; Microwave; Refrigerator; Freezer; Exhaust fan
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Living room / dining room combo; Open floorplan; Walk-in closet(s); Window treatments
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater; Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $211 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $208k (7.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $208k (7.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.7% in Rainbow Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Dunnellon Elementary School (math 46% / reading 48%, grade D-, #1,191 of 2,144 statewide, top 57%, 580 students, 61% FRL); Dunnellon Middle School (math 48% / reading 42%, grade D, #310 of 571 statewide, top 56%, 678 students, 68% FRL); Dunnellon High School (math 30% / reading 32%, grade F, #429 of 667 statewide, top 65%, 1,350 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools at 64% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 1161 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.03%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $251,311
- List price
- $225,000
- Delta
- -10.47%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5837 SW 167th Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (+10%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $189 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-23,045
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-2,914
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34481
- Home prices YoY
- -25.2%
- Active inventory
- 1161
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,081 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$159 /mo · $1,908/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$437
- Net cashflow
- $211
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $339 | -5% $275 | +0% $211 | +5% $148 | +10% $84 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $47 | -5% $129 | +0% $211 | +5% $294 | +10% $376 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $325 | -0.5pp $269 | base $211 | +0.5pp $153 | +1.0pp $94 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6944 SW 179th Court Rd Dunnellon, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $3,300 | $2.24 | 15d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $225,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $225,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $225,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $225,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $225,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $225,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $225,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $225,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $225,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $225,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $225,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $225,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $225,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $225,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $225,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $225,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-14$225,000 Active 1536-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,908 · $159/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,908 · $159/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,972
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$1,908
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,998
- − Management
- −$1,998
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$1,205
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$289
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,825/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Rainbow Springs
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Marion County · 315,796 people
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,782
- Household income
- $57,324
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 313.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 7% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.48%
- Current HPI
- 199.986
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $225,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,908 · +14.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…