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D Composite 40.69
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • DSCR +2.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.3/5.0

$499,990

851/853 Motel St E #851 · Lehigh Acres, FL 33974
6 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,450 sqft · MultiFamily · 216 Days on market
Built 2025 10,497 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Beautiful property with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms on each side, hurricane windows and doors, flooring, and quartz

Key facts

  • 0.24 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2025

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed
  • Financial info: Gross scheduled income: $46,000; Operating expenses reported as $46,000; Each unit actual/pro forma rent listed as $27,000
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Each unit has an attached 1-car garage (2 attached garage spaces total)
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Cable available; Septic tank sewer; Well water
  • Home design: Multifamily property with 2 total units; Zoned RM-2
  • Construction: Block, concrete and stucco construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: No specified exterior amenities; Oversized lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Each unit includes dishwasher, microwave, refrigerator with ice maker, and family-style layout
  • Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units (each unit is unfurnished)
  • Flooring: Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 2 full bathrooms (4 full bathrooms total)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Impact glass windows; Under construction condition
  • Laundry & utility: Smoke detectors in units

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $500k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-533 ($-6k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-267/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $423k (15.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $370k (26.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $370k (26.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Veterans Park Academy For The Arts (math 41% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,366 of 2,144 statewide, top 64%, 2,133 students, 36% FRL); Oak Hammock Middle School (math 43% / reading 41%, grade D-, #340 of 571 statewide, top 61%, 1,563 students, 56% FRL); Lehigh Senior High School (math 23% / reading 45%, grade F, #394 of 667 statewide, top 60%, 2,476 students, 57% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.7%/yr); 2476 active listings in the ZIP; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,699/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 434% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $53k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $50k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$86k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 216 days — a 12% lower offer ($440k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $369,900 (26.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 216 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  4. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
5.01%
Cash-on-cash
-4.57%
DSCR
0.80
GRM
11.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.2%
Equity multiple
2.63×
Total profit
$227,569
Equity at exit
$450,431
10-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
5.84×
Total profit
$677,556
Equity at exit
$971,371

Cash invested: $139,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33974

Home prices YoY
5.8%
Rents YoY
-4.7%
Active inventory
2476
Price-to-rent
22.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,699 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,622
Tax est. 1.5%
$625 /mo · $7,500/yr
Insurance
$208
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$777
Net cashflow
$-533

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,374
Max offer price $422,848
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-188 -5% $-360 +0% $-533 +5% $-706 +10% $-879
Rent -10% $-825 -5% $-679 +0% $-533 +5% $-387 +10% $-241
Rate -1.0pp $-281 -0.5pp $-406 base $-533 +0.5pp $-663 +1.0pp $-794

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,699

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$124,998
Closing costs
$15,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $499,990 Active 216 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $499,990 Active 215 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $499,990 Active 214 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $499,990 Active 212 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $499,990 Active 208 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $499,990 Active 206 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $499,990 Active 201 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $499,990 Active 200 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $499,990 Active 199 DOM
  10. 2025-11-13
    listed $499,990 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$44,388
− Mortgage interest
−$28,007
− Property taxes
−$7,500
− Insurance
−$2,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,551
− Management
−$3,551
− Depreciation
−$14,545
Taxable loss
−$15,266
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,664
After-tax cash flow
$-2,733/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lehigh Acres

Score
59/100
State rank
#826
US rank
#20055

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lehigh Acres, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
130,638
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
19,927
Household income
$72,192
Rent vs Own
27.3% rent · 72.7% own
Severe rent burden
434.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 52% Two or more races 31% White 26% Black 18%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 20% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 7% Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
32% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 43% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 16.53%
Current HPI
303.3399
Rent YoY
▼ -4.68%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-11-13 Listed $499,990 FORTMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…