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529 Fulton Ave Ave
C Composite 57.07
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$195,000

529 Fulton Ave Ave · Kingsport, TN 37660
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,418 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 142 Days on market
Built 1951 6,534 sqft lot Est $238k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Motivated Sellers- Great opportunity In Kingsport! Welcome to 529 Fulton Avenue, Kingsport, TN 37660! Pictures coming 2-6-2026. A well cared for energy efficient home with major updates already completed. Features include a nearly new HVAC system (approx. 1 year old), roof approx. 2 years old, new attic insulation, updated ceiling and new electrical wiring in the attic. windows are approx 10 years old, helping keep the winter electric bill around $140. Additional highlights include new paint, new walls, gas logs, plumbing in place for an upstairs stackable washer/dryer. It is listed as a 2bd/1bath. But all plumbing has been done to easily put a second bathroom downstairs and finish out to h

Key facts

  • Updated ceiling
  • New paint
  • New attic insulation

Tags

ENERGY EFFICIENT HOMENEARLY NEW HVAC SYSTEMNEW ATTIC INSULATIONUPDATED CEILINGNEW ELECTRICAL WIRINGNEW PAINT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Driveway (concrete)
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Single family residence (house); Level and rolling slope topography; Zoned R 1C
  • Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Metal roof; Below-grade finished area present (340); Built as a house
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Storm door(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Fireplace heating option; Central air; Heat pump; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Double pane windows; Fireplace (1); Range; Refrigerator
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $173k (11.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.8% in Kingsport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#39 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Kingsport (urban): math 35% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #26 of 139 in TN (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Andrew Jackson Elementary School (math 27% / reading 23%, grade F, #541 of 952 statewide, top 57%, 496 students, 0% FRL); John Sevier Middle School (math 21% / reading 24%, grade F, #172 of 333 statewide, top 52%, 750 students, 0% FRL); Dobyns - Bennett High School (math 23% / reading 56%, grade F, #28 of 332 statewide, top 9%, 2,514 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 47% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 240 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 453 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sullivan County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $72k; list at $195k implies a 169% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $171,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
7.49%
Cash-on-cash
4.26%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$238,224
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
533 Bellvue Ave 0.06mi 2/2.0 1,624 (+14%) 0mo $160,000 $99 69
830 Fairview Ave 0.33mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,484 (+5%) 3mo $235,000 $158 65
1313 Putnam St 0.11mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,551 (+9%) 12mo $219,000 $141 62
634 Riverside Ave 0.27mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,288 (-9%) 2mo $217,000 $168 61
817 Mimosa Dr 0.31mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,537 (+8%) 3mo $268,000 $174 60
562 Lovedale Dr 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,437 (+1%) 5mo $162,000 $113 59
545 Bays View Rd 0.65mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,443 (+2%) 3mo $276,000 $191 58
1413 Gress Mag Mtn 0.52mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,318 (-7%) 2mo $290,000 $220 54
1016 Whippoorwill Ln 0.47mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,527 (+8%) 4mo $223,900 $147 53
1024 Walnut Ave 0.47mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,286 (-9%) 9mo $240,000 $187 46
557 Jackson St 0.61mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,234 (-13%) 3mo $234,900 $190 40
414 Sullivan St 0.68mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,608 (+13%) 2mo $200,000 $124 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.8%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-10,305
Equity at exit
$29,075
10-year hold
IRR
9.4%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$47,661
Equity at exit
$16,860

Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37660

Home prices YoY
-24.2%
Rents YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
240
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,728 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,023
Tax from tax record
$67 /mo · $808/yr
Insurance
$81
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$363
Net cashflow
$194

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,482
Max offer price $195,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $304 -5% $249 +0% $194 +5% $139 +10% $83
Rent -10% $57 -5% $126 +0% $194 +5% $262 +10% $330
Rate -1.0pp $292 -0.5pp $243 base $194 +0.5pp $143 +1.0pp $92

