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19610 Hoyt St
D Composite 42.79
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$6,500

19610 Hoyt St · Detroit, MI 48205
6 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,251 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1935 4,356 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fire Property - needs total rehab

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1935
  • Listed 30 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1935
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: 0.1 acre lot; Public water

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom approximately 12 x 12
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Full basement; 2 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $6k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $6k).
  • Recommended offer: $6k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 266.3% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 376 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,840/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) (locally 2121% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $45 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $195 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($6k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $2k; list at $6k implies a 210% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $6,402 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
28.30%
Cap rate
266.31%
Cash-on-cash
928.63%
DSCR
42.32
GRM
0.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
48.05×
Total profit
$85,637
Equity at exit
$969
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
98.87×
Total profit
$178,125
Equity at exit
$562

Cash invested: $1,820 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48205

Home prices YoY
-28.1%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
376
Price-to-rent
0.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,840 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$34
Tax est. 1.5%
$8 /mo · $98/yr
Insurance
$3
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$386
Net cashflow
$1,408

Break-even live

Break-even rent $57
Max offer price $6,500
Occupancy floor 18%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,413 -5% $1,411 +0% $1,408 +5% $1,406 +10% $1,404
Rent -10% $1,263 -5% $1,336 +0% $1,408 +5% $1,481 +10% $1,554
Rate -1.0pp $1,412 -0.5pp $1,410 base $1,408 +0.5pp $1,407 +1.0pp $1,405

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,625
Closing costs
$195
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $6,500 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $6,500 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $6,500 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $6,500 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $6,500 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $6,500 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $6,500 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $6,500 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $6,500 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $6,500 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $6,500 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $6,500 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $6,500 Active 10 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $6,500 Active 9 DOM
  15. 2026-05-22
    listed $6,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (33 chars)

    Fire Property - needs total rehab

  16. 2026-05-22
    listed $6,500 Active 33-char remark
    Show marketing remark (33 chars)

    Fire Property - needs total rehab

  17. 2026-05-22
    listed $6,500 Active 33-char remark
    Show marketing remark (33 chars)

    Fire Property - needs total rehab

  18. 2010-09-28
    soldstatus $2,100
  19. 2010-06-30
    historical
  20. 2010-06-11
    listed $2,100
  21. 2010-03-12
    listed $2,400
  22. 2000-04-06
    soldstatus $60,000
  23. 1999-07-21
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,076
− Mortgage interest
−$364
− Property taxes
−$98
− Insurance
−$32
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,766
− Management
−$1,766
− Depreciation
−$189
Taxable income
$17,861
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,287
After-tax cash flow
$12,614/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
34,187
Household income
$38,966
Rent vs Own
49.4% rent · 50.6% own
Severe rent burden
2121.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (93%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.80%
Current HPI
235.0926
Rent YoY
▲ 1.33%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-67.5% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $6,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $6,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $6,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2010-09-28 Sold (MLS) $2,100 REALCOMP
  • 2010-06-30 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2010-06-11 Listed $2,100 REALCOMP
  • 2010-03-12 Listed $2,400 REALCOMP
  • 2000-04-06 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 1999-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $411 · -52.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…