🏗️ New Construction
Edison Plan · Punta Gorda, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$302,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The first floor of this new two-story home is host to an open-concept layout that combines the kitchen with the living and dining areas, and an outdoor patio is easily reached off the main living space. Upstairs, five bedrooms surround a versatile loft, including the luxe owner's suite, complete with a generous walk-in closet and en-suite bathroom.
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- En-suite bathroom
- Outdoor patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $303k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-205 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $269k (11.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $267k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.4% in Punta Gorda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#225 in FL, #3,567 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities D-, commute F.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: East Elementary School (math 67% / reading 68%, grade B+, #435 of 2,144 statewide, top 21%, 761 students, 52% FRL); Punta Gorda Middle School (math 54% / reading 52%, grade C+, #209 of 571 statewide, top 37%, 1,120 students, 41% FRL); Charlotte High School (math 44% / reading 46%, grade D-, #228 of 667 statewide, top 35%, 1,994 students, 41% FRL).
- Market conditions: 1669 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 70d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 235 days — a 12% lower offer ($267k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 235 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.60%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $337,259
- List price
- $302,999
- Delta
- -10.16%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11764 Birdsong Loop | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,112 (0%) | 1mo | $342,849 | $162 | 81 |
| 11864 Featherstone Ln | 0.43mi | 5/2.5 | 2,112 (0%) | 3mo | $299,499 | $142 | 77 |
| 11804 Cloverly Ln | 0.29mi | 5/2.5 | 2,216 (+5%) | 8mo | $255,000 | $115 | 71 |
| 28307 Chelsea Garden Way | 0.39mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,032 (-4%) | 1mo | $365,000 | $180 | 67 |
| 11593 Cloverly Ln | 0.29mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,032 (-4%) | 8mo | $320,000 | $157 | 66 |
| 28328 Chelsea Garden Way | 0.35mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,032 (-4%) | 6mo | $374,499 | $184 | 66 |
| 28325 Chelsea Garden Way | 0.38mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,032 (-4%) | 5mo | $345,000 | $170 | 65 |
| 11835 Cloverly Ln | 0.36mi | 5/2.5 | 2,326 (+10%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $129 | 64 |
| 11807 Cloverly Ln | 0.32mi | 5/2.5 | 2,326 (+10%) | 4mo | $283,914 | $122 | 64 |
| 11776 Birdsong Loop | 0.26mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 1,884 (-11%) | 2mo | $339,499 | $180 | 61 |
| 11828 Cloverly Ln | 0.32mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,874 (-11%) | 3mo | $289,000 | $154 | 59 |
| 11843 Cloverly Ln | 0.37mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,874 (-11%) | 1mo | $290,000 | $155 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-67,655
- Equity at exit
- $50,286
- IRR
- -13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-75,545
- Equity at exit
- $29,160
Cash invested: $94,433 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 21 active · 8 under contract
- Months of supply
- 10.5 mo (10%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $364,415 ($162/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 142 d
- This list price
- 19% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -1.6% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33955
- Home prices YoY
- -24.5%
- Active inventory
- 1669
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,691 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,769
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$422 /mo · $5,059/yr
- Insurance
- −$141
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$565
- Net cashflow
- $-205
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $28 | -5% $-88 | +0% $-205 | +5% $-321 | +10% $-438 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-417 | -5% $-311 | +0% $-205 | +5% $-99 | +10% $8 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-35 | -0.5pp $-119 | base $-205 | +0.5pp $-292 | +1.0pp $-381 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $84,315
- Closing costs
- $10,118
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11812 Cloverly Ln Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1875 | $2,150 | $1.15 | 70d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 11795 Cloverly Ln Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2028 | $2,075 | $1.02 | 70d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 11827 Cloverly Ln Punta Gorda, FL | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2088 | $2,095 | $1.00 | 70d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 12378 Paramount Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1836 | $2,295 | $1.25 | 70d | 1 | 0.74mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Address: 11575 Willowleaf Blvd, Punta Gorda, FL 33955Listing status: Active
- Financial info
- List price $292,999
Exterior
- Parking
- 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
- Home design
- Single-family home (Edison plan)
- Exterior features
- Living area approximately 2,112
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 5 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom
- Interior features
- New construction plan (Edison)
Listing history 49 events
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2026-08-08days on market $302,999 Active 235 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $302,999 Active 234 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $302,999 Active 233 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $302,999 Active 232 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $302,999 Active 231 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $302,999 Active 230 DOM
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2026-08-01days on market $302,999 Active 227 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $302,999 Active 225 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $302,999 Active 223 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $302,999 Active 220 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $302,999 Active 219 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $302,999 Active 218 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $302,999 Active 217 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $302,999 Active 214 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $302,999 Active 212 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $302,999 Active 211 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $302,999 Active 210 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $302,999 Active 209 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $302,999 Active 208 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $302,999 Active 205 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $302,999 Active 204 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $302,999 Active 203 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $302,999 Active 202 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $302,999 Active 201 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $302,999 Active 200 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $302,999 Active 199 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $302,999 Active 198 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $302,999 Active 197 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $302,999 Active 196 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $302,999 Active 195 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $302,999 Active 194 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $302,999 Active 193 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $302,999 Active 192 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $302,999 Active 188 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $302,999 Active 187 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $302,999 Active 184 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $302,999 Active 183 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $302,999 Active 182 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $302,999 Active 181 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $302,999 Active 179 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $302,999 Active 178 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $302,999 Active 176 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $302,999 Active 175 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $302,999 Active 174 DOM
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2026-06-05pricedays on market $302,999 Active 170 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $292,999 Active 168 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $292,999 Active 167 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $292,999 Active 166 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $292,999 Active 165 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,292
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,892
- − Property taxes
- −$5,059
- − Insurance
- −$1,686
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,583
- − Management
- −$2,583
- − Depreciation
- −$9,811
- Taxable loss
- −$8,323
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,997
- After-tax cash flow
- $-460/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This home is in good condition with no visible major repairs needed. It has a good exterior, interior, and systems, and is move-in ready. Potential value can be increased with some cosmetic updates and landscaping improvements.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and increase the home's value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can increase the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers. ↑
- Both Interior touch-ups — Fresh paint and minor touch-ups can make the interior look more inviting and increase the home's value. ↑
- Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Updating the kitchen and bathrooms can increase the home's value and attract more potential buyers. ↑
- Both HVAC and mechanical system maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC and mechanical system can increase the home's value and attract more potential buyers. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Punta Gorda
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #225
- US rank
- #3567
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Charlotte County · 198,646 people
- City population
- 68,831
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,399
- Household income
- $76,943
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11% of renters
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.71%
- Current HPI
- 242.9043
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…