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,750
Closing costs
$5,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
455 W Sullivan St Kingsport, TN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 988 $1,647 $1.67 14d 16 0.54mi
206 Hammond Ave Kingsport, TN 3.0 1.0 1696 $1,525 $0.90 22d 1 0.56mi
724 Teasel Dr Kingsport, TN 1.0–2.0 1.0 927 $999 $1.08 22d 1 0.85mi
109 W Wanola Ave Kingsport, TN 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,300 $1.44 14d 1 0.91mi
116 E Market St Unit 4 Kingsport, TN 2.0 1.0 1090 $1,395 $1.28 22d 1 0.95mi
124 Bloomingdale Pike Kingsport, TN 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 878 $1,300 $1.48 14d 1 1.04mi
453 E Main St #400 Kingsport, TN 2.0 2.0 1292 $2,220 $1.72 22d 1 1.19mi
453 E Main St Kingsport, TN 2.0 2.0 1350 $2,875 $2.13 22d 1 1.19mi
453 E Main St Unit 900 Kingsport, TN 2.0 2.0 1247 $2,240 $1.80 22d 1 1.19mi
453 E Main St Unit 700 Kingsport, TN 2.0 2.0 1292 $2,252 $1.74 22d 1 1.19mi
453 E Main St #300 Kingsport, TN 2.0 2.0 1292 $2,172 $1.68 22d 1 1.19mi
1040 Tiptop Ave Kingsport, TN 2.0–3.0 2.0 947 $960 $1.01 14d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $195,000 Active 142 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $195,000 Active 140 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $195,000 Active 139 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $195,000 Active 138 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $195,000 Active 137 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $195,000 Active 136 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $195,000 Active 134 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $195,000 Active 133 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $195,000 Active 131 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $195,000 Active 130 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $195,000 Active 129 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $195,000 Active 128 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $195,000 Active 125 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $195,000 Active 124 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $195,000 Active 123 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $195,000 Active 122 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $195,000 Active 121 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $195,000 Active 120 DOM
  19. 2026-04-21
    price $195,000
  20. 2026-03-10
    price $199,000
  21. 2026-03-04
    price $212,000
  22. 2026-01-30
    listed $215,000 Active
  23. 2016-08-30
    soldstatus $72,500
  24. 2013-12-17
    soldstatus $65,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$808 · $67/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,384 · $115/mo
Expected delta
+$577/yr (+$48/mo · 71.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,733
− Mortgage interest
−$10,923
− Property taxes
−$808
− Insurance
−$975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,659
− Management
−$1,659
− Depreciation
−$5,673
Taxable loss
−$963
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$231
After-tax cash flow
$2,556/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kingsport
NCES district ID
4702190
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$38,017
Composite
30.44/100
National rank
#6233
State rank
#26 of 139 in TN

Livability — Kingsport

Score
71/100
State rank
#39
US rank
#6587

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kingsport, TN
County
Sullivan County · 121,987 people
City population
83,493
Metro
Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA
Population (ZIP)
40,996
Household income
$49,191
Rent vs Own
39.2% rent · 60.8% own
Severe rent burden
1384.0

Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
157,030 people
By 2030
156,415 · -0.4%
By 2040
153,778 · -2.1%
By 2050
149,018 · -5.1%
By 2075
138,068 · -12.1%
By 2100
119,927 · -23.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 4% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.0) · D 22.0% · R 77.0% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-13.6pp toward R · 2008: -41.3pp · 2024: -55.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.0 2020: R+51.9 2016: R+56.2 2012: R+47.2 2008: R+41.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.93%
Current HPI
252.9821
Rent YoY
▲ 7.95%
Metro
Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+200.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $195,000 TVRMLS
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $199,000 TVRMLS
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed $212,000 TVRMLS
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $215,000 TVRMLS
  • 2016-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $72,500 Public Records
  • 2013-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $808 · -8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…