69205 Garver Lake Rd Lot 72 · Edwardsburg, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.0/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this well-cared-for 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Colonial Acres. Thoughtfully updated and truly move-in ready, this property offers a blend of comfort and low-maintenance living. Step inside to find inviting living spaces and enjoy the added bonus of a storage shed--perfect for keeping everything organized. Monthly lot rent is $475, and park approval is required. Don't miss your chance to make this charming home your own--schedule a showing today!
Key facts
- Storage shed
- Built 2001
- Listed 8 days
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Natural gas connected
- Home design: Ranch-style residence; Residential property
- Construction: Built in 2001; Vinyl siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (16 x 13); Dishwasher; Oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (14 x 13); Bedroom 2 (11 x 10); Bedroom 3 (13 x 10)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Primary bathroom (13 x 8); Bathroom 1 (5 x 9)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: Total of 9 rooms; Basement (other type)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room (13 x 5)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $602 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 15.3% vs local median 2.8% in Edwardsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#166 in MI, #4,375 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Edwardsburg Public Schools (suburban): math 51% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #52 of 540 in MI (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 128 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cass County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.83% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.31%
- DSCR
- 2.44
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $74,151
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- 7.75%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69205 Garver Lake Rd #95 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (-1%) | 12mo | $74,900 | $47 | 88 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.14×
- Total profit
- $25,437
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 34.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.20×
- Total profit
- $71,637
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49112
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,461 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$307
- Net cashflow
- $602
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
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2026-06-19days on market $79,900 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $79,900 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 2 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $79,900 Active 76 DOM
Show marketing remark (464 chars)
Welcome home to this well-cared-for 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Colonial Acres. Thoughtfully updated and truly move-in ready, this property offers a blend of comfort and low-maintenance living. Step inside to find inviting living spaces and enjoy the added bonus of a storage shed--perfect for keeping everything organized. Monthly lot rent is $475, and park approval is required. Don't miss your chance to make this charming home your own--schedule a showing today!
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2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $79,900 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $79,900 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 67 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 66 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $79,900 Active 65 DOM
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2026-03-26$79,900 Active 465-char remark
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2026-03-26$79,900 Active 464-char remark
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2026-03-26$79,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,537
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,198
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,403
- − Management
- −$1,403
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $6,333
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,520
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,708/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained mobile home is move-in ready with updated kitchens and bathrooms, and a good condition exterior. Minor updates to the exterior siding and carpet would further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace carpet in bedrooms — Improves comfort and appearance
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace carpet in bedrooms — Improves comfort and appearance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Edwardsburg Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2612990
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,372
- Composite
- 50.29/100
- National rank
- #1883
- State rank
- #52 of 540 in MI
Livability — Edwardsburg
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #166
- US rank
- #4375
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,436
Population outlook (Cass County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 49,919 people
- By 2030
- 48,320 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 44,230 · -11.4%
- By 2050
- 39,852 · -20.2%
- By 2075
- 31,440 · -37.0%
- By 2100
- 23,914 · -52.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cass
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.5% · R 66.4% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.0pp toward R · 2008: 4.1pp · 2024: -33.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.9 2020: R+28.9 2016: R+29.9 2012: R+13.7 2008: D+4.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -174.26%
- Current HPI
- 183.898
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-10 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-10 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-10 Listed $79,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-06-09 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-26 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-26 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…