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1392 Union Blvd
B Composite 70.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$90,000

1392 Union Blvd · St. Louis, MO 63113
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,684 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1891 ↓ 25% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great house at a great price! Three finished levels offer a large foyer and formal livingroom with a fireplace. Exposed brick in the formal diningroom. The eat-in kitchen also has some exposed brick, updated appliances, and walks out to a large deck. Three bedrooms plus two bonus rooms that could be used for a home office/gym or extra bedrooms. One full bath on first floor 2nd full bath on 2nd floor. Seller will make no repairs or provide any inspections or warranties.

Key facts

  • Exposed brick
  • Large foyer
  • Formal livingroom

Tags

FINISHED LEVELSLARGE FOYERFORMAL LIVINGROOMFIREPLACEEXPOSED BRICKEAT-IN KITCHEN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Built in 1891
  • Construction: Living area approximately 1,684
  • Exterior features: Located in the Academy/Sherman Park neighborhood

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $639 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.1%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1891 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $90,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1891 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.66%
Cap rate
14.81%
Cash-on-cash
30.41%
DSCR
2.35
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$42,100
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5159 Kensington Ave 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,612 (-4%) 5mo $105,000 $65 62
5254 Maple Ave 0.25mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,750 (+4%) 18mo $65,000 $37 59
1366 Burd Ave 0.41mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,620 (-4%) 15mo $40,000 $25 55
5071 Lotus Ave 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,734 (+3%) 14mo $22,900 $13 54
5232 Cote Brilliante Ave 0.40mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,576 (-6%) 10mo $14,900 $9 53
5434 Maple Ave 0.42mi 4/— (+1) 1,578 (-6%) 14mo $90,000 $57 53
5069 Lotus Ave 0.55mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,734 (+3%) 12mo $34,700 $20 52
5450 Vernon Ave 0.49mi 3/2.5 1,728 (+3%) 24mo $265,000 $153 51
5237 Wabada 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,550 (-8%) 10mo $20,000 $13 48
5041 Lotus Ave 0.58mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,500 (-11%) 10mo $30,000 $20 39
1900 Belt Ave 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,870 (+11%) 16mo $65,000 $35 38
5242 Wabada Ave 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,550 (-8%) 20mo $34,000 $22 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.14% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.8%
Equity multiple
2.16×
Total profit
$29,323
Equity at exit
$16,888
10-year hold
IRR
33.3%
Equity multiple
4.20×
Total profit
$80,681
Equity at exit
$13,873

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63113

Home prices YoY
-2.0%
Active inventory
58
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,492 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$31 /mo · $366/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$313
Net cashflow
$639

Break-even live

Break-even rent $684
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1420 Union Blvd Unit 2F St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1096 $995 $0.91 43d 1 0.08mi
5345 Wells Ave Unit 2ND St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1127 $1,095 $0.97 23d 1 0.18mi
5096 Minerva Ave Unit C St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1800 $1,395 $0.78 43d 1 0.26mi
1320 Academy Ave Unit A St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1600 $1,090 $0.68 43d 1 0.26mi
5333 Patton Ave St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1262 $1,250 $0.99 43d 1 0.39mi
5130 Kensington Ave Unit 1 St. Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,245 $1.04 23d 1 0.62mi
5760 Theodosia Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1702 $1,420 $0.83 23d 1 0.82mi
5535 Delmar Blvd St. Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 911 $1,970 $2.16 1d 14 0.85mi
629 Clara Ave Apt 26 St. Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1155 $1,615 $1.40 43d 1 0.93mi
625 N Euclid Ave St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0–2.0 984 $3,120 $3.17 1d 16 0.95mi
5137 Waterman Blvd Apt 4 St. Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1550 $1,700 $1.10 43d 1 0.97mi
5137 Waterman Blvd Apt 4 St. Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1550 $1,700 $1.10 23d 1 0.97mi
763 Walton Ave Unit 763 St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 0.97mi
5804 Cates Ave Unit 2 St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,500 $1.00 4d 1 0.97mi
4901 Washington Blvd Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1620 $2,500 $1.54 11d 1 0.99mi
501 Clara Ave Saint Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 850 $1,845 $2.17 14d 21 1.05mi
501 Clara Ave Saint Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 915 $1,885 $2.06 1d 21 1.05mi
5527 Waterman Blvd St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.5 1389 $1,495 $1.08 16d 1 1.05mi
4738 Olive St Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1413 $1,925 $1.36 23d 1 1.08mi
1266 Amherst Pl Unit 2nd floor St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,000 $0.95 43d 1 1.08mi
445 Clara Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.5 1188 $2,750 $2.31 43d 1 1.09mi
321 Belt Ave St. Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1549 $2,300 $1.48 4d 1 1.09mi
401 N Euclid Ave St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1025 $1,875 $1.83 1d 4 1.10mi
5223 Ashland Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 2200 $1,250 $0.57 43d 1 1.12mi
5223 Ashland Ave Unit 2 St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 2200 $1,450 $0.66 43d 1 1.12mi
275 Union Blvd St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0–3.0 1317 $4,686 $3.56 2d 58 1.12mi
5394 Pershing Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,595 $1.73 43d 1 1.14mi
5510 Pershing Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0–2.0 827 $3,247 $3.92 2d 20 1.17mi
5783 McPherson Ave Unit 2FL St. Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1320 $2,550 $1.93 7d 1 1.26mi
5783 McPherson Ave Unit 1FL St. Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1250 $1,950 $1.56 7d 1 1.26mi
4500 Olive St Unit D St. Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,725 $1.44 43d 1 1.30mi
4466 Olive St Saint Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1222 $2,495 $2.04 1d 7 1.37mi
377 N Taylor Ave St. Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1209 $1,595 $1.32 14d 1 1.38mi
1019 N Skinker Pkwy St. Louis, MO 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1137 $2,795 $2.46 1d 9 1.38mi
5803 Waterman Blvd St. Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1432 $1,850 $1.29 43d 1 1.41mi
5861 Nina Pl Apt 2W St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,750 $1.25 43d 1 1.42mi
5861 Nina Pl Unit 3W St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1550 $1,750 $1.13 17d 1 1.42mi
4400 Delmar Blvd St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1450 $1,600 $1.10 43d 1 1.43mi
100 N Kingshighway Blvd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0–2.0 1171 $6,995 $5.97 1d 80 1.43mi
100 N Kingshighway Blvd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0–2.0 1211 $7,099 $5.86 43d 84 1.43mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $90,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $90,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $90,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $90,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $90,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    remarks 474-char remark
  7. 2026-06-10
    listed $90,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$366 · $31/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$873 · $73/mo
Expected delta
+$507/yr (+$42/mo · 138.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,903
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$366
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,432
− Management
−$1,432
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$6,563
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,575
After-tax cash flow
$6,088/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Louis City
NCES district ID
2929280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,685
Composite
11.54/100
National rank
#9699
State rank
#312 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Louis

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Louis, MO
City population
283,259
Population (ZIP)
11,610

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,737 people
By 2030
313,865 · -0.6%
By 2040
305,439 · -3.3%
By 2050
296,529 · -6.1%
By 2075
271,028 · -14.2%
By 2100
255,359 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% White 6% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.14%
Current HPI
107.1335
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-25.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $90,000 FSBO.com
  • 2005-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 2003-05-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $366 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…