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140 Rollingwood Dr
D- Composite 35.16
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.6/30.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.0/15.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

140 Rollingwood Dr · Dunn, NC 28334
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 948 sqft · Townhouse public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1990 4,791 sqft lot Est $132k · 10% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* MOTIVATED SELLER * Desirable end-unit townhome featuring a 1-car garage and additional parking pad for added convenience. The thoughtfully designed layout includes a well-appointed kitchen with breakfast nook and a comfortable living area ideal for both relaxing and entertaining. Enjoy outdoor living on the private patio--perfect for grilling and 2 sheds for extra storage. Recently updated with fresh paint and new carpet throughout. Move-in ready! Perfect for the 1st time homebuyer or investor!

Key facts

  • Extra storage
  • Recently updated
  • End-unit townhome

Tags

END-UNIT TOWNHOMEWELL-APPOINTED KITCHENPRIVATE PATIOEXTRA STORAGERECENTLY UPDATED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: RM; Lot size approximately 0.11 acre; Road frontage on a paved, publicly maintained city street
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Driveway and parking pad; 4 open parking spaces (total 5 parking spaces); Garage faces front; Concrete surfaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Townhouse (end unit); One story
  • Construction: Brick veneer and vinyl siding exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Site built; Built as a townhouse
  • Exterior features: Patio; Back yard with fencing; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Range hood
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating (electric); Electric heating; Central cooling with heat pump; Ceiling fans for additional cooling
  • Interior features: Bathtub/shower combination; Ceiling fans; Crown molding; Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; Laminate counters; Level flooring; Primary bedroom on the main level
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup (main level); Electric dryer hookup (main level); Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $7 ($85/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (16.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (16.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.0% in Dunn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#390 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
  • Harnett County Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #130 of 178 in NC (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Dunn Elementary (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,190 of 1,410 statewide, top 86%, 799 students, 99% FRL); Dunn Middle (math 12% / reading 29%, grade F, #427 of 475 statewide, top 90%, 412 students, 99% FRL); Triton High (math 41% / reading 49%, grade D-, #350 of 535 statewide, top 66%, 1,287 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 51% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 341 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,080 units permitted in Harnett County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harnett County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $48k; list at $145k implies a 202% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,471 (16.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.35%
Cash-on-cash
0.21%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$131,772
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
140 Rollingwood Dr 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,046 (+10%) 0mo $145,000 $139 83

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.0%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-23,058
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
-7.6%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-19,547
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28334

Home prices YoY
-13.2%
Active inventory
341
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,215 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$132 /mo · $1,581/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$255
Net cashflow
$7

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,206
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $89 -5% $48 +0% $7 +5% $-34 +10% $-75
Rent -10% $-89 -5% $-41 +0% $7 +5% $55 +10% $103
Rate -1.0pp $80 -0.5pp $44 base $7 +0.5pp $-30 +1.0pp $-69

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1001 Webster Dr Dunn, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 900 $1,175 $1.31 14d 1 0.22mi
807 N Ellis Ave Dunn, NC 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 15d 1 0.79mi
606 N King Ave Dunn, NC 2.0 1.0 656 $995 $1.52 25d 1 0.99mi
409 E Cole St Dunn, NC 1.0 1.0 616 $900 $1.46 15d 1 1.08mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-04
    listed $145,000 Active
  3. 2026-03-16
    status Active
  4. 2026-02-26
    status Pending
  5. 2026-02-26
    historical
  6. 2026-01-12
    price $159,000
  7. 2026-01-05
    status Active
  8. 2025-12-28
    status Pending
  9. 2025-12-02
    listed $165,000 Active
  10. 2018-09-21
    soldstatus $48,000
  11. 2018-07-30
    historical
  12. 2018-04-03
    listed $89,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,581 · $132/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,581 · $132/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,577
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$1,581
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,166
− Management
−$1,166
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable loss
−$2,402
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$576
After-tax cash flow
$661/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harnett County Schools
NCES district ID
3702010
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$45,400
Composite
29.88/100
National rank
#6397
State rank
#130 of 178 in NC

Livability — Dunn

Score
63/100
State rank
#390
US rank
#15160

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dunn, NC
County
Harnett County · 125,715 people
City population
22,873
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
Population (ZIP)
22,873
Household income
$53,036
Rent vs Own
30.9% rent · 69.1% own
Severe rent burden
382.0

Population outlook (Harnett County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
153,758 people
By 2030
166,581 · +8.3%
By 2040
192,741 · +25.4%
By 2050
218,332 · +42.0%
By 2075
275,422 · +79.1%
By 2100
313,511 · +103.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 11%

Political lean MEDSL · Harnett

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.1) · D 36.9% · R 62.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-8.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -25.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.1 2020: R+22.4 2016: R+24.1 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+16.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -41.76%
Current HPI
275.5055
Rent YoY
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+62.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending TMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $145,000 TMLS
  • 2026-03-16 Relisted TMLS
  • 2026-02-26 Pending TMLS
  • 2026-02-26 Listing Removed TMLS
  • 2026-01-12 Price Changed $159,000 TMLS
  • 2026-01-05 Relisted TMLS
  • 2025-12-28 Pending TMLS
  • 2025-12-02 Listed $165,000 TMLS
  • 2018-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
  • 2018-07-30 Listing Removed TMLS
  • 2018-04-03 Listed $89,500 TMLS

Property tax history

+9.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,581 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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